Konversi Lahan dan Pilihan Petani

This paper reports the assessment of what factors determines farmer’s decision to convert their farm land (rice field) into other uses, especially business and residential. We sampled 40 farmers in Sleman Regency, Yogyakarta as a case. In addition to their social characteristics, we asked them the willingness to accept for their land if someone else wants to buy and convert it into other uses (residensial or business) and how much the compensation their asked if the regency of Sleman ask them to preserve it. Based on the farmers expected return from their farming and their social characteristics, we found that farmers tend to preserve their land. This decision is supported when they have other sources of income, farm their own land, have larger size of land, and the further from the urban. Such information is useful to the Regency of Sleman once it needs to preserve its farming area to increase the water catchment and the reduce of the green house effect of converting the farm land (rice field) into residential or business. This is true to the fields close to the urban areas.land conversion, future price, farming, and sustainable farm land

AN ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF RAISING FUEL PRICE IN INDONESIA

This paper outlines economic frameworks for analyzing the impact of increasing Juel price on the Indonesian economy. The discussions focus on the analysis of inter-fuels substitution, impact of raising fuel price on cost of productions and on the air quality, and the potential benefits-costs from the mentioned policy. The responsiveness of emission with respect to fuel prices makes fuel prices a powerful tool in the kit of indirect policy instruments available to the policy maker.Several empirical researches show that Juel price can be formulated to induce inter-fuel substitution to reduce the pollution and not necessarily induce high inflation. However, increase in prices for pollution-laden fuels will generally lead to demand reduction, and the net effect on emission will depend on: whether other fuels will produce lesser pollutant, their cross price elasticities are positive, and which fuel share in the total input used are high (the higher the share of fuel the lesser the price elasticity - need higher percentage change in price to decrease the use of such fuel).The impacts of fuel price policy on the Indonesian government budget is examined through change in the government revenue, both from the direct revenue of oils and natural gas sectors and taxation. Lastly, the fuel price policy could be directed to increase the air quality which beneficial for human being

MODELING DEMAND FOR INDONESIAN COOKING OILS

Penentuan apakah fungsi permintaan ditulis sebagai kuantitas fungsi dari harga (an ordinary demand) atau harga fungsi dari kuantitas, terbalik (inverse demand), ditentukan oleh kenyataan empiris struktur pasar. Dalam artikel ini permintaan minyak goreng di Indonesia dituliskan secara terbalik. Permintaan minyak goreng diestimasi dalam suatu bundle minyak goreng yang terjadi atas minyak kelapa sawit, minyak kelapa, dan minyak goreng lainnya. Dari berbagai uji diagnostik ternyata fungsi permintaan minyak yang berupa persamaan tunggal lebih baik dibandingkan fungsi permintaan simultan dalam bentuk kebalikan dari Almost Ideal Demand System (Inverse AIDS). Dalam menganalisis dampak kebijakan terhadap kesejahteraan pelaku ekonomi, untuk kasus minyak goreng, sebaiknya dipergunakan kebalikan fungsi permintaan (inverse demand function)

Price Linkages In Selected Indonesian Financial Markets

Artikel ini menganalisis dinamika keterkaitan pasar dana (financial markets) di Indonesia dengan mempergunakan data bulanan periode 1991 sampai 1996. Analisis difokuskan pada pasar valuta asing (foreign exchange market), pasar modal (stock exchange market) dan pasar uang (money market). Metode yang dipergunakan adalah kointegrasi (co-integration) dan model GARCH (General Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity). Kointeg rani mendeteksi seberapa jauh keterkaitan antarpasar dana sedang model GARCH melukiskan variasi keterkaitan pasar dana antarwaktu. Hasil analisis menunjukkan masih lemahnya keterkaitan antarpasar dana serta masih lemahnya efisiensi informasi (information efficiency) pasar dana di Indonesia. Kondisi ini membuka kesempatan bagi para spekulan di pasar dana untuk memperoleh keuntungan di atas keuntungan normal (abnormal profit) melalui proses arbitrase. Selain itu, diversifikasi assets bisa menurunkan risiko keuangan (financial risks).Kebijakan yang mampu mendorong turunnya biaya perolehan informctsi clan meningkatkan laju penyebaran infomasi, seperti komputerisasi dan penggunaan Internet, dapat mendorong naiknya efisiensi pasar dana. Keywords: co-integrationdiversivicationGARCH (general autoregresive conditional heteroskedasticity)Indonesian Financial Marketprice linkage

MODELING SUPPLY OF INDONESIAN COOKING OILS

Estimasi model penawaran untuk komoditi tahunan (perennial crops) terbukti tidak mudah. Estimasi terhadap model penawaran untuk berbagai komoditi telah dilakukan, namun tidak menghasilkan kesimpulan yang konklusif. Dalam paper ini dipaparkan hasil estimasi model penawaran minyak kelapa sawit dan kelapa untuk kasus di Indonesia dengan menggunakan metode ECM dan PAM. Ternyata model PAM masih lebih baik. Jumlah observasi yang sedikit dan begitu banyaknya intervensi pemerintah di sektor kelapa sawit dan kelapa mungkin menyebabkan lemahnya model ECM.Key words: Supply, Perennial crops, ECM, PA

Tantangan Kapasitas Dalam Pelaksanaan Desentralisasi Fiskal di Indonesia

kata kunci: desentralisasi fiskal, Indonesi

Pengaruh Pajak Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Indonesia 1970-19941

pajak - pertumbuhan ekonom

ANALISIS PENGARUH KREDIT USAHA MIKRO, KREDIT USAHA KECIL, DERAJAT PENDIDIKAN, DAN DERAJAT KESEHATAN TERHADAP TINGKAT KEMISKINAN (KASUS : 35 KABUPATEN/KOTA DI JAWA TENGAH TAHUN 2008-2012)

Poverty alleviation efforts have been done by the government through the direct attempts such as the provision of credit, better improvement in education and health services. However, the evidence of these efforts being successful still requires empirical testing. The aim of this study is to examine the effect of micro business credit, small business credit, education level, and health status against poverty The method used in this study is panel data with Fixed Effect Model and regional dummy. The use of regoin dummy in this research is to see the variations of poverty conditions in 35 districts / cities in Central Java between 2008 to 2012. The data were obtained from BPS reports and the reports of Bank Indonesia during the year 2008-2012 for each district / city in Central Java. The results of research found that micro business credit have a positive effect and statistically significant (α = 5%) against poverty, small business credit are negative and statistically significant (α = 5%) against poverty, education is also negative and statistically significant (α = 5%) against poverty, while health is not statistically significant

PERMINTAAN BERAS DI INDONESIA: REVISITED

This paper examines the demand for rice in Indonesia. The data used are timeseries data, ranges between 1970 and 2003, and data from National Survey (SUSENAS)2003. We employ the Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS) and its inverse to model theIndonesian demand for rice. We also estimate single equation, both ordinary and inversedemand models. Las but not least, the Error Correction Mechanism is used to model thedemand. However, the single (ordinary) equation model outperforms the others.The demand for rice in Indonesia has some regular behaviour, negative withrespect to price and positive in line with the income. However, the magnitudes of theparameters, the elasticity, have been changing. The elasticity with respect to income isdecreasing, indicates that rice is becoming an inferior goods. Family whose expendituresare lesser than 300,000 Rupiahs per month will increase their rice consumption inresponse to the increase in their income. The changes in the elasticity and the variabilityof the consumption in response to income make difficult to predict the total demand forrice.Keywords: Indonesia, rice, demand, AIDS/IAID