Actor based behavioural simulation as an aid for organisational decision making

Decision-making is a critical activity for most of the modern organizations to stay competitive in rapidly changing business environment. Effective organisational decision-making requires deep understanding of various organisational aspects such as its goals, structure, business-as-usual operational processes, environment where it operates, and inherent characteristics of the change drivers that may impact the organisation. The size of a modern organisation, its socio-technical characteristics, inherent uncertainty, volatile operating environment, and prohibitively high cost of the incorrect decisions make decision-making a challenging endeavor. While the enterprise modelling and simulation technologies have evolved into a mature discipline for understanding a range of engineering, defense and control systems, their application in organisational decision-making is considerably low. Current organisational decision-making approaches that are prevalent in practice are largely qualitative. Moreover, they mostly rely on human experts who are often aided with the primitive technologies such as spreadsheets and visual diagrams. This thesis argues that the existing modelling and simulation technologies are neither suitable to represent organisation and decision artifacts in a comprehensive and machine-interpretable form nor do they comprehensively address the analysis needs. An approach that advances the modelling abstraction and analysis machinery for organisational decision-making is proposed. In particular, this thesis proposes a domain specific language to represent relevant aspects of an organisation for decision-making, establishes the relevance of a bottom-up simulation technique as a means for analysis, and introduces a method to utilise the proposed modelling abstraction, analysis technique, and analysis machinery in an effective and convenient manner

High energy particles accelerated during the large solar flare of 1990 May 24: X/γ-ray observations

The PHEBUS experiment aboard GRANAT observed γ-ray line emission and γ-ray continuum above 10 MeV from the 24 May, 1990 solar flare. Observations and interpretation of the high-energy continuum have been discussed previously. Here we re-examine these, combining the PHEBUS observations above 10 MeV with calculations of the pion decay continuum to quantitatively constrain the accelerated ion energy distribution at energies above 300 MeV. The uncertainty in the determination of the level of the primary electron bremsstrahlung as well as the lack of measurements on the γ-ray emission above 100 MeV combine to allow rather a wide range of energy distribution parameters (in terms of the number of protons above 30 MeV, the spectral index of the proton distribution and the high energy cut-off of the energetic protons). Nevertheless we are able to rule out some combinations of these parameters. Using the additional information provided by the γ-ray line observations we discuss whether it is possible to construct a consistent picture of the ions which are accelerated in a wide energy range during this flare. Our findings are discussed with respect to previous works on the spectrum of energetic protons in the 10 MeV to GeV energy range

End-effects of strongly charged polyelectrolytes - a molecular dynamics study

We investigate end-effects in the ion distribution around strongly charged, flexible polyelectrolytes with a quenched charge distribution by molecular dynamics simulations of dilute polyelectrolyte solutions. We take the counterions explicitly into account and calculate the full Coulomb interaction via an Ewald summation method. We find that the free counterions of the solution are distributed in such a way that a fraction of the chain charges is effectively neutralized. This in turn leads to an effective charge distribution which is similar to those found for weakly charged titrating polyelectrolytes that have an annealed charge distribution. The delicate interplay between the electrostatic interactions, the chain conformation and the counterion distribution is studied in detail as a function of different system parameters such as the chain length Nm, the charge fraction f, the charged particle density rho, the ionic strength and the solvent quality. Comparisons are made with predictions from a scaling theory.Comment: 20 pages, 10 figures. J. Chem. Phys, to appear June 200