65 research outputs found
Impact of global warming on the energetics of lower tropospheric ultra-long waves and the Indian summer monsoon
Monsoons, ITCZs and the concept of the global monsoon
Earth's tropical and subtropical rainbands, such as Intertropical Convergence Zones (ITCZs) and monsoons, are complex systems, governed by both large‐scale constraints on the atmospheric general circulation and regional interactions with continents and orography, and coupled to the ocean. Monsoons have historically been considered as regional large‐scale sea breeze circulations, driven by land‐sea contrast. More recently, a perspective has emerged of a Global Monsoon, a global‐scale solstitial mode that dominates the annual variation of tropical and subtropical precipitation. This results from the seasonal variation of the global tropical atmospheric overturning and migration of the associated convergence zone. Regional subsystems are embedded in this global monsoon, localized by surface boundary conditions. Parallel with this, much theoretical progress has been made on the fundamental dynamics of the seasonal Hadley cells and convergence zones via the use of hierarchical modeling approaches, including aquaplanets. Here we review the theoretical progress made, and explore the extent to which these advances can help synthesize theory with observations to better understand differing characteristics of regional monsoons and their responses to certain forcings. After summarizing the dynamical and energetic balances that distinguish an ITCZ from a monsoon, we show that this theoretical framework provides strong support for the migrating convergence zone picture and allows constraints on the circulation to be identified via the momentum and energy budgets. Limitations of current theories are discussed, including the need for a better understanding of the influence of zonal asymmetries and transients on the large‐scale tropical circulation.This is the author accepted manuscript. The final version is available from the publisher via the DOI in this recordMet Offic
Droughts over Homogeneous Regions of India: 1871–-1990
The summer monsoon (June through September), or southwest seasonal rains, contribute 78% of India’s annual rainfall. It is the greatest climatic water resource of India. The country’s agriculture and food production depend on these rains. Rainfed farming areas in India account for about 70% of the total arable land in the country, with nearly 100 million ha depending on the monsoon rains. The rains also contribute to power generation and industrial production
Performance of August–September Indian monsoon rainfall when June–July rainfall is reported as being in deficit/excess
Probabilities of excess and deficient southwest monsoon rainfall over different meteorological sub-divisions of India
Tropospheric temperature variation over India and links with the Indian summer monsoon : 1971-2000
In the context of the ever increasing interest in the regional aspects of global warming, understanding the spatio-temporal variations of tropospheric temperature over India is of great importance. The present study, based on the data from 19 well distributed radiosonde stations for the period 1971-2000, examines the seasonal and annual mean temperature variations at the surface and five selected upper levels, viz., 850, 700, 500, 200 and 150 hPa. An attempt has also been made to bring out the association between tropospheric temperature variations over India and the summer monsoon variability, including the role of its major teleconnection parameter, the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO).

Seasonal and annual mean all-India temperature series are analyzed for surface and five tropospheric levels. The mean annual cycles of temperature at different tropospheric levels indicate that the pre-monsoon season is slightly warmer than the monsoon season at the surface, 850 hPa and 150 hPa levels, while it is relatively cooler at all intermediate levels. The mean annual temperature shows a warming of 0.18° C and 0.3° C per 10 years at the surface and 850 hPa, respectively.

Tropospheric temperature anomaly composites of excess (deficient) monsoon rainfall years show pronounced positive (negative) anomalies during the month of May, at all the levels. The pre-monsoon pressure of Darwin has significant positive correlation with the monsoon temperature at the surface and 850 hPa.</jats:p
Performance of all-India southwest monsoon seasonal rainfall when monthly rainfall reported as deficit/excess
Design of Robust PID Controller for Flexible Transmission System Using Quantitative Feedback Theory (QFT)
Variability and Long-Term Changes in Surface Air Temperatures Over the Indian Subcontinent
Vagaries of Indian monsoon rainfall and its relation- ships with regional/global circulations
Attempts have been made to understand the behaviour of the monsoon rains for which excellent data sets are available covering the period of 1871-1988. There are two discontinuities (sudden or abrupt change periods) noticed in the rainfall series in the years 1894 and 1961 and the country's rainfall series has passed through four different epochs.

Three important families of circulation parameters, mainly (i) conditions over Indian region, (ii) cross equatorial flow over Indian Ocean reg1on and (iii) southern oscillation, Which are well associated with all India monsoon rainfall have been examined for the period 1951-80 and results are presented. These associations can be utilized for the prediction of the monsoon rains.</jats:p
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