Spatial modeling techniques for mapping and characterization of acid sulfate soils

Acid sulfate (a.s.) soils constitute a major environmental issue. Severe ecological damage results from the considerable amounts of acidity and metals leached by these soils in the recipient watercourses. As even small hot spots may affect large areas of coastal waters, mapping represents a fundamental step in the management and mitigation of a.s. soil environmental risks (i.e. to target strategic areas). Traditional mapping in the field is time-consuming and therefore expensive. Additional more cost-effective techniques have, thus, to be developed in order to narrow down and define in detail the areas of interest. The primary aim of this thesis was to assess different spatial modeling techniques for a.s. soil mapping, and the characterization of soil properties relevant for a.s. soil environmental risk management, using all available data: soil and water samples, as well as datalayers (e.g. geological and geophysical). Different spatial modeling techniques were applied at catchment or regional scale. Two artificial neural networks were assessed on the Sirppujoki River catchment (c. 440 km2) located in southwestern Finland, while fuzzy logic was assessed on several areas along the Finnish coast. Quaternary geology, aerogeophysics and slope data (derived from a digital elevation model) were utilized as evidential datalayers. The methods also required the use of point datasets (i.e. soil profiles corresponding to known a.s. or non-a.s. soil occurrences) for training and/or validation within the modeling processes. Applying these methods, various maps were generated: probability maps for a.s. soil occurrence, as well as predictive maps for different soil properties (sulfur content, organic matter content and critical sulfide depth). The two assessed artificial neural networks (ANNs) demonstrated good classification abilities for a.s. soil probability mapping at catchment scale. Slightly better results were achieved using a Radial Basis Function (RBF) -based ANN than a Radial Basis Functional Link Net (RBFLN) method, narrowing down more accurately the most probable areas for a.s. soil occurrence and defining more properly the least probable areas. The RBF-based ANN also demonstrated promising results for the characterization of different soil properties in the most probable a.s. soil areas at catchment scale. Since a.s. soil areas constitute highly productive lands for agricultural purpose, the combination of a probability map with more specific soil property predictive maps offers a valuable toolset to more precisely target strategic areas for subsequent environmental risk management. Notably, the use of laser scanning (i.e. Light Detection And Ranging, LiDAR) data enabled a more precise definition of a.s. soil probability areas, as well as the soil property modeling classes for sulfur content and the critical sulfide depth. Given suitable training/validation points, ANNs can be trained to yield a more precise modeling of the occurrence of a.s. soils and their properties. By contrast, fuzzy logic represents a simple, fast and objective alternative to carry out preliminary surveys, at catchment or regional scale, in areas offering a limited amount of data. This method enables delimiting and prioritizing the most probable areas for a.s soil occurrence, which can be particularly useful in the field. Being easily transferable from area to area, fuzzy logic modeling can be carried out at regional scale. Mapping at this scale would be extremely time-consuming through manual assessment. The use of spatial modeling techniques enables the creation of valid and comparable maps, which represents an important development within the a.s. soil mapping process. The a.s. soil mapping was also assessed using water chemistry data for 24 different catchments along the Finnish coast (in all, covering c. 21,300 km2) which were mapped with different methods (i.e. conventional mapping, fuzzy logic and an artificial neural network). Two a.s. soil related indicators measured in the river water (sulfate content and sulfate/chloride ratio) were compared to the extent of the most probable areas for a.s. soils in the surveyed catchments. High sulfate contents and sulfate/chloride ratios measured in most of the rivers demonstrated the presence of a.s. soils in the corresponding catchments. The calculated extent of the most probable a.s. soil areas is supported by independent data on water chemistry, suggesting that the a.s. soil probability maps created with different methods are reliable and comparable

Mapping of Peat Thickness Using a Multi-Receiver Electromagnetic Induction Instrument

Peatlands constitute extremely valuable areas because of their ability to store large amounts of soil organic carbon (SOC). Investigating different key peat soil properties, such as the extent, thickness (or depth to mineral soil) and bulk density, is highly relevant for the precise calculation of the amount of stored SOC at the field scale. However, conventional peat coring surveys are both labor-intensive and time-consuming, and indirect mapping methods based on proximal sensors appear as a powerful supplement to traditional surveys. The aim of the present study was to assess the use of a non-invasive electromagnetic induction (EMI) technique as an augmentation to a traditional peat coring survey that provides localized and discrete measurements. In particular, a DUALEM-421S instrument was used to measure the apparent electrical conductivity (ECa) over a 10-ha field located in Jutland, Denmark. In the study area, the peat thickness varied notably from north to south, with a range from 3 to 730 cm. Simple and multiple linear regressions with soil observations from 110 sites were used to predict peat thickness from (a) raw ECa measurements (i.e., single and multiple-coil predictions), (b) true electrical conductivity (σ) estimates calculated using a quasi-three-dimensional inversion algorithm and (c) different combinations of ECa data with environmental covariates (i.e., light detection and ranging (LiDAR)-based elevation and derived terrain attributes). The results indicated that raw ECa data can already constitute relevant predictors for peat thickness in the study area, with single-coil predictions yielding substantial accuracies with coefficients of determination (R2) ranging from 0.63 to 0.86 and root mean square error (RMSE) values between 74 and 122 cm, depending on the measuring DUALEM-421S coil configuration. While the combinations of ECa data (both single and multiple-coil) with elevation generally provided slightly higher accuracies, the uncertainty estimates for single-coil predictions were smaller (i.e., smaller 95% confidence intervals). The present study demonstrates a high potential for EMI data to be used for peat thickness mapping

Mapping peat depth using a portable gamma-ray sensor and terrain attributes

Pristine peatlands being excellent storage for terrestrial Carbon (C) play a crucial role in regulating climate and water and provide several important ecosystem services. However, peatlands have been heavily altered (e.g., by draining the water table), increasing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Restoring peatlands requires a comprehensive characterization, including knowledge of peat depth (PD; m). Traditionally, this requires the physical insertion of a push probe, which is time-consuming and labor-intensive. It has been shown that non-invasive proximal sensing techniques such as electromagnetic induction and ground penetrating radar can add value to PD data. In this research, we want to assess the potential of proximally sensed gamma-ray (γ-ray) spectrometry (i.e., potassium [K], thorium [Th], uranium [U], and the count rate [CR]) and terrain attributes data (i.e., elevation, slope, SAGAWI, and MRVBF) to map PD either alone or in combination across a small (10 ha) peatland area in ØBakker, Denmark. Here, the PD varies from 0.1 m in the south to 7.3 m in the north. We use various prediction models including ordinary kriging (OK) of PD, linear regression (LR), multiple LR (MLR), LR kriging (LRK), MLR kriging (MLRK) and empirical Bayesian kriging regression (EBKR). We also determine the minimum calibration sample size required by decreasing sample size in decrements (i.e., n = 100, 90, 80,…, 30). We compare these approaches using prediction agreement (Lin’s concordance correlation coefficient; LCCC) and accuracy (root mean square error; RMSE). The results show that OK using maximum calibration size (n = 108) had near perfect agreement (0.97) and accuracy (0.59 m), compared to LR (ln CR; 0.65 and 0.78 m, respectively) and MLR (ln K, Th, CR and elevation; 0.85 and 0.63 m). Improvements are achieved by adding residuals; LRK (0.95 and 0.71 m) and MLRK (0.96 and 0.51 m). The best results were obtained using EBKR (0.97 and 0.63 m) given all predictions were positive and no significant change in agreement and standard errors with the decrement of calibration sample size (e.g., n = 30). The results have implications towards C stocks assessment and improved land use planning to control GHG emissions and slow down global warming

Comparing a Random Forest Based Prediction of Winter Wheat Yield to Historical Yield Potential

Predicting wheat yield is crucial due to the importance of wheat across the world. When modeling yield, the difference between potential and actual yield consistently changes because of advances in technology. Considering historical yield potential would help determine spatiotemporal trends in agricultural development. Comparing current and historical yields in Denmark is possible because yield potential has been documented throughout history. However, the current national winter wheat yield map solely uses soil properties within the model. The aim of this study was to generate a new Danish winter wheat yield map and compare the results to historical yield potential. Utilizing random forest with soil, climate, and topography variables, a winter wheat yield map was generated from 876 field trials carried out from 1992 to 2018. The random forest model performed better than the model based only on soil. The updated national yield map was then compared to yield potential maps from 1688 and 1844. While historical time periods are characterized by numerous low yield potential areas and few highly productive areas, current yield is evenly distributed between low and high yields. Advances in technology and farm practices have exceeded historical yield predictions, mainly due to the use of fertilizer, irrigation, and drainage. Thus, modeling yield projections could be unreliable in the future as technology progresses

Assessing the suitability of ground-penetrating radar for peat imaging

Peatland conservation and restoration are prominent in slowing global warming. A thorough comprehension of peat inventory, especially the thickness, bulk density, water table levels, and geological setting, is necessary to plan and initiate rewetting strategies and to calculate emission savings. The conventional mapping methods involving push probes and boreholes are not only cost- and labor-intensive, but they also provide only localized measurements. Among the geophysical sensors, while electromagnetic induction (EMI) and gamma-ray spectrometry have proven to be suitable for mapping specific attributes, ground penetrating radar (GPR) is seen as the industry’s standard recommendation. However, the success rate can be highly variable in reality depending on the peatland type, and ignoring this can lead to the waste of numerous resources. To demonstrate this, in this study, we compare GPR survey transects performed on two different peatland types (a bog vs. a fen) with two different antenna center frequencies (i.e., 160 MHz and 450 MHz). Electrical resistivity tomography was also performed along the same transects to complement and guide our interpretation. Our results suggest that while GPR surveys are suitable in rain-fed oligotrophic bogs, less to no success rate can be anticipated in minerotrophic fens. Forward modeling using gprMax is also shown to substantiate these findings. Thus, knowledge of the peatland type constitutes crucial information for sensor selection. If in doubt, we recommend performing on-the-go EMI surveys before initiating GPR surveys, as electrical conductivity might be sufficient on its own for peatland characterization. Moreover, EMI is also useful for predicting GPR performances

Épidémiologie des pertes de grossesse

International audienc

Méthodologie des recommandations pour la pratique clinique concernant la prise en charge des pertes de grossesse

International audienc