PERGURUAN TINGGI, PERAN PEMERINTAH DAN PENGEMBANGAN BLUE ECONOMY

RINGKASANEkonomi Biru sebagai pengarusutamaan pembangunan nasional mengintegrasikan pembangunan ekonomi berbasis darat dan laut secara berkelanjutan yang saat ini masih terus dikembangkan.  Ekonomi biru akan berlanjut mendorong berbagai stakeholder, pemerintah, perguruan tinggi, bisnis, dan masyarakat untuk terus menerus mengeksplorasi peluang aplikasi ekonomi biru dan strategi operasional didalam proses industrialisasi bidang kelautan dan perikanan. Ekonomi biru memerlukan aplikasi pengetahuan dan dukungan teknologi.  Pelaksanaannya dalam bidang kelautan dan perikanan membutuhkan inovasi tepat guna, yang tidak hanya mampu untuk memanfaatkan sumberdaya alam secara berkelanjutan, tetapi juga lebih nyata dalam inovasi sistem produksi.  Peran perguruan tinggi lebih proaktif dalam mendorong penelitian dan pengembangan, pendidikan dan pengabdian masyarakat sebagai instrumen untuk melahirkan inovasi bernilai ekonomi dalam konsep Ekonomi Biru.  Selanjutnya peran pemerintah daerah sangat diharapkan sebagai badan pengatur regulasi dan fasilitasi kepada industri (khususnya kepada industri kreatif kecil dan menengah).Kata kunci : ekonomi biru, pemberdayaan, masyarakat pesisir, kelautan, perikana

Analisis semantik terhadap kata firqah dan padanannya dalam Al-Quran

Term firqah merupakan salah satu tanda dari sekian banyak tanda kekuasaan dan Rahman Rahimnya Allah SWT. Karena jika Allah menghendaki, Maka Allah berkuasa untuk menjadikan manusia menjadi satu golongan (umat). Walaupun asalnya manusia itu terlahir dari satu golongan. Namun dalam perkembangannya manusia terpecah belah dan bercerai berai menjadi begitu banyak golongan. Hal ini terjadi karena manusia menempati ruang dan waktu yang berbeda satu sama lain. Kata firqah merupakan bentuk nomina (kata benda;isim) yang berasal dari kata kerja faraqa-furqan-furuqan-furqanan yang artinya membedakan atau memisahkan dan dari kata kerja itulah maka munculah kata firqah yang berarti golongan atau kelompok. Sedangkan makna korelasinya adalah akan tergantung kepada konteks ketika kata firqah digunakan (disebutkan). Ada bebrapa kata yang diartikan sama dengan kata firqah. Kata tersebut antara lain: thaifah, ahzab, fi`ah, faujun, dan ma`syarun. Dengan argumentasi bahwa kata-kata tersebut memiliki tendensi makna dasar yang sama dengan golongan. Maka penggunaan istilah yang beragam tentang kata firqah dan kata-kata padanannya (turunannya). Memiliki kemungkinan penafsiran dan penekanan makna yang berbeda pula. Adapun tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui makna kata firqah dan padanannya dalam Al-Quran dengan menggunakan pendekatan analisis semantik. Penelitian ini didasarkan pada pemikiran bahwa betapa pentingnya menganalisis makna kosakata Al-Quran, dengan menggunakan analisis semantik. Adapun analisis makna dilakukan dengan tiga cara yaitu: analisis medan semantik, analisis komponen semantik, dan analisis kombinasi semantik. Kesimpulan dari hasil penelitian dan pembahasan terhadap kata firqah dan padanannya dalam al-Quran melalui pendekatan semantik, antara lain: 1). Dengan analisis medan semantik, kata firqah menempati kosakata sentral (focus word). Sedangkan kosakata thaifah, ahzab, fiah, faujun, dan ma`syarun, menempati posisi medium dan feriferal (pinggiran). 2). Melalui analisis komponen semantik, kata firqah memiliki tendensi makna, yaitu: beberapa orang (sebagian orang), furqan (keterangan yang membedakan antara hak dan batil), membeda-bedakan (membedakan), macam-macam (lain-lain), memecah belah (berpecah belah), bercerai berai, perpisahan (pisah/lepas), hari furqan, orang-orang yang sangat takut; 3). Melalui kombinasi semantik, konteks kata firqah, thaifah, ahzab, fi`ah, faujun dan ma`syarun. Dalam kaitannya dengan manusia penekanannya pada perbandingan dua golongan besar manusia, antara golongan mukmin dan kafir, sedangkan berkaitan dengan kitab, kata firqah disebutkan dalam bentuk kata lain yaitu furqan, penekanannya pada keterangan yang membedakan antara hak dan batil atau sebagai pembeda antara yang hak dan yang batil

Respon jamaah terhadap pengajian K.H. M. Muhyiddin Abdul Qodir Al-Manafi dalam meningkatkan ibadah mahdhah: Studi survey di majlis taklim asy-Syifa wal Mahmuudiyah masjid besar Banjaran Kab Bandung

Pengajian K.H. M. Muhyiddin Abdul Qodir Al-Manafi dilaksanakan sebagai bentuk pelaksanaan dakwah Islam, meliputi beberapa unsur, yaitu da’i, mad’u, maudu’/materi, uslub/metode, dan wasilah/media. Pengajian ini dilaksanakan di Masjid Besar Banjaran Kabupaten Bandung. Kegiatan tersebut dilaksanakan 2 kali dalam satu bulan yaitu setiap malam jum’at pada minggu ke-1 dan minggu ke-3. Kegiatan pengajian K.H. M. Muhyiddin memberikan dampak positif terhadap jamaahnya sebagian mereka yang mengikuti pengajian ini merasakan ketenangan dan menemukan pencerahan untuk menghadapi berbagai permasalahan kehidupan dan meningkatkan kualitas ibadah mereka. Tujuan dari penelitian ini yang pertama adalah untuk mengetahui proses pelaksanan pengajian K.H. M. Muhyiddin Abdul Qodir Al-Manafi. Kedua untuk mengetahui perhatian jamaah terhadap pengajian K.H. M. Muhyiddin Abdul Qodir Al-Manafi. Ketiga untuk mengetahui pengertian jamaah terhadap K.H. M. Muhyiddin Abdul Qodir Al-Manafi. Keempat untuk mengetahui penerimaan jamaah terhadap K.H. M. Muhyiddin Abdul Qodir Al-Manafi, serta pengamalan jamaah terhadap materi-materi yang diperoleh dari pengajian K.H. M. Muhyiddin Abdul Qodir Al-Manafi Langkah-langkah penelitian yang ditempuh meliputi: penentuan lokasi penelitian, penentuan populasi dan sampel. Metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah metode survey dengan menggunakan teori S-O-R, karena menggambarkan respon jamaah terhadap pengajian K.H. M. Muhyiddin Abdul Qodir Al-Manafi. Adapun teknik pengumpulan data dalam penelitian ini adalah melalui observasi langsung kelapangan, wawancara, dan penyebaran angket kepada 50 responden, yang selanjutnya akan dianalisis dengan menggunakan perhitungan persentase dan penafsiran yang akan dihubungkan dengan konteks dakwah. Hasil dari penelitian ini diantaranya yaitu: Perhatian jamaah terhadap pengajian K.H. M. Muhyiddin Abdul Qodir Al-Manafi ini sebagian besar jamaah memperhatikan dengan baik materi yang disampaikan K.H. M. Muhyiddin Abdul Qodir Al-Manafi. Selain itu jamaah menyatakan senang dengan diadakannya pengajian rutin. Pengertian jamaah terhadap pengajian ini, sebagian besar jamaah dapat mengert dan memahami materi yang disampaikan oleh K.H. M. Muhyiddin Abdul Qodir Al-Manafi. Penerimaan jamaah terhadap pengajian ini, menunjukan bahwa lebih dari setengahnya jamaah dapat menerima materi pengajian dengan baik. Menurut responden materi yang disampaikan sesuai dengan apa yang dibutuhkan oleh responden sehingga menimbulkan dampak yang sangat positif untuk lebih rajin beribadah, dan mengamalkannya dalam kehidupan sehari-hari.Peningkatan ibadah mahdoh jamaah sebagian besar mengalami peningkatan. Dari hasil angket, harga koefesien korelasi hasil perhitungan adalah 0,69 ini berarti menunjukan bahwa koefesien tersebut termasuk kategori korelasi sedang, karena terletak pada interval anatara 0,41-0,70. ternyata antara variabel X (pengajian KH M Muyyddin) dan variabel Y peningkatan ibadah mahdoh terdapat pengaruh sebesar 28% dipengaruhi oleh adanya pengajian rutin KH M Muhyiddin, sementara 72% dipengaruhi oleh faktor lain

PERFORMANCE COMPARISON BETWEEN KIMURA 2-PARAMETERS AND JUKES-CANTOR MODEL IN CONSTRUCTING PHYLOGENETIC TREE OF NEIGHBOUR JOINING

Bioinformatics as a recent improvement of knowledge has made an interest for scientist to collect and analyze data to provide the best estimate of the true phylogeny. The objective of this research is to construct and compare the phylogenetic tree of Neighbour Joining (NJ) based on different models (Kimura 2-Parameters and Jukes-Cantor) and to find out which model is more reliable on constructing NJ's tree. In order to build the tree, reliable set of data is conducted from D-loop mtDNA sequences that is available in Gen Bank. The nucleotide sequences come from Bison bison (American bison), Bos taurus (European cow such as Shorthorn), Bos indicus (zebu breeds), Bos grunniens mutus (one of subspecies of cow), and Capra hircus (species of goat). The reliability of each models was measured using the Felsentein's bootstrap method. The whole bootstrap process for each models was repeated 1.000, 5.000, and 10.000 times to detect its reliability. The performance was measured on the basis of the consistency of the topology relationship, the stability of nodes, the consistency of bootstrap confidence level (PB), standard error of distance, change of PB from (1.000-5.000) to (5.000-1.000), computational time, and  BIC score. NJ's phylogenetic tree with kimura 2-parameters and jukes cantor model have a good node stability and is also generally successful in representing topological relationships between taxa. The increasing of bootstrap replication number in common will increase the consistency of bootstrap confidence value ( . It means both models have a good reliability. But, when the number of sequences is large and the extent of sequence divergence is low, it is generally difficult to construct the tree by any models. In conclusion, Kimura 2-Parameters has a better performance than Jukes-Cantor.   Key words: phylogenetic tree, Neighbour Joining, Kimura 2-Parameters, Jukes-Canto

Analisis Data Produk Domestik Regional Bruto Pulau Jawa Menggunakan Pendekatan Regresi Kuantil Spasial

Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) often shows spatial patterns. In a spatial perspective, spatial effects consist of of spatial dependence and spatial heterogeneity. To address the problems, this study uses spatial autoregressive quantile regression/SARQR model. SARQR is a method that combines Spatial Autoregressive (SAR) modeling with quantile regression. There are two methods that can be used to estimate the parameters of the SARQR model, namely Two Stage Quantile Regression (2SQR) and Instrumental Variable Quantile Regression (IVQR). The simulation results showed that IVQR method is better than 2SQR method. IVQR provides a smaller value and variance of bias. Furthermore, IVQR method is applied to Java’s GRDP data on 2019. The results showed that the number of workers significantly influences Java’s GRDP. The highest quantile verification skill score (QVSS) value is 0.713 when τ =0.75. It means that in the 75% quantile modeling, the model can describe the GRDP diversity of 71.3%

ALTERNATIVE SEMIPARAMETRIC ESTIMATION FOR NON-NORMALITY IN CENSORED REGRESSION MODEL WITH LARGE NUMBER OF ZERO OBSERVATION

A large number of zero observation on the response variable in the socio-economic field are often found in household demand models. This will imply on the method to estimate parameters in the model used. Ordinary least square estimators of linear models to be biased and inconsistent. One model to overcome is using censored regression model is also know as tobit model. However, non-normality in the Tobit Estimators being inconsistent. Another alternative estimators is censor least absolute deviations (CLAD). CLAD estimator is consistent and asymptotically normal for a wide class of distribution. This study was to focus on the application of Tobit and Censored Least Absolute Deviations (CLAD) estimators for LPG demand. The data used is the LPG expenditure in rural areas in the provinces of West Java that the number zero observations is 39 percent of the sample. The result shows that CLAD and Tobit estimators are consistent estimators. But along with increasing the number of samples, the CLAD estimators performance is getting better than Tobit estimators.Keywords : Zero observation, CLAD, Tobit, Consistent estimator, LPG deman

A COMPARISON OF COX PROPORTIONAL HAZARD AND RANDOM SURVIVAL FOREST MODELS IN PREDICTING CHURN OF THE TELECOMMUNICATION INDUSTRY CUSTOMER

The Cox Proportional hazard model is a popular method to analyze right-censored survival data. This method is efficient to use if the proportional hazard assumption is fulfilled. This method does not provide an accurate conclusion if these assumptions are not fulfilled. The new innovative method with a non-parametric approach is now developing to predict the time until an event occurs based on machine learning techniques that can solve the limitation of CPH. The method is Random Survival Forest, which analyzes right-censored survival data without regard to any assumptions. This paper aims to compare the predictive quality of the two methods using the C-index value in predicting right-censored survival data on churn data of the telecommunication industry customers with 2P packages consisting of  Internet and TV, which are taken from all customer databases in the Jabodetabek area. The results show that the median value of the C-index of the RSF model is 0.769, greater than the median C-index value of the CPH model of 0.689. So the prediction quality of the RSF model is better than the CPH model in predicting the churn of the telecommunications industry customer

Using Study of Assessment-Sales Ratio (ASR) for Estimating of the Potential Loss of Property Tax in the Jakarta Greater Area

Assessment-Sales Ratio (ASR), which is the ratio between NJOP (assessment) of the Market Value, will be used to analyze the performance of NJOP determination, and to test the level of assessment and the level of equity. Assessment performance can be expressed as good performance if it meets the following criteria:a. the level of assessment is approaching 100% of the market value, not over-assessment nor under-assessment.b. the variability of Coefficient of Dispersion (COD) and Coefficient of Variation (COV) are not exceeded 20% and 25%.c. the level of equity is independent, not progressive nor regressive.This study aims to analyze the performance of NJOP (the Tax Object Sales Value) determination, looking for solution for poor performance as well as propose an appropriate model for measuring the tax potential loss in the Jakarta Greater Area (Jabodetabek).Based on testing the level of assessment, 13 cities / municipalities across the Jakarta Greater Area (Jabodetabek) are proven by performance of under-assessment, with a central tendency ranged from 0.610 to 0.888. The variability performance of COD, only in 4 (four) municipalities / cities was below 20%, as did the variability of COV only in 4 (four) municipalities / cities was below 25%, whereas the others exceeded that limit. Testing the level of equity proved that in the NJOP determination, 9 cities/municipalities performing regressive, a city performing progressive, and only in 3 municipalities/cities performing independent. For municipalities / cities which are underperforming (poor) need improvement or correction through reappraisal, reassessment or simply by NJOP adjustment.  With the proposed model, the potential loss of property tax (PBB P2) in 2012 is estimated to Rp1.384 billion or 24.3% of the tax potential which should be at Rp5.698 billion. 14.6% of the tax potential has been lost as a consequence of the application of mass appraisal, while 9.7% of tax potential is lost due to poor performance, including the potential loss due to the opening of the rent-seeking opportunities

Change Parent–School Disputes to Sustainable Development for the Indonesian’s Social Capital

The study administrated qualitative method for IQA (Interactive Qualitative Analysis) to assess the preferred organizational change pattern for the Ombudsman of the Republic Indonesia (ORI). It adhered to the initiation of partnership done recently with the socialization at 13 Public Elementary Schools (PES) all situated in the Jakarta Metropolitan Area. Sustainability of such a partnership institution is the imperative for futher nation charater building, for the sustainability of the comparative advantage for the Indonesian’s social capital in the future globalized industry. Three separated focus group discussions (FGD) were held for 3 PES which incidentally chosen, since each readily available for FGD immediately after socialization. A systematic sampling was also managed to choose the most involved during the socializations to represent 6 teachers and 6 parents for every FGD. Another focus group interview (FGI) was also held involving 3 Principals and 3 Heads of School Committee (HSC) from the three schools. A nested sampling was applied here to supposedly eliminate their ‘deviant’ role in the FGD. The study conceived that a paradigm shift is needed for ORI-PES relationships to alter the watchdog philosopher into co-management and co-creation with mutual-trust based. More specifically ORI also needs, at the earliest of socializations, to convey successively the long-term strategic value along with learning for the complaint and the operational value along with learning for the investigation. For those, the truth of recovered mutual-trust across parents, schools and ORI would be stretched to ‘bridge-trust’ up progressing further the existence of trust in government that all be affirmed by the individuals. Since those generalized trust scales up within the PES educational domain, thus sustainable development for the Indonesian’s social capital would have been positively exist. Keywords: Generalized Trusts, Ombudsman, Partnerships Management, Social Capital, Sustainable Development

MODELING OF DENGUE HEMORRHAGIC FEVER IN BOGOR USING BAYESIAN SUR-SAR

The purposes of this research are (1) To develop Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) system constructed by correlated Spatial Autoregressive Model (SAR) with Bayesian approach for dynamic analysis of spatial and non-spatial contributions of Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) case in Bogor, (2) To evaluate efficiency issues on parameters estimation with SUR system. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling scheme was used to estimate all of model parameters with the number of iteration whose burn-in period was discovered. The results indicated that : there was the similar pattern of DHF spread in Bogor during 2009 – 2011, the nearby areas had a significant role to the incidence of DHF in an area in the city of Bogor, and the non-spatial contributions of DHF cases in Bogor during 2009 -2011 included in this model were dynamic. Gain efficiency of parameters estimation on modeling of DHF in Bogor with SAR for each year during 2009-2011 can be obtained if we construct all of SAR with SUR system model