3 research outputs found

    Convergence of economic growth in Russian megacities

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    Purpose: The article presents the results of an empirical analysis of the economic growth of Russian cities with a population of over 1 million people (megacities). Design/Methodology/Approach: The analyzed indicator is the city product calculated according to the UN methodology for the period from 2010 to 2016. The paper analyses the process of Ξ²- and Οƒ-convergence across Russian megacities using methods of spatial econometrics in addition to the traditional Ξ²-convergence techniques from the neoclassical theoretical framework. Findings: The dynamics of the coefficient of variation confirmed the presence of Οƒ-convergence in city product. Empirically, positive spatial autocorrelation has been confirmed. Beta-convergence for Russian megacities is found to be significant and the spatial location of megacities significantly affects Ξ²-convergence. Control factors such as fixed capital investment per capita in 2010, average retail volume per capita in 2010, average annual number of employees of enterprises and organizations in 2010 and the dummy variable introduced for β€œfederal cities” Moscow and St. Petersburg are all found to have positive and statistically significant impact on economic growth. Practical Implications: Policymakers may take the results into account under the planning of economical strategies for megacities and regions in Russia in order to facilitate the regional economic growth and the speed of convergence. Originality/Value: The main contribution of the study is the consideration of the economical growth for the megacities and not for the regions as it often used to be the case in similar studies. The important finding is that megacitiesβ€˜ economies do converge and the influence of control factors is pronounced.peer-reviewe

    ЭкономичСскоС брСмя хроничСского вирусного Π³Π΅ΠΏΠ°Ρ‚ΠΈΡ‚Π° Π‘

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    Background. The spread of chronic viral hepatitis C (CVHC) among the population entails significant costs for society, both direct, associated with the treatment of such patients, and indirect, associated with the shortfall in fiscal payments to the budget, due to the disability of this category of patients. Therefore, an important task remains to assess the global economic burden of the disease, taking into account the pathological conditions of the human body associated with it.Objective: to systematize studies of published sources devoted to assessing the global economic burden of chronic viral hepatitis C.Material and methods. A feature of the proposed review design is paying attention not only to the objects of assessment under study, but also to the instrumental (including mathematical) means of scenario assessment of the global burden. The study analyzed 29 sources published between 2014 and 2020 and dedicated to assessing and forecasting the global economic burden of CVHC both in individual countries and continents as a whole, and in individual regions of countries. The main criterion for the selection of studies was the availability of an estimate of the global burden of CVHC, taking into account the use of direct antiviral drugs for the treatment of hepatitis C. The search was conducted in PubMed/MEDLINE and eLibrary databases, and in the ResearchGate network.Results. Of the 29 analyzed sources, 40% of the works consider the burden for CVHC only of certain genotypes; in the overwhelming number of articles (80%), when assessing the burden, the distribution of patients by the degree of liver fibrosis is taken into account. In 50% of the studies reviewed, quality of life adjustment tools (QALY or DALY) were used to estimate the global economic burden. A third of the publications took into account both the direct costs of treating CVHC and indirect costs, including those associated with a shortfall in the contribution to the gross national product due to temporary or permanent disability of this category of patients.Conclusion. The analysis showed that interest in assessing the global burden of CVHC began to appear in recent years, when expensive directacting antivirals for the treatment appeared. This is explained by the emergence of a question about the cost of implementing a scenario in which by a certain year it will be possible to completely exclude the spread of the disease. The results of this work may be useful in conducting such studies, including the determining of their design and the use of modern mathematical modeling tools.ΠΠΊΡ‚ΡƒΠ°Π»ΡŒΠ½ΠΎΡΡ‚ΡŒ. РаспространСниС хроничСского вирусного Π³Π΅ΠΏΠ°Ρ‚ΠΈΡ‚Π° Π‘ (Π₯Π’Π“Π‘) срСди насСлСния Π²Π»Π΅Ρ‡Π΅Ρ‚ Π·Π° собой Π·Π½Π°Ρ‡ΠΈΡ‚Π΅Π»ΡŒΠ½Ρ‹Π΅ Π·Π°Ρ‚Ρ€Π°Ρ‚Ρ‹ для общСства – ΠΊΠ°ΠΊ прямыС, связанныС с Π»Π΅Ρ‡Π΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ΠΌ, Ρ‚Π°ΠΊ ΠΈ косвСнныС, связанныС с Π½Π΅Π΄ΠΎΠΏΠΎΠ»ΡƒΡ‡Π΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ΠΌ Ρ„ΠΈΡΠΊΠ°Π»ΡŒΠ½Ρ‹Ρ… ΠΏΠ»Π°Ρ‚Π΅ΠΆΠ΅ΠΉ Π² Π±ΡŽΠ΄ΠΆΠ΅Ρ‚ ΠΈΠ·-Π·Π° нСтрудоспособности Ρ‚Π°ΠΊΠΈΡ… Π±ΠΎΠ»ΡŒΠ½Ρ‹Ρ…. ΠŸΠΎΡΡ‚ΠΎΠΌΡƒ Π²Π°ΠΆΠ½ΠΎΠΉ Π·Π°Π΄Π°Ρ‡Π΅ΠΉ остаСтся ΠΎΡ†Π΅Π½ΠΊΠ° глобального экономичСского Π±Ρ€Π΅ΠΌΠ΅Π½ΠΈ заболСвания с ΡƒΡ‡Π΅Ρ‚ΠΎΠΌ ассоциированных с Π½ΠΈΠΌ паталогичСских состояний ΠΎΡ€Π³Π°Π½ΠΈΠ·ΠΌΠ° Ρ‡Π΅Π»ΠΎΠ²Π΅ΠΊΠ°.ЦСль: систСматизация ΠΎΠΏΡƒΠ±Π»ΠΈΠΊΠΎΠ²Π°Π½Π½Ρ‹Ρ… исслСдований, посвящСнных ΠΎΡ†Π΅Π½ΠΊΠ΅ глобального экономичСского Π±Ρ€Π΅ΠΌΠ΅Π½ΠΈ хроничСского вирусного Π³Π΅ΠΏΠ°Ρ‚ΠΈΡ‚Π° Π‘.ΠœΠ°Ρ‚Π΅Ρ€ΠΈΠ°Π» ΠΈ ΠΌΠ΅Ρ‚ΠΎΠ΄Ρ‹. ΠžΡΠΎΠ±Π΅Π½Π½ΠΎΡΡ‚ΡŒΡŽ ΠΏΡ€Π΅Π΄Π»ΠΎΠΆΠ΅Π½Π½ΠΎΠ³ΠΎ Π΄ΠΈΠ·Π°ΠΉΠ½Π° ΠΎΠ±Π·ΠΎΡ€Π° являСтся ΡƒΠ΄Π΅Π»Π΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ внимания Π½Π΅ Ρ‚ΠΎΠ»ΡŒΠΊΠΎ исслСдуСмым ΠΎΠ±ΡŠΠ΅ΠΊΡ‚Π°ΠΌ ΠΎΡ†Π΅Π½ΠΊΠΈ, Π½ΠΎ ΠΈ примСняСмым ΠΈΠ½ΡΡ‚Ρ€ΡƒΠΌΠ΅Π½Ρ‚Π°Π»ΡŒΠ½Ρ‹ΠΌ (Π² Ρ‚.Ρ‡. матСматичСским) срСдствам сцСнарной ΠΎΡ†Π΅Π½ΠΊΠΈ глобального Π±Ρ€Π΅ΠΌΠ΅Π½ΠΈ. ΠŸΡ€ΠΎΠ²Π΅Π΄Π΅Π½ Π°Π½Π°Π»ΠΈΠ· 29 источников, ΠΎΠΏΡƒΠ±Π»ΠΈΠΊΠΎΠ²Π°Π½Π½Ρ‹Ρ… Π² ΠΏΠ΅Ρ€ΠΈΠΎΠ΄ с 2014 ΠΏΠΎ 2020 Π³Π³. ΠΈ посвящСнных ΠΎΡ†Π΅Π½ΠΊΠ΅ ΠΈ ΠΏΡ€ΠΎΠ³Π½ΠΎΠ·Ρƒ глобального экономичСского Π±Ρ€Π΅ΠΌΠ΅Π½ΠΈ Π₯Π’Π“Π‘ ΠΊΠ°ΠΊ Π² ΠΎΡ‚Π΄Π΅Π»ΡŒΠ½Ρ‹Ρ… странах ΠΈ Π½Π° ΠΊΠΎΠ½Ρ‚ΠΈΠ½Π΅Π½Ρ‚Π°Ρ… Π² Ρ†Π΅Π»ΠΎΠΌ, Ρ‚Π°ΠΊ ΠΈ Π² ΠΎΠΏΡ€Π΅Π΄Π΅Π»Π΅Π½Π½Ρ‹Ρ… Ρ€Π΅Π³ΠΈΠΎΠ½Π°Ρ… стран. ΠžΡΠ½ΠΎΠ²Π½Ρ‹ΠΌ ΠΊΡ€ΠΈΡ‚Π΅Ρ€ΠΈΠ΅ΠΌ ΠΎΡ‚Π±ΠΎΡ€Π° исслСдований Π±Ρ‹Π»ΠΎ Π½Π°Π»ΠΈΡ‡ΠΈΠ΅ ΠΎΡ†Π΅Π½ΠΊΠΈ глобального Π±Ρ€Π΅ΠΌΠ΅Π½ΠΈ Π₯Π’Π“Π‘ с ΡƒΡ‡Π΅Ρ‚ΠΎΠΌ использования для лСчСния Π³Π΅ΠΏΠ°Ρ‚ΠΈΡ‚Π° Π‘ ΠΏΡ€Π΅ΠΏΠ°Ρ€Π°Ρ‚ΠΎΠ² прямого противовирусного дСйствия. Поиск осущСствляли ΠΏΠΎ Π±Π°Π·Π°ΠΌ PubMed/MEDLINE ΠΈ eLibrary, Π° Ρ‚Π°ΠΊΠΆΠ΅ Π² сСти ResearchGate.Π Π΅Π·ΡƒΠ»ΡŒΡ‚Π°Ρ‚Ρ‹. Из 29 ΠΏΡ€ΠΎΠ°Π½Π°Π»ΠΈΠ·ΠΈΡ€ΠΎΠ²Π°Π½Π½Ρ‹Ρ… источников Π² 40% Ρ€Π°Π±ΠΎΡ‚ рассматриваСтся брСмя для Π₯Π“Π’Π‘ лишь ΠΎΠΏΡ€Π΅Π΄Π΅Π»Π΅Π½Π½Ρ‹Ρ… Π³Π΅Π½ΠΎΡ‚ΠΈΠΏΠΎΠ², Π² ΠΏΠΎΠ΄Π°Π²Π»ΡΡŽΡ‰Π΅ΠΌ количСствС исслСдований (80%) ΠΏΡ€ΠΈ ΠΎΡ†Π΅Π½ΠΊΠ΅ Π±Ρ€Π΅ΠΌΠ΅Π½ΠΈ учитываСтся распрСдСлСниС Π±ΠΎΠ»ΡŒΠ½Ρ‹Ρ… ΠΏΠΎ стСпСни Ρ„ΠΈΠ±Ρ€ΠΎΠ·Π° ΠΏΠ΅Ρ‡Π΅Π½ΠΈ. Π’ 50% рассмотрСнных ΠΏΡƒΠ±Π»ΠΈΠΊΠ°Ρ†ΠΈΠΉ использовались инструмСнты с ΠΏΠΎΠΏΡ€Π°Π²ΠΊΠΎΠΉ Π±Ρ€Π΅ΠΌΠ΅Π½ΠΈ Π½Π° качСство ΠΆΠΈΠ·Π½ΠΈ: QALY (Π°Π½Π³Π». quality-adjusted life year) ΠΈΠ»ΠΈ DALY (Π°Π½Π³Π». disability-adjusted life year). Π’ 1/3 исслСдований ΡƒΡ‡ΠΈΡ‚Ρ‹Π²Π°Π»ΠΈΡΡŒ ΠΊΠ°ΠΊ прямыС ΠΈΠ·Π΄Π΅Ρ€ΠΆΠΊΠΈ Π½Π° Π»Π΅Ρ‡Π΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ Π₯Π’Π“Π‘, Ρ‚Π°ΠΊ ΠΈ косвСнныС Π·Π°Ρ‚Ρ€Π°Ρ‚Ρ‹, Π² Ρ‚.Ρ‡. связанныС с Π½Π΅Π΄ΠΎΠΏΠΎΠ»ΡƒΡ‡Π΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ΠΌ Π²ΠΊΠ»Π°Π΄Π° Π² Π²Π°Π»ΠΎΠ²ΠΎΠΉ Π½Π°Ρ†ΠΈΠΎΠ½Π°Π»ΡŒΠ½Ρ‹ΠΉ ΠΏΡ€ΠΎΠ΄ΡƒΠΊΡ‚ Π·Π° счСт Π²Ρ€Π΅ΠΌΠ΅Π½Π½ΠΎΠΉ Π»ΠΈΠ±ΠΎ стойкой нСтрудоспособности этой ΠΊΠ°Ρ‚Π΅Π³ΠΎΡ€ΠΈΠΈ Π±ΠΎΠ»ΡŒΠ½Ρ‹Ρ….Π—Π°ΠΊΠ»ΡŽΡ‡Π΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅. Анализ ΠΏΠΎΠΊΠ°Π·Π°Π», Ρ‡Ρ‚ΠΎ интСрСс ΠΊ ΠΎΡ†Π΅Π½ΠΊΠ΅ глобального Π±Ρ€Π΅ΠΌΠ΅Π½ΠΈ Π₯Π’Π“Π‘ Π²ΠΎΠ·Π½ΠΈΠΊ Π² послСдниС Π³ΠΎΠ΄Ρ‹, ΠΊΠΎΠ³Π΄Π° появились дорогостоящиС ΠΏΡ€Π΅ΠΏΠ°Ρ€Π°Ρ‚Ρ‹ прямого противовирусного дСйствия. Π­Ρ‚ΠΎ ΠΎΠ±ΡŠΡΡΠ½ΡΠ΅Ρ‚ΡΡ Π²ΠΎΠ·Π½ΠΈΠΊΠ½ΠΎΠ²Π΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ΠΌ вопроса ΠΎ стоимости Ρ€Π΅Π°Π»ΠΈΠ·Π°Ρ†ΠΈΠΈ сцСнария, ΠΏΡ€ΠΈ ΠΊΠΎΡ‚ΠΎΡ€ΠΎΠΌ ΠΊ ΠΎΠΏΡ€Π΅Π΄Π΅Π»Π΅Π½Π½ΠΎΠΌΡƒ Π³ΠΎΠ΄Ρƒ ΠΏΠΎΠ»Π½ΠΎΡΡ‚ΡŒΡŽ ΠΌΠΎΠΆΠ½ΠΎ Π±ΡƒΠ΄Π΅Ρ‚ ΠΈΡΠΊΠ»ΡŽΡ‡ΠΈΡ‚ΡŒ распространСниС Π±ΠΎΠ»Π΅Π·Π½ΠΈ. Π Π΅Π·ΡƒΠ»ΡŒΡ‚Π°Ρ‚Ρ‹ Π΄Π°Π½Π½ΠΎΠΉ Ρ€Π°Π±ΠΎΡ‚Ρ‹ Π±ΡƒΠ΄ΡƒΡ‚ ΠΏΠΎΠ»Π΅Π·Π½Ρ‹ Π² ΠΏΡ€ΠΎΠ²Π΅Π΄Π΅Π½ΠΈΠΈ ΠΏΠΎΠ΄ΠΎΠ±Π½Ρ‹Ρ… исслСдований, Π² Ρ‚.Ρ‡. для опрСдСлСния ΠΈΡ… Π΄ΠΈΠ·Π°ΠΉΠ½Π° ΠΈ примСнСния соврСмСнных инструмСнтов матСматичСского модСлирования

    SYSTEM MODELLING OF ECONOMICAL ANALYSIS AND MANAGEMENT OF DESIGN ORGANIZATION IN OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY

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    The problem of effectivization of design organization in oil and gas industry is being investigated in terms of system modeling. A method of forming production functions of design organization is considered and used for substantiation of cost, expenses, budget of design organization, as well as the mechanism of transparent interaction, cooperation, coordination and control of field development
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