6 research outputs found
A semi-parametric estimation of copula models based on moments method under right censoring
Based on the classical estimation method of moments, a new copula estimator was proposed for censored bivariate data. As theoretical results, general formulas were proved with analytical forms of the obtained estimators. Taking into account Lopez and Saint-Pierreβs(2012)[19], Gribkova and Lopezβs (2015)[10] results, the asymptotic normality of the empirical survival copula was established. The dependence structure between the bivariate survival times was modeled under the assumption that the underlying copula is Archimedean. Accounting for various censoring patterns (singly or doubly censored), a simulation study was performed enlighten the behavior of the procedure estimation method, shown the efficiency and robustness of the new estimator proposed.Publisher's Versio
Modified bisection algorithm in estimating the extreme value index under random censoring
The Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD) has long been employed in the theories of extreme values. In this paper, we are interested by estimating the extreme value index under censoring. Using a maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and a numerical method algorithm, a new approach is proposed to estimate the extreme value index by maximizing the adaptive log-likelihood of GPD given censored data. We also show how to construct the maximum likelihood estimate of the GPD parameters (shape and scale) using censored data. Lastly, numerical examples are provided at the end of the paper to show the methodβs reliability and to better illustrate the findings of this research.Publisher's Versio
Bivariate copulas parameters estimation using the trimmed L-moments method
The main purpose of this paper is to use the trimmed L-moments method for the introduction of a new estimator of multi-parametric copulas in the case where the mean does not exist. The consistency and asymptotic normality of this estimator is established. An extended simulation study shows the performance of the new estimator is carried.Keywords: Copulas; Dependence; Bivariate L-moments; Trimmed L-moments; Trimmed L-comoment
Copula conditional tail expectation for multivariate financial risks
Our goal in this paper is to propose an alternative risk measure which takes into account the fluctuations of losses and possible correlations between random variables. This new notion of risk measures, that we call Copula Conditional Tail Expectation describes the expected amount of risk that can be experienced given that a potential bivariate risk exceeds a bivariate threshold value, and provides an important measure for right-tail risk. An application to real financial data is given
Nonparametric estimation of the copula function with bivariate twice censored data
In this work, we are interested in the nonparametric estimation of the copula function in the presence of bivariate twice censored data. Assuming that the copula functions of the right and the left censoring variables are known, we propose an estimator of the joint distribution function of the variables of interest, then we derive an estimator of their copula function. Using a representation of the proposed estimator of the joint distribution function as a sum of independent and identically distributed variables, we establish the weak convergence of the empirical copula that we introduce
ΠΡΠ΅Π½ΠΊΠ° ΠΈΠ½Π΄Π΅ΠΊΡΠ° ΡΡΠΆΠ΅Π»ΠΎΠ³ΠΎ Ρ Π²ΠΎΡΡΠ° Ρ ΠΏΠΎΠΌΠΎΡΡΡ Π²Π·Π²Π΅ΡΠ΅Π½Π½ΠΎΠΉ ΡΠ°Π½Π³ΠΎΠ²ΠΎΠΉ ΡΠ΅Π³ΡΠ΅ΡΡΠΈΠΈ ΠΏΠΎ ΠΌΠ΅ΡΠΎΠ΄Ρ Π½Π°ΠΈΠΌΠ΅Π½ΡΡΠΈΡ ΠΊΠ²Π°Π΄ΡΠ°ΡΠΎΠ²
In this paper, we proposed a weighted least square estimator based method to estimate the
shape parameter of the Frechet distribution. We show the performance of the proposed estimator in a
simulation study, it is found that the considered weighted estimation method shows better performance
than the maximum likelihood estimation. Maximum product of spacing estimation and least-squares in
terms of bias and root mean square error for most of the considered sample sizes. In addition, a real
example from Danish data is provided to demonstrate the performance of the considered methodΠ ΡΡΠΎΠΉ ΡΡΠ°ΡΡΠ΅ ΠΌΡ ΠΏΡΠ΅Π΄Π»ΠΎΠΆΠΈΠ»ΠΈ ΠΌΠ΅ΡΠΎΠ΄ Π²Π·Π²Π΅ΡΠ΅Π½Π½ΠΎΠΉ ΠΎΡΠ΅Π½ΠΊΠΈ ΠΌΠ΅ΡΠΎΠ΄ΠΎΠΌ Π½Π°ΠΈΠΌΠ΅Π½ΡΡΠΈΡ
ΠΊΠ²Π°Π΄ΡΠ°ΡΠΎΠ² Π΄Π»Ρ ΠΎΡΠ΅Π½ΠΊΠΈ ΠΏΠ°ΡΠ°ΠΌΠ΅ΡΡΠ° ΡΠΎΡΠΌΡ ΡΠ°ΡΠΏΡΠ΅Π΄Π΅Π»Π΅Π½ΠΈΡ Π€ΡΠ΅ΡΠ΅. ΠΡ ΠΏΠΎΠΊΠ°Π·ΡΠ²Π°Π΅ΠΌ ΠΏΡΠΎΠΈΠ·Π²ΠΎΠ΄ΠΈΡΠ΅Π»ΡΠ½ΠΎΡΡΡ
ΠΏΡΠ΅Π΄Π»ΠΎΠΆΠ΅Π½Π½ΠΎΠΉ ΠΎΡΠ΅Π½ΠΊΠΈ Π² ΠΈΠΌΠΈΡΠ°ΡΠΈΠΎΠ½Π½ΠΎΠΌ ΠΈΡΡΠ»Π΅Π΄ΠΎΠ²Π°Π½ΠΈΠΈ, ΡΡΡΠ°Π½ΠΎΠ²Π»Π΅Π½ΠΎ, ΡΡΠΎ ΡΠ°ΡΡΠΌΠ°ΡΡΠΈΠ²Π°Π΅ΠΌΡΠΉ ΠΌΠ΅ΡΠΎΠ΄
Π²Π·Π²Π΅ΡΠ΅Π½Π½ΠΎΠΉ ΠΎΡΠ΅Π½ΠΊΠΈ ΠΏΠΎΠΊΠ°Π·ΡΠ²Π°Π΅Ρ Π»ΡΡΡΡΡ ΠΏΡΠΎΠΈΠ·Π²ΠΎΠ΄ΠΈΡΠ΅Π»ΡΠ½ΠΎΡΡΡ, ΡΠ΅ΠΌ ΠΎΡΠ΅Π½ΠΊΠ° ΠΌΠ°ΠΊΡΠΈΠΌΠ°Π»ΡΠ½ΠΎΠ³ΠΎ ΠΏΡΠ°Π²Π΄ΠΎΠΏΠΎΠ΄ΠΎΠ±ΠΈΡ. ΠΠ°ΠΊΡΠΈΠΌΠ°Π»ΡΠ½ΠΎΠ΅ ΠΏΡΠΎΠΈΠ·Π²Π΅Π΄Π΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ ΠΎΡΠ΅Π½ΠΊΠΈ ΠΈΠ½ΡΠ΅ΡΠ²Π°Π»Π° ΠΈ ΠΌΠ΅ΡΠΎΠ΄Π° Π½Π°ΠΈΠΌΠ΅Π½ΡΡΠΈΡ
ΠΊΠ²Π°Π΄ΡΠ°ΡΠΎΠ² Ρ ΡΠΎΡΠΊΠΈ
Π·ΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΡ ΡΠΈΡΡΠ΅ΠΌΠ°ΡΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠΎΠΉ ΠΎΡΠΈΠ±ΠΊΠΈ ΠΈ ΡΡΠ΅Π΄Π½Π΅ΠΊΠ²Π°Π΄ΡΠ°ΡΠΈΡΠ½ΠΎΠΉ ΠΎΡΠΈΠ±ΠΊΠΈ Π΄Π»Ρ Π±ΠΎΠ»ΡΡΠΈΠ½ΡΡΠ²Π° ΡΠ°ΡΡΠΌΠ°ΡΡΠΈΠ²Π°Π΅ΠΌΡΡ
ΡΠ°Π·ΠΌΠ΅ΡΠΎΠ² Π²ΡΠ±ΠΎΡΠΊΠΈ. ΠΡΠΎΠΌΠ΅ ΡΠΎΠ³ΠΎ, ΠΏΡΠΈΠ²Π΅Π΄Π΅Π½ ΡΠ΅Π°Π»ΡΠ½ΡΠΉ ΠΏΡΠΈΠΌΠ΅Ρ ΠΈΠ· Π΄Π°ΡΡΠΊΠΈΡ
Π΄Π°Π½Π½ΡΡ
, Π΄Π΅ΠΌΠΎΠ½ΡΡΡΠΈΡΡΡΡΠΈΠΉ
ΡΠ°Π±ΠΎΡΠΎΡΠΏΠΎΡΠΎΠ±Π½ΠΎΡΡΡ ΡΠ°ΡΡΠΌΠ°ΡΡΠΈΠ²Π°Π΅ΠΌΠΎΠ³ΠΎ ΠΌΠ΅ΡΠΎΠ΄