On finite-temperature holographic QCD in the Veneziano limit

Holographic models in the T=0 universality class of QCD in the limit of large number N_c of colors and N_f massless fermion flavors, but constant ratio x_f=N_f/N_c, are analyzed at finite temperature. The models contain a 5-dimensional metric and two scalars, a dilaton sourcing TrF^2 and a tachyon dual to \bar qq. The phase structure on the T,x_f plane is computed and various 1st order, 2nd order transitions and crossovers with their chiral symmetry properties are identified. For each x_f, the temperature dependence of p/T^4 and the quark-antiquark -condensate is computed. In the simplest case, we find that for x_f up to the critical x_c\sim 4 there is a 1st order transition on which chiral symmetry is broken and the energy density jumps. In the conformal window x_c<x_f<11/2, there is only a continuous crossover between two conformal phases. When approaching x_c from below, x_f\to x_c, temperature scales approach zero as specified by Miransky scaling.Comment: 66 pages, 29 figure

A note on the use of anticipatory covariates in event history analysis

Anticipatory covariates are regressors whose values become known only after the value of the dependent variable has been ascertained. Hoem (1995) has given an informal discussion concerning the possible pitfalls in the use of such covariates in event history analysis. This paper complements Hoem’s findings by using simple linear regression as the framework. It turns out that complex patterns of bias may be introduced by the use of anticipatory covariates. In all cases it may not be possible to guarantee that the magnitude of the bias remains small. Therefore, extreme care is needed in interpreting results from studies that have relied on anticipatory covariates

Farm Deaths in North Karelia

This study examined the effect of farm size on the mortality and survival of EasternFinnish farms in the late 1990s. Three different dimensions of farm size (i.e. hectaresoperated, number of milk cows, and hectares of forest) were compared. Data wereextracted from administrative records and covered all 4,527 active farms in NorthKarelia from 1995 to 1998. Results did not support the disappearing middle sizehypothesis presented by Weiss (1999). Farm size distributions were not bimodal.No empirical evidence was found of a process of polarisation into two centres ofattraction. As a whole, the analysis provides some support for the conclusion thatthe size of forest holding as measured by hectares of forest owned by farm does nothave an independent effect on the likelihood of survival. Its contribution dependson the other variables in the model

Assumptions for long-term stochastic population forecasts in 18 European countries: Hypothèses de projections stochastiquesàlong terme des populations de 18 pays européens

The aim of the ‘Uncertain Population of Europe’(UPE) project was to compute long-term stochastic (probabilistic) population forecasts for 18 European countries. We developed a general methodology for constructing predictive distributions for fertility, mortality and migration. The assumptions underlying stochastic population forecasts can be assessed by analysing errors in past forecasts or model-based estimates of forecast errors, or by expert judgement. All three approaches have been used in the project. This article summarizes and discusses the results of the three approaches. It demonstrates how the—sometimes conflicting—results can be synthesized into a consistent set of assumptions about the expected levels and the uncertainty of total fertility rate, life expectancy at birth of men and women, and net migration for 18 European countries

Managing arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi for bioprotection: Mn toxicity

We investigated whether an intact extraradical mycelium (ERM) is more effective than other forms of propagule from indigenous arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi (AMF) in providing protection against stress to a host plant. The response of wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) to Mn toxicity was studied in a two-phase greenhouse experiment. In Phase 1, four Mn tolerant species from the natural vegetation, ranging from strongly mycotrophic to non- or weakly mycotrophic, were grown to develop different amounts of ERM. Wheat was then planted (Phase 2) with the ERM fragmented by sieving (Disturbed Treatment) or kept intact with no prior soil disturbance (Undisturbed Treatment). The growth of wheat was doubled by earlier and faster mycorrhizal colonization (AC) in the presence of an intact ERM at planting. There was a positive correlation between plant growth and the reduction of Mn and enhancement of P and S uptake into shoots. However, the growth of plants in undisturbed soil was significantly affected by the ERM developer species, which was not explained by differences in AC. Colonization starting from an intact ERM greatly enhanced the potential of AMF for protection against Mn toxicity. However, the degree of protection depended on the plant previously grown to develop the ERM, suggesting that there may be functional diversity within the ERM developed by mycotrophic plants of the natural vegetation

Interaction between Arbuscular Mycorrhizal Fungi and rhizobia on the growth of subclover under Mn toxicity: The role of Extraradical Mycelium.

When Arbuscular Mycorrhizal (AM) colonization started from an intact extraradical mycelium (ERM) its bioprotective effect on subclover was enhanced in comparison with other sources of inoculum. The presence in the soil of an intact ERM, developed previously on mycotrophic plants tolerant to Mn toxicity, resulted in the earlier colonization of subclover, reduced Mn concentration in the roots, improved development and activity of root nodules, and enhanced N acquisition

Ageing of a giant: a stochastic population forecast for China, 2006-2060

This paper presents a stochastic population forecast for China with a special emphasis on population ageing. The so-called scaled model for error was used to quantify the uncertainty attached to the population predictions. Data scarcity was a major problem in the specification of the expected error of the population forecast. Therefore, the error structures estimated for European countries were used with some modifications, taking into account the large size and heterogeneity of the Chinese population. The stochastic forecast confirms the expectation of extremely rapid population ageing during the first half of the twenty-first century in China. The old age dependency ratio (OADR) will certainly increase. Simply maintaining the current demographic rates (no international migration) would drive the OADR to 0.42 in 2060, four times the current level. Including expected declines in mortality and net outmigration in the projection would increase the median OADR in 2060 to 0.59, with a 80% prediction interval of [0.47, 0.75]. In particular, the oldest-old population will grow much faster than any other age group. This development has major implications for policy-making in China. Keywords: Stochastic population forecast Predictive distribution Uncertainty Scaled model for error China Population ageing Low fertility Mortality decline