A REVIEW OF CHALLENGES IN ASSESSMENT AND FORECASTING OF WIND ENERGY RESOURCES

The main issues related to assessment and forecasting of the wind and wind energy have been reviewed. These include the limitations and advantages of wind forecasting and assessment of the wind power density, especially considering trends of increasing penetration of wind-generated power into the utility grid and storage of wind-generated power. Accurate forecasting of the wind power density over a large range of spatial and temporal scales is a critical issue for planning and operations of wind farms. A review of various prediction tools, from simple statistical models to highly complex numerical techniques, was performed for this purpose. The influence of wind variability, atmospheric stability, turbulence, and the low-level jets on wind power density are elaborated on in detail. Furthermore, prediction and assessment of future wind energy resources and their economic implications as well as environmental concerns such as birds’ habitats and routes, viewpoint aesthetics, and noise are also discussed in this study. Some climate projection studies indicate minor changes in the wind resources comparable to differences in global models results while others argue that the wind resources will be reduced due to global warming and they call for harvesting wind energy at the maximum rate as soon as possible

Sea-breeze modification of the growth of a marine internal boundary layer

A numerical mesoscale model is used to make a high-resolution simulation of the marine boundary layer in the Persian Gulf, during conditions of offshore flow from Saudi Arabia. A marine internal boundary layer (MIBL) and a sea-breeze circulation (SBC) are found to co-exist. The sea breeze develops in the mid-afternoon, at which time its front is displaced several tens of kilometres offshore. Between the coast and the sea-breeze system, the MIBL that occurs is consistent with a picture described in the existing literature. However, the MIBL is perturbed by the SBC, the boundary layer deepening significantly seaward of the sea-breeze front. Our analysis suggests that this strong, localized deepening is not a direct consequence of frontal uplift, but rather that the immediate cause is the retardation of the prevailing, low-level offshore wind by the SBC. The simulated boundary-layer development can be accounted for by using a simple 1D Lagrangian model of growth driven by the surface heat flux. This model is obtained as a straightforward modification of an established MIBL analytic growth model