Models for analysing the dependencies between indicators for bioeconomy in the European Union

In the past decade, bioeconomy has become a main field of interest, especially in terms of innovation, as it was often considered a potential solution to several global sustainability issues, such as environmental challenges. Through the conversion of biomass into value-added products for a full reintegration of used renewable biological resources, this sector has played a significant role in the efforts to transfer from petroleum-based economies to biobased economies. The present article has the objective of developing panel regression models for determining the dependency between some of the main indicators of the bioeconomy development and sustainability for the European Union in the period 2008–2013. One main interesting finding of the study emphasised that higher gas emissions from agriculture are associated positively with higher turnover in the bioeconomy, implying the fact that the development of the bioeconomy is surprisingly not necessarily associated with sustainability. The relevance of the present study lies in the novelty of the subject, as bioeconomy was mainly researched in terms of theoretical knowledge, but less in terms of statistical analysis. Thus, the article offers a comprehensive research regarding the connection of the bioeconomy quantifying indicators and other selected economic influence factors of the European Union

Band ligation vs. N-Butyl-2-cyanoacrylate injection in acute gastric variceal bleeding: a prospective follow-up study

Background. Treatment of gastric varices (GV) implies a number of several difficulties and sometimes entails complications. The best endoscopic success rate was attributed until now to the use of tissue adhesives(N-Butyl-2-Cyanoacrylate) and band ligation.Aim. To assess the therapeutic efficacy and safety of cyanoacrylate injection compared to band ligation in patients with acute GV hemorrhage.Material and methods. Thirty-seven patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding from GV were included in the study, treated with cyanoacrylate injection (GVO)-19 patients or band ligations (GVL)-18 patients. They were followed up for overall results, complications and survival rate.Results. The mean age of the study group was 60.22 ± 9.34 years, with a male/female ratio of 21:16. The mean follow-up period was 427.26 ± 214.16 days in the GVO group and 406.21 ± 213.23 days in the GVL group (p = 0.76). Initial hemostasis was achieved in all patients treated with cyanoacrylate and in 88.88% from the GVL group (p = 0.43). Rebleeding occurred in 72.22% of the GVL group and in 31.57% of the GVO patients (p = 0.03). Patients in the GVO group had a significantly larger rebleeding-free period(p = 0.006). No difference was found in survival rates(p = 0.75). The Child Class (p = 0.003 for Class C) and treatment method (p = 0.01) were independently associated with the rate of rebleeding. No differences were found regarding the rate of complications.Conclusion. The use of cyanoacrylate in acute GV bleeding had better results when compared with band ligation in terms of controlling the hemorrhage and recurrence of bleeding. The overall survival rate was not influenced by the method used for the treatment of complicated GV

Cognitive Dysfunction and Affective Mood Disorder Screening in Patients With Chronic Inflammatory Bowel Disease: Protocol for a Prospective Case-Control Study

BackgroundMild cognitive impairment (MCI) and Alzheimer’s disease (AD) might be more frequent in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), but the relationship between these 2 entities is yet to be entirely established. Certain blood biomarkers (eg, serum amyloid A [SAA] and serum homocysteine [Hcy], which increase in IBD and MCI; brain-derived neurotrophic factor [BDNF], which decreases in MCI and AD but is not clearly modified in IBD; and S100 calcium-binding protein B [S100B], which increases in the blood-brain barrier and neuronal lesions) might predict the stage of MCI or dementia or progression to a further state. The gut–brain axis (GBA) might be the key to the development of MCI in patients with IBD, along with systemic inflammation and the possible and unknown adverse effects of disease-modifying medication. ObjectiveThe aim of this study is to investigate whether GBA interactions play a role in MCI development in patients with IBD. MethodsA case-control study will be conducted on at least 100 patients diagnosed with IBD, matched with 100 healthy individual controls. The matching will include sex, age, and education. Patients will be fully examined, and a full interview and a neurological and cognitive examination will be performed. The primary clinical outcomes will be cognitive test scores (Montreal Cognitive Assessment, Trail Making Test, Digit Symbol Substitution Test, forward and backward digit span testing). Depression, stress, and anxiety screening will also be performed. Blood samples from all participants will be collected, and aliquots will be immediately stored in a biobank. Primary laboratory outcomes will include serum levels of presumed cognitive dysfunction blood biomarkers SAA, Hcy, S100B, and BDNF. Follow-up will be performed at 12, 24, 36, and 48 months. ResultsData collection started in December 2021 and is ongoing. So far, 53 patients with IBD have been recruited and 50 HC matched. Data collection should end in January 2030. Intermediary analysis will be performed in April 2024. We expect patients with IBD to have lower scores on cognitive testing and a positive correlation between disease length and cognitive impairment level. In addition, the levels of stress, anxiety, and depression should be higher in the IBD group. The serum levels of the 4 biomarkers could correlate or anticorrelate with cognitive scores and serve as predictive factors for MCI or dementia development. A higher level of education, a younger age, the absence of malabsorption, and good disease control might serve as protectors against MCI. ConclusionsGBA interactions, along with systemic inflammation and the adverse effects of medication, might be a cause of MCI and AD development in patients with IBD. Serum biomarkers could prove cheap and useful predictors of MCI development. Trial RegistrationClinicalTrials.gov NCT05760729; https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT05760729 International Registered Report Identifier (IRRID)DERR1-10.2196/5054

Expression of Selected Genes and Circulating microRNAs in Patients with Celiac Disease

Background and Objectives: Celiac disease (CD) is an immune-mediated enteropathy with characteristic intestinal alterations. CD occurs as a chronic inflammation secondary to gluten sensitivity in genetically susceptible individuals. Until now, the exact cause of the disease has not been established, which is why new studies have appeared that address the involvement of various genes and microRNAs (miRNAs) in the pathogenesis. The aim of the study is to describe the expression of selected genes (Wnt family member 3, WNT3; Wnt family member 11, WNT11; tumor necrosis factor alpha, TNFα; mitogen-activated protein kinase 1, MAPK1; AKT serine/threonine kinase 3, AKT3; phosphatidylinositol-4,5-bisphosphate 3-kinase catalytic subunit alpha, PIK3CA; and cyclin D1, CCND1) and miRNAs (miR-192-5p, miR-194-5p, miR-449a and miR-638) in adult patients with CD. Materials and Methods: In total, 15 patients with CD at diagnosis (newly diagnosed), 33 patients on a gluten-free diet (GFD) for at least 1 year and 10 controls (control) were prospectively included. Blood samples were evaluated by quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR). Results: The results show that TNFα, MAPK1 and CCND1 were significantly overexpressed (p = 0.0249, p = 0.0019 and p = 0.0275, respectively) when comparing the newly diagnosed group to the controls. The other genes studied in CD patients were mostly with high values compared to controls, without reaching statistical significance. Among the miRNAs, the closest to a statistically significant value was miR-194-5p when the newly diagnosed group versus control (p = 0.0510) and GFD group versus control (p = 0.0671) were compared. The DIANA and miRNet databases identified significant functional activity for miR-449a and miR-192-5p and an interconnection of miR-194-5p and miR-449a with CCND1. Conclusions: In conclusion, genes and circulating miRNAs require further studies as they could represent important biomarkers in clinical practice

EASY-APP: An artificial intelligence model and application for early and easy prediction of severity in acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a potentially severe or even fatal inflammation of the pancreas. Early identification of patients at high risk for developing a severe course of the disease is crucial for preventing organ failure and death. Most of the former predictive scores require many parameters or at least 24 h to predict the severity; therefore, the early therapeutic window is often missed. METHODS: The early achievable severity index (EASY) is a multicentre, multinational, prospective and observational study (ISRCTN10525246). The predictions were made using machine learning models. We used the scikit‐learn, xgboost and catboost Python packages for modelling. We evaluated our models using fourfold cross‐validation, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the area under the ROC curve (AUC), and accuracy metrics were calculated on the union of the test sets of the cross‐validation. The most critical factors and their contribution to the prediction were identified using a modern tool of explainable artificial intelligence called SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP). RESULTS: The prediction model was based on an international cohort of 1184 patients and a validation cohort of 3543 patients. The best performing model was an XGBoost classifier with an average AUC score of 0.81 ± 0.033 and an accuracy of 89.1%, and the model improved with experience. The six most influential features were the respiratory rate, body temperature, abdominal muscular reflex, gender, age and glucose level. Using the XGBoost machine learning algorithm for prediction, the SHAP values for the explanation and the bootstrapping method to estimate confidence, we developed a free and easy‐to‐use web application in the Streamlit Python‐based framework (http://easy‐app.org/). CONCLUSIONS: The EASY prediction score is a practical tool for identifying patients at high risk for severe AP within hours of hospital admission. The web application is available for clinicians and contributes to the improvement of the model

Acid suppression therapy, gastrointestinal bleeding and infection in acute pancreatitis - An international cohort study

BACKGROUND: Acid suppressing drugs (ASD) are generally used in acute pancreatitis (AP); however, large cohorts are not available to understand their efficiency and safety. Therefore, our aims were to evaluate the association between the administration of ASDs, the outcome of AP, the frequency of gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding and GI infection in patients with AP. METHODS: We initiated an international survey and performed retrospective data analysis on AP patients hospitalized between January 2013 and December 2018. RESULTS: Data of 17,422 adult patients with AP were collected from 59 centers of 23 countries. We found that 23.3% of patients received ASDs before and 86.6% during the course of AP. ASDs were prescribed to 57.6% of patients at discharge. ASD administration was associated with more severe AP and higher mortality. GI bleeding was reported in 4.7% of patients, and it was associated with pancreatitis severity, mortality and ASD therapy. Stool culture test was performed in 6.3% of the patients with 28.4% positive results. Clostridium difficile was the cause of GI infection in 60.5% of cases. Among the patients with GI infections, 28.9% received ASDs, whereas 24.1% were without any acid suppression treatment. GI infection was associated with more severe pancreatitis and higher mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Although ASD therapy is widely used, it is unlikely to have beneficial effects either on the outcome of AP or on the prevention of GI bleeding during AP. Therefore, ASD therapy should be substantially decreased in the therapeutic management of AP