An experimental infection with classical swine fever virus in weaner pigs. I. Transmission of the virus, the course of the disease, and antibody response

&lt;p&gt;The spread of Classical Swine Fever (CSF) virus (strain Lorraine), originally isolated in the first CSF infected herd of the 1993-1994 Belgian epizootic, was examined in an isolation unit with three adjacent pens and 15 weaner pigs per pen. Virus was introduced through experimental inoculation of one weaner pig in the middle pen (pen 2). The experimentally inoculated pig became viraemic 4 days post-inoculation (dpi) and the pen mates at 12 (n = 9) and 14 dpi (n = 5). The first viraemia in pens 1 and 3 was observed 18 dpi. Pigs were found to be seropositive in pens 1, 2, and 3 from 24, 20, and 22 dpi onwards, respectively. The reproduction ratio (R0) for the pigs in pen 2, estimated according to the martingale method, was 81.3 (s.e. = 109.54). The rate ratio (Cox proportional hazard) of the first pigs to become viraemic in pen 3 (airborne contact plus contact via contaminated clothing and footwear with pen 2) versus pen 1 (airborne contact with pen 2 only) was 1.60 (P = 0.3342). Thus, the additional contact of contaminated clothing did not affect transmission of the CSF virus. The survivor function (Kaplan-Meier survival analysis) did not significantly differ per pen. The time from first detection of virus in plasma to death was not significantly different between pens. The mean rectal temperature of pigs in a pen increased 3 to 4 days prior to detection of virus. The proportion of seropositive pigs per pen (p) from the day the first weaner pig in a pen became viraemic (dpf) was examined as a function of time with a logistic regression model. The model parameter estimates did not differ between pens. Hence, the data from the three pens were pooled. The regression equation of the seroprevalence over time for the pooled data was p = 1/[1+e(4.65-0.39 *dpf)].&lt;/p&gt;</p

EFSA’s approach to identifying emerging risks in food and feed: taking stock and looking forward

&lt;p&gt;The Emerging Risks Unit has the responsibility for coordinating EFSA’s activities to establish a capacity for the identification of emerging risks. A process was trialled and further developed during a pilot period of 18 months from 2010-2012. This included the implementation of an operational procedure for emerging risks identification, the assessment of selected data sources, the testing of tools for collecting information, the consolidation of knowledge networks for sharing information and the development of a methodological framework. Specific issues were identified for follow-up activities using an expert judgment approach. These include a study on climate change and the emergence of aflatoxins in cereal crops in the European Union (EU), a European-wide survey on the consumption of energy drinks, a task force on human risk assessment of chemical mixtures, an internal task force on bee health, and a foresight study on the potential impact of omics technologies on food and feed safety risk assessment. These follow-up activities will contribute to the determination of whether the issues identified can indeed give rise to emerging risks. Overall, our experience shows that emerging risks identification requires a high level of expertise due to major data gaps and uncertainties in the evaluation process. Effective networking has proven to be essential for exchanging methods, data and evaluations of emerging risks. The system piloted has shown some potential for the identification of issues that may give rise to emerging risks. Useful knowledge has been gained in the area of gathering and filtering large amounts of information and building knowledge networks on emerging risks. Next steps include the establishment of a standing Working Group (WG) on Emerging Risks, the reinforcement of the engagement with Member States and Stakeholders, the fine tuning of the revised methodological framework, and the completion of the projects on the issues identified.&lt;/p&gt

Population-Level Retrospective Study of Neurologically Expressed Disorders in Ruminants before the Onset of Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE) in Belgium, a BSE Risk III Country

A retrospective epidemiological study (n = 7,875) of neurologically expressed disorders (NED) in ruminants before the onset of the bovine spongiform encephalopathy epidemic (years studied, 1980 to 1997) was carried out in Belgium. The archives of all veterinary laboratories and rabies and transmissible spongiform encephalopathy (TSE) epidemiosurveillance networks were consulted. For all species, a significantly higher number of NED with virological causes (rabies) was reported south of the Sambre-Meuse Valley. During the period 1992 to 1997, for which the data were complete, (i) the predicted annual incidence of NED varied significantly as a function of species and area (higher numbers in areas where rabies was present) but was always above 100 cases per million, and (ii) the mean incidence of suspected TSE cases and, among them, those investigated by histopathological examination varied significantly as a function of species and area. The positive predictive value of a presumptive clinical diagnosis of NED ranged from 0.13 (game) to 0.63 (sheep). Knowledge of the positive predictive value permits the definition of a reference point before certain actions (e.g., awareness and training campaigns) are undertaken. It also shows the usefulness of a systematic necropsy or complementary laboratory tests to establish an etiological diagnosis. TSE analysis of a small, targeted historical sampling (n = 48) permitted the confirmation of one case and uncovered another case of scrapie. The results of the present study help to develop and maintain the quality of the worldwide clinical epidemiological networks for TSE, especially in countries that in the past imported live animals, animal products, and feedstuffs from countries with TSE cases

Prevalence of herds with young sows seropositive to pseudorabies (Aujeszky's disease) in northern Belgium

In Belgium, pseudorabies in swine has been the subject of a mandatory eradication programme since 1993, From December 1995 to February 1996, a survey was conducted in the five provinces of northern Belgium to estimate the provincial pseudorabies virus (PRV) herd seroprevalence. Seven hundred and twenty randomly selected herds were included in this survey. To detect recently infected animals, only young sows were sampled. The results show that 44% of these herds had an important number of PRV-seropositive young sows. The highest herd seroprevalence was observed in West Flanders (68%), followed by Antwerp (60%), East Flanders (43%), Limburg (18%), and Flemish Brabant (8%), Assuming a diagnostic test sensitivity and specificity of 95% and 99%, respectively, and a true PRV within-herd prevalence of 43%, the overall true PRV herd prevalence was estimated to be 35%. A logistic multiple-regression revealed that the presence of finishing pigs was associated with a two-fold increase in odds of a herd being seropositive (odds ratio (OR)=2.07, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.31-3.26); a breeding herd size greater than or equal to 70 sows was associated with a four-fold increase in odds of a herd being seropositive (OR=4.09, 95% CI=2.18-7.67); a pig density in the municipality of greater than or equal to 455 pigs/km(2) was associated with a 10-fold increase in odds of a herd being seropositive (OR=9.68, 95% CI=5.17-18.12). No association was detected between the PRV herd seroprevalence and purchase policy of breeding pigs (purchased gilts , or use of homebred gilts only). (C) 1999 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved

Prevalence of herds with young sows seropositive to pseudorabies (Aujeszky&#039;s disease) in northern Belgium.

&lt;p&gt;In Belgium, pseudorabies in swine has been the subject of a mandatory eradication programme since 1993. From December 1995 to February 1996, a survey was conducted in the five provinces of northern Belgium to estimate the provincial pseudorabies virus (PRV) herd seroprevalence. Seven hundred and twenty randomly selected herds were included in this survey. To detect recently infected animals, only young sows were sampled. The results show that 44% of these herds had an important number of PRV-seropositive young sows. The highest herd seroprevalence was observed in West Flanders (68%), followed by Antwerp (60%), East Flanders (43%), Limburg (18%), and Flemish Brabant (8%). Assuming a diagnostic test sensitivity and specificity of 95% and 99%, respectively, and a true PRV within-herd prevalence of 43%, the overall true PRV herd prevalence was estimated to be 35%. A logistic multiple-regression revealed that the presence of finishing pigs was associated with a two-fold increase in odds of a herd being seropositive (odds ratio (OR)=2.07, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.31-3.26); a breeding herd size &gt; or =70 sows was associated with a four-fold increase in odds of a herd being seropositive (OR = 4.09, 95% CI = 2.18-7.67); a pig density in the municipality of &gt;455 pigs/km2 was associated with a 10-fold increase in odds of a herd being seropositive (OR = 9.68, 95% CI = 5.17-18.12). No association was detected between the PRV herd seroprevalence and purchase policy of breeding pigs (purchased gilts, or use of homebred gilts only).&lt;/p&gt;</p