Dipolo orográfico: consideraciones a partir de las observaciones PYREX

Ponencia presentada en: III Simposio Nacional de Predicción del Instituto Nacional de Meteorología, celebrado en 1996 en MadridLa influencia de los Pirineos en la zona del Mediterráneo Occidental se manifiesta en la generación de ciertos sistemas de presión (dipolo orográfico de presión) fundamentales en la fenomenología de la región. En este trabajo se hace una interpretación de los primeros resultados de las medidas del drag, realizadas durante el PYREX, destacando el papel de la componente hidrostática de aquél, presumiblemente asociada al bloqueo del aire frío y secundariamente al efecto foehn y su relación con el dipolo orográfico de presión mencionado

The International Surface Pressure Databank version 2

The International Surface Pressure Databank (ISPD) is the world's largest collection of global surface and sea-level pressure observations. It was developed by extracting observations from established international archives, through international cooperation with data recovery facilitated by the Atmospheric Circulation Reconstructions over the Earth (ACRE) initiative, and directly by contributing universities, organizations, and countries. The dataset period is currently 1768–2012 and consists of three data components: observations from land stations, marine observing systems, and tropical cyclone best track pressure reports. Version 2 of the ISPD (ISPDv2) was created to be observational input for the Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project (20CR) and contains the quality control and assimilation feedback metadata from the 20CR. Since then, it has been used for various general climate and weather studies, and an updated version 3 (ISPDv3) has been used in the ERA-20C reanalysis in connection with the European Reanalysis of Global Climate Observations project (ERA-CLIM). The focus of this paper is on the ISPDv2 and the inclusion of the 20CR feedback metadata. The Research Data Archive at the National Center for Atmospheric Research provides data collection and access for the ISPDv2, and will provide access to future versions

A predictive model relating daily fluctuations in summer temperatures and mortality rates

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>In the context of climate change, an efficient alert system to prevent the risk associated with summer heat is necessary. The authors' objective was to describe the temperature-mortality relationship in France over a 29-year period and to define and validate a combination of temperature factors enabling optimum prediction of the daily fluctuations in summer mortality.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>The study addressed the daily mortality rates of subjects aged over 55 years, in France as a whole, from 1975 to 2003. The daily minimum and maximum temperatures consisted in the average values recorded by 97 meteorological stations. For each day, a cumulative variable for the maximum temperature over the preceding 10 days was defined.</p> <p>The mortality rate was modelled using a Poisson regression with over-dispersion and a first-order autoregressive structure and with control for long-term and within-summer seasonal trends. The lag effects of temperature were accounted for by including the preceding 5 days. A "backward" method was used to select the most significant climatic variables. The predictive performance of the model was assessed by comparing the observed and predicted daily mortality rates on a validation period (summer 2003), which was distinct from the calibration period (1975–2002) used to estimate the model.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>The temperature indicators explained 76% of the total over-dispersion. The greater part of the daily fluctuations in mortality was explained by the interaction between minimum and maximum temperatures, for a day <it>t </it>and the day preceding it. The prediction of mortality during extreme events was greatly improved by including the cumulative variables for maximum temperature, in interaction with the maximum temperatures. The correlation between the observed and estimated mortality ratios was 0.88 in the final model.</p> <p>Conclusion</p> <p>Although France is a large country with geographic heterogeneity in both mortality and temperatures, a strong correlation between the daily fluctuations in mortality and the temperatures in summer on a national scale was observed. The model provided a satisfactory quantitative prediction of the daily mortality both for the days with usual temperatures and for the days during intense heat episodes. The results may contribute to enhancing the alert system for intense heat waves.</p

WMO assessment of weather and climate mortality extremes : lightning, tropical cyclones, tornadoes, and hail

A World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Commission for Climatology international panel was convened to examine and assess the available evidence associated with five weather-related mortality extremes: 1) lightning (indirect), 2) lightning (direct), 3) tropical cyclones, 4) tornadoes, and 5) hail. After recommending for acceptance of only events after 1873 (the formation of the predecessor of the WMO), the committee evaluated and accepted the following mortality extremes: 1) ''highest mortality (indirect strike) associated with lightning'' as the 469 people killed in a lightning-caused oil tank fire in Dronka, Egypt, on 2 November 1994; 2) ''highest mortality directly associated with a single lightning flash'' as the lightning flash that killed 21 people in a hut in Manica Tribal Trust Lands, Zimbabwe (at time of incident, eastern Rhodesia), on 23 December 1975; 3) ''highest mortality associated with a tropical cyclone'' as the Bangladesh (at time of incident, East Pakistan) cyclone of 12-13 November 1970 with an estimated death toll of 300 000 people| 4) ''highest mortality associated with a tornado'' as the 26 April 1989 tornado that destroyed the Manikganj district, Bangladesh, with an estimated death toll of 1300 individuals| and 5) ''highest mortality associated with a hailstorm'' as the storm occurring near Moradabad, India, on 30 April 1888 that killed 246 people. These mortality extremes serve to further atmospheric science by giving baseline mortality values for comparison to future weather-related catastrophes and also allow for adjudication of new meteorological information as it becomes available.https://www.ametsoc.org/ams/index.cfm/publications/journals/weather-climate-and-society2018-01-30hj2017Geography, Geoinformatics and Meteorolog

Le rayonnement solaire et sa composante ultraviolette

In the context of the hazards due to the recurrent depletions of the stratospheric ozone layer, this paper recalls some general knowledge of solar radiation, its propagation in the atmosphere and the special properties of its ultraviolet component. Then it presents the current system for warning the French public of the possible hazards coming from ultraviolet radiation.Dans le contexte des risques liés aux affaiblissements récurrents de la couche d'ozone stratosphérique, on rappelle ici un certain nombre de connaissances générales sur le rayonnement solaire, sa propagation dans l'atmosphère et les particularités du comportement de sa composante ultraviolette. On présente ensuite le dispositif actuel d'information du public français sur les risques liés au rayonnement ultraviolet

Adapting to climate variability and change: the Climate Outlook Forum process

An overview of Regional Climate Outlook Forums

Estimation de la réserve en eau du sol à partir du contenu en eau superficiel ou de la température de surface : étude de faisabilité à partir de mesures de terrain

National audienc

BOREAS TF-6 SSA-YA Surface Energy Flux and Meteorological Data

The BOREAS TF-6 team collected surface energy flux and meteorology data at the SSA-YA site. The data characterize the energy flux and meteorological conditions at the site from 18-Jul to 20-Sep-1994. The data set does not contain any trace gas exchange measurements. The data are available in tabular ASCII files