Crosswalk of Human Reliability Methods for Offshore Oil Incidents

PresentationHuman reliability analysis (HRA) has long been employed in nuclear power applications to account for the human contribution to safety. HRA is used qualitatively to identify and model sources of human error and quantitatively to calculate the human error probabilities of particular tasks. The nuclear power emphasis of HRA has helped ensure safe practices and risk-informed decision making in the international nuclear industry. This emphasis has also tended to result in a methodological focus on control room operations that are very specific to nuclear power, thereby potentially limiting the applicability of the methods for other safety critical domains. In recent years, there has been interest to explore HRA in other domains, including aerospace, defense, transportation, mining, and oil and gas. Following several high profile events in the oil and gas industry, notably the Macondo well kick event in the U.S., there has been a move to use HRA to model and reduce risk in future oil drilling and production activities. Organizations like the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement are adapting the risk framework of the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission for offshore purposes. In this paper, we present recent work to apply HRA methods to the analysis of offshore activities. We present the results of retrospective analyses using three popular HRA methods: SPAR-H, Petro-HRA, and CREAM. With the exception of Petro- HRA, these HRA methods were developed primarily for nuclear power event analysis. We present a comparison of the findings of these methods and a discussion of lessons learned in applying the methods to offshore events. The objective of this paper is to demonstrate the suitability of HRA methods for oil and gas risk analysis but also to identify topics where future research would be warranted to tailor these HRA methods

Keys to Profitable Guar Production.

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Reducing Discrimination in the Field: Evidence from an Awareness Raising Intervention Targeting Gender Biases in Student Evaluations of Teaching

This paper presents the results of a field experiment designed to reduce gender discrimination in student evaluations of teaching (SET). In the first intervention, students receive a normative statement reminding them that they should not discriminate in SETs. In the second intervention, the normative statement includes precise information about how other students (especially male students) have discriminated against female teachers in previous years. The purely normative statement has no significant impact on SET overall satisfaction scores, suggesting that a blanket awareness-raising campaign may be inefficient to reduce discrimination. However, the informational statement appears to significantly reduce gender discrimination. The effect we find mainly comes from a change in male students’ evaluation of female teachers

Retrospective Application of Human Reliability Analysis for Oil and Gas Incidents: A Case Study Using the Petro-HRA Method

Human reliability analysis (HRA) may be performed prospectively for a newly designed system or retrospectively for an as-built system, typically in response to a safety incident. The SPAR-H HRA method was originally developed for retrospective analysis in the U.S. nuclear industry. As HRA has found homes in new safety critical areas, HRA methods developed predominantly for nuclear power applications are being used in novel ways. The Petro-HRA method represents a significant adaptation of the SPAR-H method for petroleum applications. Current guidance on Petro-HRA considers only prospective applications of the method, such as for review of new systems to be installed at offshore installations. In this paper, we review retrospective applications of Petro-HRA and analyze the Macando Oil Well-Deepwater Horizon accident as a case study

Seeing motion and apparent motion

In apparent motion experiments, participants are presented with what is in fact a succession of two brief stationary stimuli at two different locations, but they report an impression of movement. Philosophers have recently debated whether apparent motion provides evidence in favour of a particular account of the nature of temporal experience. I argue that the existing discussion in this area is premised on a mistaken view of the phenomenology of apparent motion and, as a result, the space of possible philosophical positions has not yet been fully explored. In particular, I argue that the existence of apparent motion is compatible with an account of the nature of temporal experience that involves a version of direct realism. In doing so, I also argue against two other claims often made about apparent motion, viz. that apparent motion is the psychological phenomenon that underlies motion experience in the cinema, and that apparent motion is subjectively indistinguishable from real motion

A Full-Potential-Linearized-Augmented-Plane-Wave Electronic Structure Study of delta-Plutonium and the (001) Surface

The electronic and geometric properties of bulk fcc delta-plutonium and the quantum size effects in the surface energies and the work functions of the (001) ultra thin films (UTF) up to 7 layers have been investigated with periodic density functional theory calculations within the full-potential linearized augmented-plane wave (FP-LAPW) approach as implemented in the WIEN2k package. Our calculated equilibrium atomic volume of 178.3 a.u.^3 and bulk modulus of 24.9 GPa at the fully relativistic level of theory, i.e. spin-polarization and spin-orbit coupling included, are in good agreement with the experimental values of 168.2 a.u.^3 and 25 GPa (593 K), respectively. The calculated equilibrium lattice constants at different levels of approximation are used in the surface properties calculations for the thin films. The surface energy is found to be rapidly converged with the semi-infinite surface energy predicted to be 0.692eV at the fully-relativistic level.Comment: 27 pages,8 figure

Experimental electronic heat capacities of α−\alpha- and δ−\delta-Plutonium; heavy-fermion physics in an element

We have measured the heat capacities of $\delta-$Pu$_{0.95}$Al$_{0.05}$ and $\alpha-$Pu over the temperature range 2-303 K. The availability of data below 10 K plus an estimate of the phonon contribution to the heat capacity based on recent neutron-scattering experiments on the same sample enable us to make a reliable deduction of the electronic contribution to the heat capacity of $\delta-$Pu$_{0.95}$Al$_{0.05}$; we find $\gamma = 64 \pm 3$ mJK$^{-2}$mol$^{-1}$ as $T \to 0$. This is a factor $\sim 4$ larger than that of any element, and large enough for $\delta-$Pu$_{0.95}$Al$_{0.05}$ to be classed as a heavy-fermion system. By contrast, $\gamma = 17 \pm 1$ mJK$^{-2}$mol$^{-1}$ in $\alpha-$Pu. Two distinct anomalies are seen in the electronic contribution to the heat capacity of $\delta-$Pu$_{0.95}$Al$_{0.05}$, one or both of which may be associated with the formation of the $\alpha'-$ martensitic phase. We suggest that the large $\gamma$-value of $\delta-$Pu$_{0.95}$Al$_{0.05}$ may be caused by proximity to a quantum-critical point.Comment: 4 pages, 4 figure

Differential roles of CCL2 and CCR2 in host defense to coronavirus infection.

The CC chemokine ligand 2 (CCL2, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1) is important in coordinating the immune response following microbial infection by regulating T cell polarization as well as leukocyte migration and accumulation within infected tissues. The present study examines the consequences of mouse hepatitis virus (MHV) infection in mice lacking CCL2 (CCL2(-/-)) in order to determine if signaling by this chemokine is relevant in host defense. Intracerebral infection of CCL2(-/-) mice with MHV did not result in increased morbidity or mortality as compared to either wild type or CCR2(-/-) mice and CCL2(-/-) mice cleared replicating virus from the brain. In contrast, CCR2(-/-) mice displayed an impaired ability to clear virus from the brain that was accompanied by a reduction in the numbers of antigen-specific T cells as compared to both CCL2(-/-) and wild-type mice. The paucity in T cell accumulation within the central nervous system (CNS) of MHV-infected CCR2(-/-) mice was not the result of either a deficiency in antigen-presenting cell (APC) accumulation within draining cervical lymph nodes (CLN) or the generation of virus-specific T cells within this compartment. A similar reduction in macrophage infiltration into the CNS was observed in both CCL2(-/-) and CCR2(-/-) mice when compared to wild-type mice, indicating that both CCL2 and CC chemokine receptor 2 (CCR2) contribute to macrophage migration and accumulation within the CNS following MHV infection. Together, these data demonstrate that CCR2, but not CCL2, is important in host defense following viral infection of the CNS, and CCR2 ligand(s), other than CCL2, participates in generating a protective response

Fermi Surface of The One-dimensional Kondo Lattice Model

We show a strong indication of the existence of a large Fermi surface in the one-dimensional Kondo lattice model. The characteristic wave vector of the model is found to be $k_F=(1+\rho )\pi /2$, $\rho$ being the density of the conduction electrons. This result is at first obtained for a variant of the model that includes an antiferromagnetic Heisenberg interaction $J_H$ between the local moments. It is then directly observed in the conventional Kondo lattice $(J_H=0)$, in the narrow range of Kondo couplings where the long distance properties of the model are numerically accessible.Comment: 11 pages, 6 figure