A fuzzy multi-criteria decision making approach for managing performance and risk in integrated procurement-production planning

Nowadays in Supply Chain (SC) networks, a high level of risk comes from SC partners. An effective risk management process becomes as a consequence mandatory, especially at the tactical planning level. The aim of this article is to present a risk-oriented integrated procurement–production approach for tactical planning in a multi-echelon SC network involving multiple suppliers, multiple parallel manufacturing plants, multiple subcontractors and several customers. An originality of the work is to combine an analytical model allowing to build feasible scenarios and a multi-criteria approach for assessing these scenarios. The literature has mainly addressed the problem through cost or profit-based optimisation and seldom considers more qualitative yet important criteria linked to risk, like trust in the supplier, flexibility or resilience. Unlike the traditional approaches, we present a method evaluating each possible supply scenario through performance-based and risk-based decision criteria, involving both qualitative and quantitative factors, in order to clearly separate the performance of a scenario and the risk taken if it is adopted. Since the decision-maker often cannot provide crisp values for some critical data, fuzzy sets theory is suggested in order to model vague information based on subjective expertise. Fuzzy Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution is used to determine both the performance and risk measures correlated to each possible tactical plan. The applicability and tractability of the proposed approach is shown on an illustrative example and a sensitivity analysis is performed to investigate the influence of criteria weights on the selection of the procurement–production plan

Transcatheter electrical shock ablation of ventricular tachycardia

Transcatheter shock ablation of ventricular tachycardia was attempted in seven patients who had drug-resistant ventricular tachycardia and in one patient in whom ventricular tachycardia was electrophysiologically induced during therapy with multiple antiarrhythmic drugs. Seven patients had previous myocardial infarction and five of them were high risk candidates for surgical therapy. One patient without organic heart disease had repetitive ventricular tachycardia manifesting two different patterns of left bundle branch block. After endocardial mapping, synchronized unipolar 250 to 300 J shocks (one to six) were delivered between the pole recording the earliest endocardial activity during ventricular tachycardia (40 to 200 ms before the onset of the QRS complex) and a body surface electrode. Immediate complications included severe but reversible cardiogenic shock (one patient), nonclinical ventricular tachycardia (two patients, requiring cardioversion in one), transient atrioventricular and intraventricular conduction disturbances (three patients) and permanent left bundle branch block (one patient). A late complication in one patient, left heart failure, occurred 3 days after delivery of five intracardiac shocks. In two patients, left ventricular ejection fraction markedly decreased and in one of them new ventricular contraction abnormalities appeared.Clinical ventricular tachycardia did not recur in five of the seven post-myocardial infarction patients after 7 to 17 months, and it was not inducible in the four patients undergoing late electrophysiologic study. In the patient with idiopathic ventricular tachycardia, one of the configurational types of ventricular tachycardia recurred. It is concluded that transcatheter shock ablation of ventricular tachycardia is a promising technique that warrants further investigation, especially in high risk surgical candidates. The high incidence of complications, however, should temper any temptation to consider routine use of this procedure in patients with ventricula

Catheter-induced mechanical trauma to accessory pathways during radiofrequency ablation: incidence, predictors and clinical implications

AbstractOBJECTIVESTo evaluate the incidence, predictors and clinical implications of nonintentionally catheter-induced mechanical trauma to accessory pathways during radiofrequency ablation procedures.BACKGROUNDData on the incidence and significance of catheter-induced trauma to accessory pathways are scarce.METHODSConsecutive patients (n = 381) undergoing radiofrequency ablation of accessory pathways at two different institutions were closely monitored for appearance of mechanical block of accessory pathways during catheter manipulation.RESULTSMechanical trauma to accessory pathways was observed in 37 (9.7%) patients. According to a multivariate analysis, the only independent variable associated with this phenomenon was the anatomical pathway location (p = 0.0001). The incidence of trauma of either right anteroseptal (38.5%) or right atriofascicular pathways (33.3%) was significantly greater than that of pathways (≤10%) at all remaining locations (p < 0.0001). The duration of conduction block observed ranged from ≤1 min to >30 min in 19% and 35% of patients, respectively. “Immediate” application of radiofrequency pulses at sites of mechanical block (<1 min after occurrence) was associated with a 78% long-term success rate at follow-up. This contrasted with a 25% long-term success rate in patients in whom pulses were delivered 30 min after occurrence of block (“delayed pulses”). Finally, in 24% of patients persistent trauma-induced conduction block led to discontinuation of the ablation procedure.CONCLUSIONSTrauma to accessory pathways is more common than previously recognized and frequently results in prolongation or discontinuation of the ablation procedure and in lower success rates. The only independent predictor of catheter-trauma to accessory pathways is the pathway location

Integrating fuzzy TOPSIS and goal programming for multiple objective integrated procurement-production planning

In this paper, a four-phase approach for Integrated Procurement-Production (IPP) tactical planning in a multiechelon, multi-product and multi-period Supply Chain (SC) network is proposed. To account for ambiguity and vagueness in some real-world data and preferences, in the first phase of the approach, the Fuzzy Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (fuzzy TOPSIS) method is used to obtain the overall performance and risk ratings of the suppliers with regard to a set of qualitative and quantitative criteria. In the second phase, we introduce a novel multi-objective possibilistic mixed integer linear programming model (MOPMILP) for solving an IPP planning considering conflicting goals simultaneously: maximization of the overall performance and minimization of the overall risk. Then, after converting this MOPMILP model into an equivalent crisp multi-objective mixed integer linear programming (MOMILP) model, we use the Goal Programming (GP) approach to solve this MOMILP model in order to find an efficient compromise solution (i.e. an efficient procurement production plan) for the whole SC. The proposed approach and solution methodology are validated through a numerical example

Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest due to idiopathic ventricular fibrillation in patients with normal electrocardiograms:results from a multicentre long-term registry

AIMS : To define the clinical characteristics and long-term clinical outcomes of a large cohort of patients with idiopathic ventricular fibrillation (IVF) and normal 12-lead electrocardiograms (ECGs). METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients with ventricular fibrillation as the presenting rhythm, normal baseline, and follow-up ECGs with no signs of cardiac channelopathy including early repolarization or atrioventricular conduction abnormalities, and without structural heart disease were included in a registry. A total of 245 patients (median age: 38 years; males 59%) were recruited from 25 centres. An implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) was implanted in 226 patients (92%), while 18 patients (8%) were treated with drug therapy only. Over a median follow-up of 63 months (interquartile range: 25-110 months), 12 patients died (5%); in four of them (1.6%) the lethal event was of cardiac origin. Patients treated with antiarrhythmic drugs only had a higher rate of cardiovascular death compared to patients who received an ICD (16% vs. 0.4%, P = 0.001). Fifty-two patients (21%) experienced an arrhythmic recurrence. Age ≤16 years at the time of the first ventricular arrhythmia was the only predictor of arrhythmic recurrence on multivariable analysis [hazard ratio (HR) 0.41, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.18-0.92; P = 0.03]. CONCLUSION : Patients with IVF and persistently normal ECGs frequently have arrhythmic recurrences, but a good prognosis when treated with an ICD. Children are a category of IVF patients at higher risk of arrhythmic recurrences

Electrocardiographic findings in patients with arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy and right bundle branch block ventricular tachycardia

AIMS: Little is known about patients with right bundle branch block (RBBB)-ventricular tachycardia (VT) and arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy (ACM). Our aims were: (i) to describe electrocardiogram (ECG) characteristics of sinus rhythm (SR) and VT; (ii) to correlate SR with RBBB-VT ECGs; and (iii) to compare VT ECGs with electro-anatomic mapping (EAM) data. METHODS AND RESULTS: From the European Survey on ACM, 70 patients with spontaneous RBBB-VT were included. Putative left ventricular (LV) sites of origin (SOOs) were estimated with a VT-axis-derived methodology and confirmed by EAM data when available.  Overall, 49 (70%) patients met definite Task Force Criteria. Low QRS voltage predominated in lateral leads (n = 37, 55%), but QRS fragmentation was more frequent in inferior leads (n = 15, 23%). T-wave inversion (TWI) was equally frequent in inferior (n = 28, 42%) and lateral (n = 27, 40%) leads. TWI in inferior leads was associated with reduced LV ejection fraction (LVEF; 46 ± 10 vs. 53 ± 8, P = 0.02). Regarding SOOs, the inferior wall harboured 31 (46%) SOOs, followed by the lateral wall (n = 17, 25%), the anterior wall (n = 15, 22%), and the septum (n = 4, 6%). EAM data were available for 16 patients and showed good concordance with the putative SOOs. In all patients with superior-axis RBBB-VT who underwent endo-epicardial VT activation mapping, VT originated from the LV. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with ACM and RBBB-VT, RBBB-VTs originated mainly from the inferior and lateral LV walls. SR depolarization and repolarization abnormalities were frequent and associated with underlying variants