Applying ecological niche factor analysis for predictive modelling in the Kaulonia field survey

During the archaeological survey in Kaulonia (Calabria, Southern Italy), we observed a pattern in the distribution of Bronze Age finds. Due to that observation, we tried to define both a model of these findings and a map of their probability of presence. We have chosen a method applied to model animal distribution, the Ecological Niche Factor Analysis (ENFA) that works without absence data. ENFA computes the suitability function by comparing the species distribution in the eco-geographical variables (EGV) space with that of the whole set of cells. The model describes the Bronze Age findings as more influenced first by high elevations, then by the distance from sea. In the next survey campaigns, we have tested the Habitat Suitability map, surveying new areas and we found new concentrations of Bronze Age finds where there is a high potential on the Habitat Suitability map

Il rinvio abnorme del processo: due casi nelle «Noctes Atticae» di Gellio

Usare mezzi argomentativi fallaci, come l’antistréphon, provoca dilemmi e induce il giudice a non decidere e quindi a rinviare il processo per evitare di emanare una sentenza che comunque sarebbe ingiusta. Le Noctes Atticae di Gellio ne contengono un esempio (5.10.1-16). In un altro brano (12.7.1-7) il dilemma e il rinvio del processo sono determinati dai fatti stessi oggetto del giudizio. Da entrambi i passi gelliani rinviare il procedimento risulta un sostanziale non liquet ma ha la funzione di scongiurare un’ingiustiziaUsing fallacious argumentative means, such as the antistréphon, causes dilemmas and leads the judge to not decide and therefore to postpone the trial, thus avoiding an injustice verdict. Noctes Atticae by Gellius contains an example (5.10.1-16). In another passage (12.7.1-7) the dilemma and the deferment of the trial are determined by the same facts advanced in the judgment. By both Gellian passages, postponing the judgement is a substantial non liquet but with the function of preventing an injustic

Pollicitatio e usurae ex mora. A margine di una recente raccolta di studi

Le usurae ex mora sembrano avere la funzione di indurre chi abbia posto in essere una pollicitatio a rispettare esattamente (e con tempestività, osservando cioè anche il termine dell’adempimento) gli impegni assunti

Hybrid modeling of a biorefinery separation process to monitor short-term and long-term membrane fouling

Membrane filtration is commonly used in biorefineries to separate cells from fermentation broths containing the desired products. However, membrane fouling can cause short-term process disruption and long-term membrane degradation. The evolution of membrane resistance over time can be monitored to track fouling, but this calls for adequate sensors in the plant. This requirement might not be fulfilled even in modern biorefineries, especially when multiple, tightly interconnected membrane modules are used. Therefore, characterization of fouling in industrial facilities remains a challenge. In this study, we propose a hybrid modeling strategy to characterize both reversible and irreversible fouling in multi-module biorefinery membrane separation systems. We couple a linear data-driven model, to provide high-frequency estimates of trans-membrane pressures from the available measurements, with a simple nonlinear knowledge-driven model, to compute the resistances of the individual membrane modules. We test the proposed strategy using real data from the world's first industrial biorefinery manufacturing 1,4-bio-butanediol via fermentation of renewable raw materials. We show how monitoring of individual resistances, even when done by simple visual inspection, offers valuable insight on the reversible and irreversible fouling state of the membranes. We also discuss the advantage of the proposed approach, over monitoring trans-membrane pressures and permeate fluxes, from the standpoints of data variability, effect of process changes, interaction between module in multi-module systems, and fouling dynamics

Microbiological quality of drinking water from dispensers in Italy

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>Water coolers are popular in office buildings and commercial stores and the quality of this source of drinking water has the potential to cause waterborne outbreaks, especially in sensitive and immunocompromised subjects. The aim of this study was to determine the quality of water plumbed in coolers from commercial stores in comparison with tap water in Italy.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>For each sample, microbial parameters and chemical indicators of contamination were evaluated and information about the date of installation, time since last ordinary and extraordinary maintenance of water coolers was collected.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>In all samples the chemical parameters (nitrite, ammonium, free active chlorine residual) did not exceed the reference values of the drinking water regulation; the pH value in 86.8% samples of the carbonated waters was lower than the reference limit. The microbiological results indicated that the bacteria count at 22°C and 37°C was higher than the required values in 71% and 81% for the non-carbonated water and in 86% and 88% for the carbonated one, respectively. <it>Enterococcus </it>spp. and <it>Escherichia coli </it>were not detected in any of the water samples. <it>Pseudomonas aeruginosa </it>was found in only one sample of the tap water and in 28.9% and 23.7% of the non-carbonated and carbonated water samples, respectively. No statistically significant differences in bacterial counts at 22°C and 37°C have been found between the non-carbonated and carbonated water from the sampled coolers in relation with the time since the last filter was substituted. The bacteriological quality of tap water was superior to that of non-carbonated and carbonated water from coolers.</p> <p>Conclusion</p> <p>The results emphasize the importance of adopting appropriate routinely monitoring system in order to prevent or to diminish the chances of contamination of this water source.</p

946-103 Incremental Prognostic Power for Perioperative Cardiac Events of Clinical History and Semi·Quantitative Dobutamine Before Major Vascular Surgery

Using the presence of stress induced ischemia with dobutamine-atropine stress echocardiography (DSE) for predicting perioperative cardiac events (CE) in patients undergoing major vascular surgery has a high negative but low positive predictive value (PPV).Aim of the studyto improve the PPV of DSE by combining the value of clinical markers and DSE.Methodsin 300 consecutive patients clinical risk factors (diabetes, angina, Q waves on ECG, age&gt;70 years, and history of ventricular arrhythmias) where assessed. DSE results were analyzed by quantifying the extent and severity of new wall motion abnormalities (NWMA) at peak stress. Also, heart rate threshold (HR-Thres) at which NWMA occurred was noted. Low HR-Thres was defined as NWMA at&lt;70% of maximal age and sex related heart rate.Results27 CE occurred of which 5 cardiac deaths, 12 myocardial infarctions and 10 patients with unstable angina. One-hundred patients had no clinical risk factors, 200 one or more. All but 1 CE occurred in patients with 1 Or more risk factors. In 27 of 72 patients with a positive DSE a CE occurred (PPV 38%). Quantifying the extent and severity of NWMA at peak stress provided no additional information. The HR-Thres at which ischemia occurred improved PPV In 30 patients with a low HR-Thres, 20 CE occurred (PPV 67%). In the remaining 42 patients with a high HR-Thres, only 7 CE occurred (16%). The improvement of PPV from 38% to 67% is statistically highly significant (P &lt; 0.01). All patients with a fatal CE and 8 of 12 patients with a myocardial infarction had a low HR-threshold.Conclusions1) in patients with no clinical risk factors additional stress testing is not efficient. 2) in patients with one or more risk factors semiquantitative DSE allows stratification of patients in low, intermediate, and high risk groups for CE

Seroprevalence of sars-cov-2 antibodies in adults and healthcare workers in southern italy

Background: This study was carried out to estimate the seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in a Southern Italian population. Methods: The study was performed among students and workers of the University of Campania “Luigi Vanvitelli” and the relative Teaching Hospital. Participants were invited to undergo a blood sampling, an interview or to complete a self-administered questionnaire. Results: A total of 140 participants (5.8%) tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. Positive SARS-CoV-2 test results increased significantly during the months of testing, and those who had had at least one symptom among fever, cough, dyspnea, loss of taste or smell and who had had contact with a family member/cohabitant with confirmed COVID-19 were more likely to test positive. Faculty members were less likely to have a positive test result compared to the healthcare workers (HCWs). Among HCWs, physicians showed the lowest rate of seroconversion (5.2%) compared to nurses (8.9%) and other categories (10%). Nurses and other HCWs compared to the physicians, those who had had at least one symptom among fever, cough, dyspnea, loss of taste or smell, and who had had contact with a family member/cohabitant with confirmed COVID-19 were more likely to test positive. Conclusions: The results have demonstrated that SARS-CoV-2 infection is rapidly spreading even in Southern Italy and confirm the substantial role of seroprevalence studies for the assessment of SARS-CoV-2 infection circulation and potential for further spreading

Improved cardiac risk stratification in major vascular surgery with dobutamine-atropine stress echocardiography

Objectives: This study sought to optimize preoperative cardiac risk stratification in a large group of consecutive candidates for vascular surgery by combining clinical risk assessment and semiquantitative dobutamine-atropine stress echocardiography. Background: Dobutamine-atropine stress echocardiography has been used for the prediction of perioperative cardiac risk in a small group of patients scheduled for elective major vascular surgery on the basis of the presence or absence of stress-induced regional left ventricular wall motion abnormalities. Methods: Clinical risk assessment and dobutamine-atropine stress echocardiography were performed in 302 consecutive patients presenting for major vascular surgery. The extent and severity of stress wall motion abnormalities and the heart rate at which they occurred, in addition to the presence of wall motion abnormalities at rest, were assessed. Results: The absence of clinical risk factors (angina, diabetes, Q waves on the electrocardiogram, symptomatic ventricular tachyarrhythmias, age >70 years) identified a low risk group of 100 patients with a 1% cardiac event rate (unstable angina). Dobutamine-atropine stress echocardiographic findings were positive in 72 patients. Twenty-seven patients had a perioperative cardiac event (cardiac death in 5, nonfatal infarction in 12, unstable angina pectoris in 10); all 27 patients had positive stress test results (positive predictive value 38%, negative predictive value 100%). The semiquantitative asse

Dobutamine-atropine stress echocardiography and clinical data for predicting late cardiac events in patients with suspected coronary artery disease

purpose: To compare the relative value of clinical variables with dobutamine-atropine stress echocardiography to predict cardiac events during long-term follow-up. Dobutamine stress echocardiography is increasingly used for the detection of coronary artery disease, but little is known of its prognostic value. patients and methods: A total of 430 patients (310 men; mean age 61 years, range 22 to 90) were enrolled in the study. Patients were referred for chest pain complaints and were unable to perform an adequate exercise stress test. All patients underwent dobutamine-atropine stress test (incremental dobutamine infusion: 10 to 40 μ/kg/minute, continued with atropine 0.25 to 1 mg intravenously if necessary to achieve 85% of the age predicted maximal heart rate, without symptoms or signs of ischemia) and clinical cardiac evaluation. Follow-up was 17 ± 5 months, with a minimum of 6 months; 3 patients were lost to follow-up. Cardiac events were defined as cardiac death, nonfatal myocardial infarc