Modelling survival : exposure pattern, species sensitivity and uncertainty

The General Unified Threshold model for Survival (GUTS) integrates previously published toxicokinetic-toxicodynamic models and estimates survival with explicitly defined assumptions. Importantly, GUTS accounts for time-variable exposure to the stressor. We performed three studies to test the ability of GUTS to predict survival of aquatic organisms across different pesticide exposure patterns, time scales and species. Firstly, using synthetic data, we identified experimental data requirements which allow for the estimation of all parameters of the GUTS proper model. Secondly, we assessed how well GUTS, calibrated with short-term survival data of Gammarus pulex exposed to four pesticides, can forecast effects of longer-term pulsed exposures. Thirdly, we tested the ability of GUTS to estimate 14-day median effect concentrations of malathion for a range of species and use these estimates to build species sensitivity distributions for different exposure patterns. We find that GUTS adequately predicts survival across exposure patterns that vary over time. When toxicity is assessed for time-variable concentrations species may differ in their responses depending on the exposure profile. This can result in different species sensitivity rankings and safe levels. The interplay of exposure pattern and species sensitivity deserves systematic investigation in order to better understand how organisms respond to stress, including humans

Regulation of the transcription factor Ets-1 by DNA-mediated homo-dimerization

The function of the Ets-1 transcription factor is regulated by two regions that flank its DNA-binding domain. A previously established mechanism for auto-inhibition of monomeric Ets-1 on DNA response elements with a single ETS-binding site, however, has not been observed for the stromelysin-1 promoter containing two palindromic ETS-binding sites. We present the structure of Ets-1 on this promoter element, revealing a ternary complex in which protein homo-dimerization is mediated by the specific arrangement of the two ETS-binding sites. In this complex, the N-terminal-flanking region is required for ternary protein–DNA assembly. Ets-1 variants, in which residues from this region are mutated, loose the ability for DNA-mediated dimerization and stromelysin-1 promoter transactivation. Thus, our data unravel the molecular basis for relief of auto-inhibition and the ability of Ets-1 to function as a facultative dimeric transcription factor on this site. Our findings may also explain previous data of Ets-1 function in the context of heterologous transcription factors, thus providing a molecular model that could also be valid for Ets-1 regulation by hetero-oligomeric assembly