A Semiparametric Panel Model for Unbalanced Data with Application to Climate Change in the United Kingdom

This paper is concerned with developing a semiparametric panel model to explain the trend in UK temperatures and other weather outcomes over the last century. We work with the monthly averaged maximum and minimum temperatures observed at the twenty six Meteorological Office stations. The data is an unbalanced panel. We allow the trend to evolve in a nonparametric way so that we obtain a fuller picture of the evolution of common temperature in the medium timescale. Profile likelihood estimators (PLE) are proposed and their statistical properties are studied. The proposed PLE has improved asymptotic property comparing the the sequential two-step estimators. Finally, forecasting based on the proposed model is studied.Global warming; Kernel estimation; Semiparametric; Trend analysis

Poisson-de Rham homology of hypertoric varieties and nilpotent cones

We prove a conjecture of Etingof and the second author for hypertoric varieties, that the Poisson-de Rham homology of a unimodular hypertoric cone is isomorphic to the de Rham cohomology of its hypertoric resolution. More generally, we prove that this conjecture holds for an arbitrary conical variety admitting a symplectic resolution if and only if it holds in degree zero for all normal slices to symplectic leaves. The Poisson-de Rham homology of a Poisson cone inherits a second grading. In the hypertoric case, we compute the resulting 2-variable Poisson-de Rham-Poincare polynomial, and prove that it is equal to a specialization of an enrichment of the Tutte polynomial of a matroid that was introduced by Denham. We also compute this polynomial for S3-varieties of type A in terms of Kostka polynomials, modulo a previous conjecture of the first author, and we give a conjectural answer for nilpotent cones in arbitrary type, which we prove in rank less than or equal to 2.Comment: 25 page

Automorphisms of associative algebras and noncommutative geometry

A class of differential calculi is explored which is determined by a set of automorphisms of the underlying associative algebra. Several examples are presented. In particular, differential calculi on the quantum plane, the $h$-deformed plane and the quantum group GLpq(2) are recovered in this way. Geometric structures like metrics and compatible linear connections are introduced.Comment: 28 pages, some references added, several amendments of minor importance, remark on modular group in section 8 omitted, to appear in J. Phys.

Evaluation of Concomitant Systemic Treatment in Older Adults With Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma Undergoing Definitive Radiotherapy

IMPORTANCE The number of older adults with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) is increasing, and these patients are underrepresented in clinical trials. It is unclear whether the addition of chemotherapy or cetuximab to radiotherapy is associated with improved survival in older adults with HNSCC. OBJECTIVE To examine whether the addition of chemotherapy or cetuximab to definitive radiotherapy is associated with improved survival in patients with locoregionally advanced (LA) HNSCC. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS The Special Care Patterns for Elderly HNSCC Patients Undergoing Radiotherapy (SENIOR) study is an international, multicenter cohort study including older adults (≥65 years) with LA-HNSCCs of the oral cavity, oropharynx/hypopharynx, or larynx treated with definitive radiotherapy, either alone or with concomitant systemic treatment, between January 2005 and December 2019 at 12 academic centers in the US and Europe. Data analysis was conducted from June 4 to August 10, 2022. INTERVENTIONS All patients underwent definitive radiotherapy alone or with concomitant systemic treatment. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES The primary outcome was overall survival. Secondary outcomes included progression-free survival and locoregional failure rate. RESULTS Among the 1044 patients (734 men [70.3%]; median [IQR] age, 73 [69-78] years) included in this study, 234 patients (22.4%) were treated with radiotherapy alone and 810 patients (77.6%) received concomitant systemic treatment with chemotherapy (677 [64.8%]) or cetuximab (133 [12.7%]). Using inverse probability weighting to attribute for selection bias, chemoradiation was associated with longer overall survival than radiotherapy alone (hazard ratio [HR], 0.61; 95% CI, 0.48-0.77; P < .001), whereas cetuximab-based bioradiotherapy was not (HR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.70-1.27; P = .70). Progression-free survival was also longer after the addition of chemotherapy (HR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.52-0.81; P < .001), while the locoregional failure rate was not significantly different (subhazard ratio, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.30-1.26; P = .19). The survival benefit of the chemoradiation group was present in patients up to age 80 years (65-69 years: HR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.33-0.82; 70-79 years: HR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.43-0.85), but was absent in patients aged 80 years or older (HR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.56-1.41). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE In this cohort study of older adults with LA- HNSCC, chemoradiation, but not cetuximab-based bioradiotherapy, was associated with longer survival compared with radiotherapy alone

A Multicenter Evaluation of Different Chemotherapy Regimens in Older Adults With Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma Undergoing Definitive Chemoradiation

PURPOSE: The number of older adults with head-and-neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) is increasing, and treatment of these patients is challenging. Although cisplatin-based chemotherapy concomitantly with radiotherapy is considered standard regimen for patients with locoregionally advanced HNSCC, there is substantial real-world heterogeneity regarding concomitant chemotherapy in older HNSCC patients. METHODS: The XXX study is an international multicenter cohort study including older (≥65 years) HNSCC patients treated with definitive radiotherapy at 13 academic centers in the United States and Europe. Here, patients with concomitant chemoradiation were analyzed regarding overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) using Kaplan-Meier analyses, while Fine-Gray competing risks regressions were performed regarding the incidence of locoregional failures (LRFs) and distant metastases (DMs). RESULTS: Six hundred ninety-seven patients with a median age of 71 years were included in this analysis. Single-agent cisplatin was the most common chemotherapy regimen (n=310; 44%), followed by cisplatin plus 5-fluorouracil (n=137; 20%), carboplatin (n=73; 10%), and mitomycin c plus 5-fluorouracil (n=64; 9%). Carboplatin-based regimens were associated with diminished PFS (HR=1.39 [1.03-1.89], p.05). Median cumulative dose of cisplatin was 180 mg/m2 (IQR, 120-200 mg/m2). Cumulative cisplatin doses ≥200 mg/m2 were associated with increased OS (HR=0.71 [0.53-0.95], p=.02), PFS (HR=0.66 [0.51-0.87], p=.003), and lower incidence of LRFs (SHR=0.50 [0.31-0.80], p=.004). Higher cumulative cisplatin doses remained an independent prognostic variable in the multivariate regression analysis for OS (HR=0.996 [0.993-0.999], p=.009). CONCLUSIONS: Single-agent cisplatin can be considered as the standard chemotherapy regimen for older HNSCC patients who can tolerate cisplatin. Cumulative cisplatin doses are prognostically relevant also in older HNSCC patients

Hagfish genome elucidates vertebrate whole-genome duplication events and their evolutionary consequences.

Polyploidy or whole-genome duplication (WGD) is a major event that drastically reshapes genome architecture and is often assumed to be causally associated with organismal innovations and radiations. The 2R hypothesis suggests that two WGD events (1R and 2R) occurred during early vertebrate evolution. However, the timing of the 2R event relative to the divergence of gnathostomes (jawed vertebrates) and cyclostomes (jawless hagfishes and lampreys) is unresolved and whether these WGD events underlie vertebrate phenotypic diversification remains elusive. Here we present the genome of the inshore hagfish, Eptatretus burgeri. Through comparative analysis with lamprey and gnathostome genomes, we reconstruct the early events in cyclostome genome evolution, leveraging insights into the ancestral vertebrate genome. Genome-wide synteny and phylogenetic analyses support a scenario in which 1R occurred in the vertebrate stem-lineage during the early Cambrian, and 2R occurred in the gnathostome stem-lineage, maximally in the late Cambrian-earliest Ordovician, after its divergence from cyclostomes. We find that the genome of stem-cyclostomes experienced an additional independent genome triplication. Functional genomic and morphospace analyses demonstrate that WGD events generally contribute to developmental evolution with similar changes in the regulatory genome of both vertebrate groups. However, appreciable morphological diversification occurred only in the gnathostome but not in the cyclostome lineage, calling into question the general expectation that WGDs lead to leaps of bodyplan complexity

Improving a Natural CaMKII Inhibitor by Random and Rational Design

CaM-KIIN has evolved to inhibit stimulated and autonomous activity of the Ca(2+)/calmodulin (CaM)-dependent protein kinase II (CaMKII) efficiently, selectively, and potently (IC50 ∼100 nM). The CN class of peptides, derived from the inhibitory region of CaM-KIIN, provides powerful new tools to study CaMKII functions. The goal of this study was to identify the residues required for CaMKII inhibition, and to assess if artificial mutations could further improve the potency achieved during evolution.First, the minimal region with full inhibitory potency was identified (CN19) by determining the effect of truncated peptides on CaMKII activity in biochemical assays. Then, individual residues of CN19 were mutated. Most individual Ala substitutions decreased potency of CaMKII inhibition, however, P3A, K13A, and R14A increased potency. Importantly, this initial Ala scan suggested a specific interaction of the region around R11 with the CaMKII substrate binding site, which was exploited for further rational mutagenesis to generate an optimized pseudo-substrate sequence. Indeed, the potency of the optimized peptide CN19o was >250fold improved (IC50 <0.4 nM), and CN19o has characteristics of a tight-binding inhibitor. The selectivity for CaMKII versus CaMKI was similarly improved (to almost 100,000fold for CN19o). A phospho-mimetic S12D mutation decreased potency, indicating potential for regulation by cellular signaling. Consistent with importance of this residue in inhibition, most other S12 mutations also significantly decreased potency, however, mutation to V or Q did not.These results provide improved research tools for studying CaMKII function, and indicate that evolution fine-tuned CaM-KIIN not for maximal potency of CaMKII inhibition, but for lower potency that may be optimal for dynamic regulation of signal transduction

The prime spectrum and simple modules over the quantum spatial ageing algebra

For the algebra $A$ in the title, its prime, primitive and maximal spectra are classified. The group of automorphisms of $A$ is determined. The simple unfaithful $A$-modules and the simple weight $A$-modules are classified