Linking SVM based habitat model and evolutionary optimisation for managing environmental impacts of hydropower plants

The present study proposes a support vector machine (SVM)-based habitat model linked with evolutionary optimisation to balance the impacts of generating hydropower on the downstream river habitats. This method was applied in the Rajaei reservoir and Tajan River basin in Iran to mitigate the environmental impacts of hydropower plants. SVM model classified the habitat suitability at downstream river in which a sigmoid function considering different slopes was applied. The Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient as the evaluation index of the habitat model is 0.8, which implies the SVM model is robust to simulate physical habitats. Hydraulic simulation demonstrated that depth and velocity change from zero to 1.79 m and zero to 1.82 m/s, respectively. Most suitable river flow is 7 m3/s downstream of Rajaei reservoir. Five evolutionary algorithms were used to balance environmental impacts with generating hydropower. Finally, a fuzzy technique for order of preference by similarity to ideal solution (FTOPSIS) selected the best optimal solution in the Rajaei reservoir. Based on optimisation results, The simulated annealing (SA) algorithm was the best optimisation method to balance generating hydropower and downstream ecological impacts, in which average habitat suitability is more than 90% of average habitat suitability in the natural flow, while reliability of generating hydropower is 38%. Moreover, SA is able to minimise the average difference between habitat suitability in the optimal release and the natural flow properly. Using the proposed method is recommendable to mitigate the potential impacts of generating hydropower on the downstream river habitats

Application of Simulated Annealing in Water Resources Management: Optimal Solution of Groundwater Contamination Source Characterization Problem and Monitoring Network Design Problems

[Extract] Estimating various characteristics of an unknown groundwater pollutant source can be formulated as an optimization problem using linked simulation-optimization. Meta-heuristics based optimization algorithms such as Simulated Annealing (SA), Genetic Algorithm (GA), Tabu Search etc. are now being accepted as reliable, faster and simpler ways to solve this optimization problem. In this chapter we discuss the suitability of a variant of traditional Simulated Annealing (SA) known as the Adaptive Simulated Annealing (ASA) in solving unknown groundwater pollutant source characterization problem

Detecting land use changes using hybrid machine learning methods in the Australian tropical regions

The present study evaluates the application of the hybrid machine learning methods to detect changes of land use with a focus on agricultural lands through remote sensing data processing. Two spectral images by Landsat 8 were applied to train and test the machine learning model. Feed forward neural network classifier was utilized as the machine learning model in which two evolutionary algorithms including particle swarm optimization and invasive weed optimization were applied for the training process. Moreover, three conventional training methods including Levenberg–Marquardt back propagation (LM), Scaled conjugate gradient backpropagation (SCG) and BFGS quasi-Newton backpropagation (BFG) were used for comparing the robustness and reliability of the evolutionary algorithms. Based on the results in the case study, evolutionary algorithms are not a reliable method for detecting changes through the remote sensing analysis in terms of accuracy and computational complexities. Either BFG or LM is the best method to detect the agricultural lands in the present study. BFG is slightly more robust than the LM method. However, LM might be preferred for applying in the projects due to low computational complexities

Linking direct rainfall hydrodynamic and fuzzy loss models for generating flood damage map

This research work proposes a combined method for mapping flood loss in catchment scale in which direct rainfall modelling and fuzzy approach are linked. The direct rainfall modelling was carried out using HEC-RAS 2D in which rainfall event hyetograph was defined as the boundary condition, and infiltration layer and roughness layer were other main inputs of the model. The fuzzy loss model was developed to assess direct-tangible damages of the flood in which expert opinions were applied to generate verbal fuzzy rules of flood loss. In this model, depth and velocity are inputs and normalized flood loss (between 0 and 1) is output. The results of the direct rainfall model and the fuzzy loss model were combined to generate loss map using python scripting in geographical information system. The output of direct rainfall model was verified based on recorded depths at downstream hydrometric station in which the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) and root mean square error (RMSE) were applied as the evaluation indices. Due to acceptability of indices (NSE = 0.75, RMSE = 0.83 m), the direct rainfall model was reliable. Maximum flood loss was 0.91 in the case study. Using the proposed approach is recommendable for to improve flood damage assessment in the catchments

Genetic Programming: Efficient Modeling Tool in Hydrology and Groundwater Management

[Extract] With the advent of computers a wide range of mathematical and numerical models have been developed with the intent of predicting or approximating parts of hyrdrologic cycle. Prior to the advent of conceptual process based models, physical hydraulic models, which are reduced scale representations of large hydraulic systems, were used commonly in water resources engineering. Fast development in the computational systems and numerical solutions of complex differential equations enabled development of conceptual models to represent physical systems. Thus, in the last two decades large number of mathematical models was developed to represent different processes in hydrological cycle

Application of simulated annealing in search for efficient optimal solutions of a groundwater contamination related problem

Characterization of groundwater contamination sources is a complex inverse problem. This inverse problem becomes complicated, due to the nonlinear nature of the groundwater flow and transport processes and the associated natural uncertainties. The mathematical challenges arise due to the nonunique characteristics of this problem resulting from the nonunique response of the aquifer system to a set of stresses and the possibility of instead locating only local optimal solutions. The linked simulation‐optimization model is an efficient approach to identifying groundwater contamination source characteristics. Efficiency and accuracy of the search for optimum solutions of a linked simulation‐optimization depend on the utilized optimization algorithm. This limited study focuses on the application and efficiency of simulated annealing (SA) as the optimization algorithm for solving the source characterization problem. The advantages in using adaptive simulated algorithm (ASA) as an alternative are then evaluated. The possibility of identifying a local optimal solution rather than a global optimal solution when using SA implies failure to solve the source characterization inverse problem. The cost of such inaccurate characterization may be enormous when a remediation strategy is based on the model inferences. ASA is shown to provide a reliable and acceptable alternative for solving this challenging aquifer contamination problem

Coupled simulation-optimization model for coastal aquifer management using genetic programming-based ensemble surrogate models and multiple-realization optimization

Approximation surrogates are used to substitute the numerical simulation model within optimization algorithms in order to reduce the computational burden on the coupled simulation-optimization methodology. Practical utility of the surrogate-based simulation-optimization have been limited mainly due to the uncertainty in surrogate model simulations. We develop a surrogate-based coupled simulation-optimization methodology for deriving optimal extraction strategies for coastal aquifer management considering the predictive uncertainty of the surrogate model. Optimization models considering two conflicting objectives are solved using a multiobjective genetic algorithm. Objectives of maximizing the pumping from production wells and minimizing the barrier well pumping for hydraulic control of saltwater intrusion are considered. Density-dependent flow and transport simulation model FEMWATER is used to generate input-output patterns of groundwater extraction rates and resulting salinity levels. The nonparametric bootstrap method is used to generate different realizations of this data set. These realizations are used to train different surrogate models using genetic programming for predicting the salinity intrusion in coastal aquifers. The predictive uncertainty of these surrogate models is quantified and ensemble of surrogate models is used in the multiple-realization optimization model to derive the optimal extraction strategies. The multiple realizations refer to the salinity predictions using different surrogate models in the ensemble. Optimal solutions are obtained for different reliability levels of the surrogate models. The solutions are compared against the solutions obtained using a chance-constrained optimization formulation and single-surrogate-based model. The ensemble-based approach is found to provide reliable solutions for coastal aquifer management while retaining the advantage of surrogate models in reducing computational burden

Reliability evaluation of groundwater contamination source characterization under uncertain flow field

Groundwater contamination is one of the serious environmental problems. Effective remediation strategies require accurate characteristics of contamination sources. Contamination source identification approaches need accurate flow and contaminant transport simulation models. In order to obtain reliable solutions, the simulation models need to be provided with reliable hydrogeologic information. In real life scenarios usually sparse and limited hydrogeologic information is available. In this study two hydraulic conductivity sampling networks are ranked based on their effectiveness in identifying reliable contamination source characteristics. Using multiple realizations of hydraulic conductivity fields, and the location and size of the contaminant plume at different monitoring stages, an index of reliability is estimated for each hydraulic conductivity sampling network. It is demonstrated that the source characteristics identified by utilizing the sampling network with higher index of reliability results in more accurate characterization of contamination sources. Therefore the developed methodology provides a tool to select an appropriate hydrogeologic sampling network for more efficient characterizing of contamination sources

Application of Simulated Annealing and Adaptive Simulated Annealing in Search for Efficient Optimal Solutions of a Groundwater Contamination related Problem

Characterization of groundwater contamination sources is a complex inverse problem. This inverse problem becomes complicated, due to the nonlinear nature of the groundwater flow and transport processes and the associated natural uncertainties. The mathematical challenges arise due to the nonunique characteristics of this problem resulting from the nonunique response of the aquifer system to a set of stresses and the possibility of instead locating only local optimal solutions. The linked simulation‐optimization model is an efficient approach to identifying groundwater contamination source characteristics. Efficiency and accuracy of the search for optimum solutions of a linked simulation‐optimization depend on the utilized optimization algorithm. This limited study focuses on the application and efficiency of simulated annealing (SA) as the optimization algorithm for solving the source characterization problem. The advantages in using adaptive simulated algorithm (ASA) as an alternative are then evaluated. The possibility of identifying a local optimal solution rather than a global optimal solution when using SA implies failure to solve the source characterization inverse problem. The cost of such inaccurate characterization may be enormous when a remediation strategy is based on the model inferences. ASA is shown to provide a reliable and acceptable alternative for solving this challenging aquifer contamination problem

Application of monitoring network design and feedback information for adaptive management of coastal groundwater resources

Optimal strategies for the management of coastal groundwater resources can be derived using coupled simulation-optimization based management models. However, the management strategy actually implemented on the field sometimes deviates from the recommended optimal strategy, resulting in field-level deviations. Monitoring these field-level deviations during actual implementation of the recommended optimal management strategy and sequentially updating the management model using the feedback information is an important step towards efficient adaptive management of coastal groundwater resources. In this study, a three-phase adaptive management framework for a coastal aquifer subjected to saltwater intrusion is applied and evaluated for a regional-scale coastal aquifer study area. The methodology adopted includes three sequential components. First, an optimal management strategy (consisting of groundwater extraction from production and barrier wells) is derived and implemented for optimal management of the aquifer. The implemented management strategy is obtained by solving a homogenous ensemble-based coupled simulation-optimization model. Second, a regional-scale optimal monitoring network is designed for the aquifer system considering possible user noncompliance of a recommended management strategy, and uncertainties in estimating aquifer parameters. A new monitoring network design objective function is formulated to ensure that candidate monitoring wells are placed in high risk (highly contaminated) locations. In addition, a new methodology is utilized to select candidate monitoring wells in areas representative of the entire model domain. Finally, feedback information in the form of measured concentrations obtained from the designed optimal monitoring wells is used to sequentially modify pumping strategies for future time periods in the management horizon. The developed adaptive management framework is evaluated by applying it to the Bonriki aquifer system located in Kiribati, which is a small developing island country in the South Pacific region. Overall, the results from this study suggest that the implemented adaptive management strategy has the potential to address important practical implementation issues arising due to noncompliance of an optimal management strategy and uncertain aquifer parameters