Focused Deterrence and the Prevention of Violent Gun Injuries: Practice, Theoretical Principles, and Scientific Evidence

Focused deterrence strategies are a relatively new addition to a growing portfolio of evidence-based violent gun injury prevention practices available to policy makers and practitioners. These strategies seek to change offender behavior by understanding the underlying violence-producing dynamics and conditions that sustain recurring violent gun injury problems and by implementing a blended strategy of law enforcement, community mobilization, and social service actions. Consistent with documented public health practice, the focused deterrence approach identifies underlying risk factors and causes of recurring violent gun injury problems, develops tailored responses to these underlying conditions, and measures the impact of implemented interventions. This article reviews the practice, theoretical principles, and evaluation evidence on focused deterrence strategies. Although more rigorous randomized studies are needed, the available empirical evidence suggests that these strategies generate noteworthy gun violence reduction impacts and should be part of a broader portfolio of violence prevention strategies available to policy makers and practitioners

Survival of the fittest: Retrospective cohort study of the longevity of Olympic medallists in the modern era

Objective: To determine whether Olympic medallists live longer than the general population. Design: Retrospective cohort study, with passive follow-up and conditional survival analysis to account for unidentified loss to follow-up. Setting and participants: 15 174 Olympic athletes from nine country groups (United States, Germany, Nordic countries, Russia, United Kingdom, France, Italy, Canada, and Australia and New Zealand) who won medals in the Olympic Games held in 1896-2010. Medallists were compared with matched cohorts in the general population (by country, age, sex, and year of birth). Main outcome measures Relative conditional survival. Results: More medallists than matched controls in the general population were alive 30 years after winning (relative conditional survival 1.08, 95% confidence interval 1.07 to 1.10). Medallists lived an average of 2.8 years longer than controls. Medallists in eight of the nine country groups had a significant survival advantage compared with controls. Gold, silver, and bronze medallists each enjoyed similar sized survival advantages. Medallists in endurance sports and mixed sports had a larger survival advantage over controls at 30 years (1.13, 1.09 to 1.17; 1.11, 1.09 to 1.13) than that of medallists in power sports (1.05, 1.01 to 1.08). Conclusions: Olympic medallists live longer than the general population, irrespective of country, medal, or sport. This study was not designed to explain this effect, but possible explanations include genetic factors, physical activity, healthy lifestyle, and the wealth and status that come with international sporting glory. © BMJ Publishing Group Ltd 2012

Emergent synergistic lysosomal toxicity of chemical mixtures in molluscan blood cells (hemocytes)

The problem of effective assessment of risk posed by complex mixtures of toxic chemicals in the environment is a major challenge for government regulators and industry. The biological effect of the individual contaminants, where these are known, can be measured; but the problem lies in relating toxicity to the multiple constituents of contaminant cocktails. The objective of this study was to test the hypothesis that diverse contaminant mixtures may cause a greater toxicity than the sum of their individual parts, due to synergistic interactions between contaminants with different intracellular targets. Lysosomal membrane stability in hemocytes from marine mussels was used for in vitro toxicity tests; and was coupled with analysis using the isobole method and a linear additive statistical model. The findings from both methods have shown significant emergent synergistic interactions between environmentally relevant chemicals (i.e., polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, pesticides, biocides and a surfactant) when exposed to isolated hemocytes as a mixture of 3 & 7 constituents. The results support the complexity-based hypothesis that emergent toxicity occurs with increasing contaminant diversity, and raises questions about the validity of estimating toxicity of contaminant mixtures based on the additive toxicity of single components. Further experimentation is required to investigate the potential for interactive effects in mixtures with more constituents (e.g., 50 –100) at more environmentally realistic concentrations in order to test other regions of the model, namely, very low concentrations and high diversity. Estimated toxicant diversity coupled with tests for lysosomal damage may provide a potential tool for determining the toxicity of estuarine sediments, dredge spoil or contaminated soil

The extremely truncated circumstellar disc of V410 X-ray 1: A precursor to TRAPPIST-1?

Protoplanetary discs around brown dwarfs and very low mass stars offer some of the best prospects for forming Earth-sized planets in their habitable zones. To this end, we study the nature of the disc around the very low mass star V410 X-ray 1, whose SED is indicative of an optically thick and very truncated dust disc, with our modelling suggesting an outer radius of only 0.6 au. We investigate two scenarios that could lead to such a truncation, and find that the observed SED is compatible with both. The first scenario involves the truncation of both the dust and gas in the disc, perhaps due to a previous dynamical interaction or the presence of an undetected companion. The second scenario involves the fact that a radial location of 0.6 au is close to the expected location of the H$_2$O snowline in the disc. As such, a combination of efficient dust growth, radial migration, and subsequent fragmentation within the snowline leads to an optically thick inner dust disc and larger, optically thin outer dust disc. We find that a firm measurement of the CO $J=2$--1 line flux would enable us to distinguish between these two scenarios, by enabling a measurement of the radial extent of gas in the disc. Many models we consider contain at least several Earth-masses of dust interior to 0.6 au, suggesting that V410 X-ray 1 could be a precursor to a system with tightly-packed inner planets, such as TRAPPIST-1

Early anterior cingulate involvement is seen in presymptomatic MAPT P301L mutation carriers

BACKGROUND: PET imaging of glucose metabolism has revealed presymptomatic abnormalities in genetic FTD but has not been explored in MAPT P301L mutation carriers. This study aimed to explore the patterns of presymptomatic hypometabolism and atrophy in MAPT P301L mutation carriers. METHODS: Eighteen asymptomatic members from five families with a P301L MAPT mutation were recruited to the study, six mutation carriers, and twelve mutation-negative controls. All participants underwent standard behavioural and cognitive assessment as well as [18F]FDG-PET and 3D T1-weighted MRI brain scans. Regional standardised uptake value ratios (SUVR) for the PET scan and volumes calculated from an automated segmentation for the MRI were obtained and compared between the mutation carrier and control groups. RESULTS: The mean (standard deviation) estimated years from symptom onset was 12.5 (3.6) in the mutation carrier group with a range of 7 to 18 years. No differences in cognition were seen between the groups, and all mutation carriers had a global CDR plus NACC FTLD of 0. Significant reduction in [18F] FDG uptake in the anterior cingulate was seen in mutation carriers (mean 1.25 [standard deviation 0.07]) compared to controls (1.36 [0.09]). A similar significant reduction was also seen in grey matter volume in the anterior cingulate in mutation carriers (0.60% [0.06%]) compared to controls (0.68% [0.08%]). No other group differences were seen in other regions. CONCLUSIONS: Anterior cingulate hypometabolism and atrophy are both apparent presymptomatically in a cohort of P301L MAPT mutation carriers. Such a specific marker may prove to be helpful in stratification of presymptomatic mutation carriers in future trials

Computational Controversy

Climate change, vaccination, abortion, Trump: Many topics are surrounded by fierce controversies. The nature of such heated debates and their elements have been studied extensively in the social science literature. More recently, various computational approaches to controversy analysis have appeared, using new data sources such as Wikipedia, which help us now better understand these phenomena. However, compared to what social sciences have discovered about such debates, the existing computational approaches mostly focus on just a few of the many important aspects around the concept of controversies. In order to link the two strands, we provide and evaluate here a controversy model that is both, rooted in the findings of the social science literature and at the same time strongly linked to computational methods. We show how this model can lead to computational controversy analytics that have full coverage over all the crucial aspects that make up a controversy.Comment: In Proceedings of the 9th International Conference on Social Informatics (SocInfo) 201

Recombinant Human Parathyroid Hormone Effect on Health-Related Quality of Life in Adults With Chronic Hypoparathyroidism

Context: Reduced health-related quality of life (HRQoL) is common in patients with hypoparathyroidism on conventional therapy with calcium and active vitamin D supplements. Objective: To examine the effects of recombinant human parathyroid hormone (rhPTH[1-84]) on HRQoL as measured by the 36-Item Short Form Health Survey (SF-36) during the multinational, randomized, placebo-controlled REPLACE study. Patients: 122 adults with chronic hypoparathyroidism. Intervention(s): Following an optimization period when calcium and/or active vitamin D supplements were adjusted to reach target serum calcium levels (8.0-9.0 mg/dL; 2.0-2.2 mmol/L), patients were randomized to receive placebo (n=39) or rhPTH(1-84) (n=83) (starting dose 50 mug/day, could be titrated up to 100 mug/day); supplement doses were adjusted to maintain target serum calcium levels. Main Outcome Measure(s): Change from baseline (post-optimization, at randomization) to Week 24 in HRQoL as assessed by the SF-36v2 health survey. Results: Overall, the between-group differences were not statistically significant. However, in the rhPTH(1-84) group, there were significant improvements in the physical component summary score (P=0.004) and in body pain (P<0.05), general health (P<0.05), and vitality (P<0.001) domains as compared with baseline values. In the placebo group, there were no significant changes for any of the domains. The magnitude of change between 0 and 24 weeks in SF-36 scores was negatively correlated with baseline scores, such that patients with lower HRQoL at baseline were more likely to experience improvement in response to treatment. Conclusions: Treatment with rhPTH(1-84) may improve HRQoL in adults with hypoparathyroidism

Optimisation and molecular signalling of apoptosis in sequential cryotherapy and chemotherapy combination in human A549 lung cancer xenografts in SCID mice

We define the optimal parameters for combination of cryotherapy (nitrous oxide) with chemotherapy (vinorelbine ditartrate, VNB) treatment and characterise some of the signals involved for apoptosis activation. No advantage appeared when cryotherapy and VNB were combined simultaneously compared to cryosurgery alone. In contrast, tumour volumes were reduced after a sequential treatment schedule, where each individual treatment was separated by 48 h. No significant benefit appeared when the sequential treatment was separated by 24 h, although some individual mice showed a good response. The sequence of treatment had no impact on the observed tumour growth inhibition in mice. The number of apoptotic cells was significantly augmented in the sequential treatment schedule where VNB was administered 48 h before cryotherapy. In this sequential treatment, the number of apoptotic cells correlated with heightened expression of the BH3-only Puma, Noxa and Bim-EL, at both the mRNA and protein levels. No significant change in Bax, Bcl-xL and Bcl-2 mRNA expression was apparent, whereas Mcl-1 expression increased only slightly to a much lower level than BH3-only mRNAs. Our data indicate that 48 h sequential rather than simultaneous cryotherapy with VNB in future cancer cryochemotherapy schedules will enhance the tumour response, and argue that VNB administration, 48 h before cryotherapy, will provoke apoptosis more efficiently