Describing behaviour: a philosophical analysis

Questions revolving around the possibility and justifiability of reductive analyses of the concept 'not', lie at the heart of many of the problems in the philosophical interpretation of not-descriptions. In this thesis, I wish to show, by discussing various problems in the logic of not-descriptions, that, and why, reductive analyses must be unsatisfactory

Notes and Letters

Replies to John Rosegrant’s response (in Mythlore #128) to her article on Tolkien’s traumatic family history in Mythlore #127

Tolkien in Love: Pictures from Winter 1912-1913

Makes a case for examining Tolkien’s work as an amateur visual artist as key to understanding the important stresses and changes in his life over the winter months of 1912–1913, as he anticipated reuniting with Edith Bratt after their forced separation

An inner boundary condition for solar wind models based on coronal density

Accurate forecasting of the solar wind has grown in importance as society becomes increasingly dependent on technology susceptible to space weather events. This work describes an inner boundary condition for ambient solar wind models based on tomography maps of the coronal plasma density gained from coronagraph observations, providing a novel alternative to magnetic extrapolations. The tomographical density maps provide a direct constraint of the coronal structure at heliocentric distances of 4–8 R⊙, thus avoiding the need to model the complex non-radial lower corona. An empirical inverse relationship converts densities to solar wind velocities, which are used as an inner boundary condition by the Heliospheric Upwind Extrapolation (HUXt) model to give ambient solar wind velocity at Earth. The dynamic time warping (DTW) algorithm is used to quantify the agreement between tomography/HUXt output and in situ data. An exhaustive search method is then used to adjust the lower boundary velocity range in order to optimise the model. Early results show up to a 32% decrease in mean absolute error between the modelled and observed solar wind velocities compared to the coupled MAS/HUXt model. The use of density maps gained from tomography as an inner boundary constraint is thus a valid alternative to coronal magnetic models and offers a significant advancement in the field, given the availability of routine space-based coronagraph observations