Nonlinear Models of Convergence

A sufficient issue in studies of economic development is whether economies (countries, regions of a country, etc.) converge to one another in terms of per capita income. In this paper, nonlinear asymptotically subsiding trends of income gap in a pair of economies model the convergence process. A few specific forms of such trends are proposed: log-exponential trend, exponential trend, and fractional trend. A pair of economies is deemed converging if time series of their income gap is stationary about any of these trends. To test for stationarity, standard unit root tests are applied with non-standard test statistics that are estimated for each kind of the trends

Effects of Neurally Adjusted Ventilatory Assist (NAVA) levels in non-invasive ventilated patients: titrating NAVA levels with electric diaphragmatic activity and tidal volume matching

BACKGROUND: Neurally adjusted ventilatory assist (NAVA) delivers pressure in proportion to diaphragm electrical activity (Eadi). However, each patient responds differently to NAVA levels. This study aims to examine the matching between tidal volume (Vt) and patients' inspiratory demand (Eadi), and to investigate patient-specific response to various NAVA levels in non-invasively ventilated patients. METHODS: 12 patients were ventilated non-invasively with NAVA using three different NAVA levels. NAVA100 was set according to the manufacturer's recommendation to have similar peak airway pressure as during pressure support. NAVA level was then adjusted ±50% (NAVA50, NAVA150). Airway pressure, flow and Eadi were recorded for 15 minutes at each NAVA level. The matching of Vt and integral of Eadi (ʃEadi) were assessed at the different NAVA levels. A metric, Range90, was defined as the 5-95% range of Vt/ʃEadi ratio to assess matching for each NAVA level. Smaller Range90 values indicated better matching of supply to demand. RESULTS: Patients ventilated at NAVA50 had the lowest Range90 with median 25.6 uVs/ml [Interquartile range (IQR): 15.4-70.4], suggesting that, globally, NAVA50 provided better matching between ʃEadi and Vt than NAVA100 and NAVA150. However, on a per-patient basis, 4 patients had the lowest Range90 values in NAVA100, 1 patient at NAVA150 and 7 patients at NAVA50. Robust coefficient of variation for ʃEadi and Vt were not different between NAVA levels. CONCLUSIONS: The patient-specific matching between ʃEadi and Vt was variable, indicating that to obtain the best possible matching, NAVA level setting should be patient specific. The Range90 concept presented to evaluate Vt/ʃEadi is a physiologic metric that could help in individual titration of NAVA level.Peer reviewe

Expiratory model-based method to monitor ARDS disease state

INTRODUCTION: Model-based methods can be used to characterise patient-specific condition and response to mechanical ventilation (MV) during treatment for acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). Conventional metrics of respiratory mechanics are based on inspiration only, neglecting data from the expiration cycle. However, it is hypothesised that expiratory data can be used to determine an alternative metric, offering another means to track patient condition and guide positive end expiratory pressure (PEEP) selection. METHODS: Three fully sedated, oleic acid induced ARDS piglets underwent three experimental phases. Phase 1 was a healthy state recruitment manoeuvre. Phase 2 was a progression from a healthy state to an oleic acid induced ARDS state. Phase 3 was an ARDS state recruitment manoeuvre. The expiratory time-constant model parameter was determined for every breathing cycle for each subject. Trends were compared to estimates of lung elastance determined by means of an end-inspiratory pause method and an integral-based method. All experimental procedures, protocols and the use of data in this study were reviewed and approved by the Ethics Committee of the University of Liege Medical Faculty. RESULTS: The overall median absolute percentage fitting error for the expiratory time-constant model across all three phases was less than 10 %; for each subject, indicating the capability of the model to capture the mechanics of breathing during expiration. Provided the respiratory resistance was constant, the model was able to adequately identify trends and fundamental changes in respiratory mechanics. CONCLUSION: Overall, this is a proof of concept study that shows the potential of continuous monitoring of respiratory mechanics in clinical practice. Respiratory system mechanics vary with disease state development and in response to MV settings. Therefore, titrating PEEP to minimal elastance theoretically results in optimal PEEP selection. Trends matched clinical expectation demonstrating robustness and potential for guiding MV therapy. However, further research is required to confirm the use of such real-time methods in actual ARDS patients, both sedated and spontaneously breathing.Peer reviewe

Methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase polymorphism 677C>T is associated with peripheral arterial disease in type 2 diabetes

BACKGROUND: Individuals with diabetes are twice as likely to develop peripheral arterial disease (PAD), the manifestation of extensive atherosclerosis throughout the lower extremities. One putative determinant of PAD is the 677C>T polymorphism in the gene encoding methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR), which has previously been found to associate with various diabetic complications including retinopathy, nephropathy, atherosclerosis and coronary heart disease. The objective of this study was to investigate a possible role for the MTHFR 677C>T gene polymorphism with PAD in subjects with type 2 diabetes from an isolated aboriginal Canadian population. METHODS: The 677C>T MTHFR gene polymorphism was genotyped in 138 subjects of Oji-Cree descent. Participants were selected from a community-wide survey that included PAD assessment by ankle-brachial index (ABI) measurement, and also intermittent claudication assessment by the Rose questionnaire. RESULTS: MTHFR 677T allele carriers had an increased risk of PAD with an odds ratio of 3.54 (95% CI 1.01, 12.4), P = 0.049, after adjustment for age, sex, duration of diabetes, hypertension, current smoking habits, and use of insulin or oral treatment for diabetes. None of these additional co-variables was significantly associated with PAD. No association was found between MTHFR genotype and intermittent claudication. CONCLUSION: The genetic influence of the MTHFR 677C>T genotype on diabetic PAD is modest, yet for the Oji-Cree it is a major risk factor in comparison to other traditional risk factors

Performance of lung recruitment model in healthy anesthetised pigs

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Computer-based monitoring of global cardiovascular dynamics during acute pulmonary embolism and septic shock in swine

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Model-based diagnosis of acute pulmonary embolism and septic shock in porcine trials

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Model-based cardiovascular monitoring of large pore hemofiltration during endotoxic shock in pigs

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A more unstable resting-state functional network in cognitively declining multiple sclerosis

Cognitive impairment is common in people with multiple sclerosis and strongly affects their daily functioning. Reports have linked disturbed cognitive functioning in multiple sclerosis to changes in the organization of the functional network. In a healthy brain, communication between brain regions and which network a region belongs to is continuously and dynamically adapted to enable adequate cognitive function. However, this dynamic network adaptation has not been investigated in multiple sclerosis, and longitudinal network data remain particularly rare. Therefore, the aim of this study was to longitudinally identify patterns of dynamic network reconfigurations that are related to the worsening of cognitive decline in multiple sclerosis. Resting-state functional MRI and cognitive scores (expanded Brief Repeatable Battery of Neuropsychological tests) were acquired in 230 patients with multiple sclerosis and 59 matched healthy controls, at baseline (mean disease duration: 15 years) and at 5-year follow-up. A sliding-window approach was used for functional MRI analyses, where brain regions were dynamically assigned to one of seven literature-based subnetworks. Dynamic reconfigurations of subnetworks were characterized using measures of promiscuity (number of subnetworks switched to), flexibility (number of switches), cohesion (mutual switches) and disjointedness (independent switches). Cross-sectional differences between cognitive groups and longitudinal changes were assessed, as well as relations with structural damage and performance on specific cognitive domains. At baseline, 23% of patients were cognitively impaired (≥2/7 domains Z < -2) and 18% were mildly impaired (≥2/7 domains Z < -1.5). Longitudinally, 28% of patients declined over time (0.25 yearly change on ≥2/7 domains based on reliable change index). Cognitively impaired patients displayed more dynamic network reconfigurations across the whole brain compared with cognitively preserved patients and controls, i.e. showing higher promiscuity (P = 0.047), flexibility (P = 0.008) and cohesion (P = 0.008). Over time, cognitively declining patients showed a further increase in cohesion (P = 0.004), which was not seen in stable patients (P = 0.544). More cohesion was related to more severe structural damage (average r = 0.166, P = 0.015) and worse verbal memory (r = -0.156, P = 0.022), information processing speed (r = -0.202, P = 0.003) and working memory (r = -0.163, P = 0.017). Cognitively impaired multiple sclerosis patients exhibited a more unstable network reconfiguration compared to preserved patients, i.e. brain regions switched between subnetworks more often, which was related to structural damage. This shift to more unstable network reconfigurations was also demonstrated longitudinally in patients that showed cognitive decline only. These results indicate the potential relevance of a progressive destabilization of network topology for understanding cognitive decline in multiple sclerosis

Realistic Adversarial Data Augmentation for MR Image Segmentation

Neural network-based approaches can achieve high accuracy in various medical image segmentation tasks. However, they generally require large labelled datasets for supervised learning. Acquiring and manually labelling a large medical dataset is expensive and sometimes impractical due to data sharing and privacy issues. In this work, we propose an adversarial data augmentation method for training neural networks for medical image segmentation. Instead of generating pixel-wise adversarial attacks, our model generates plausible and realistic signal corruptions, which models the intensity inhomogeneities caused by a common type of artefacts in MR imaging: bias field. The proposed method does not rely on generative networks, and can be used as a plug-in module for general segmentation networks in both supervised and semi-supervised learning. Using cardiac MR imaging we show that such an approach can improve the generalization ability and robustness of models as well as provide significant improvements in low-data scenarios