Thermal Tolerance of the Coffee Berry Borer Hypothenemus hampei: Predictions of Climate Change Impact on a Tropical Insect Pest

Coffee is predicted to be severely affected by climate change. We determined the thermal tolerance of the coffee berry borer , Hypothenemus hampei, the most devastating pest of coffee worldwide, and make inferences on the possible effects of climate change using climatic data from Colombia, Kenya, Tanzania, and Ethiopia. For this, the effect of eight temperature regimes (15, 20, 23, 25, 27, 30, 33 and 35°C) on the bionomics of H. hampei was studied. Successful egg to adult development occurred between 20–30°C. Using linear regression and a modified Logan model, the lower and upper thresholds for development were estimated at 14.9 and 32°C, respectively. In Kenya and Colombia, the number of pest generations per year was considerably and positively correlated with the warming tolerance. Analysing 32 years of climatic data from Jimma (Ethiopia) revealed that before 1984 it was too cold for H. hampei to complete even one generation per year, but thereafter, because of rising temperatures in the area, 1–2 generations per year/coffee season could be completed. Calculated data on warming tolerance and thermal safety margins of H. hampei for the three East African locations showed considerably high variability compared to the Colombian site. The model indicates that for every 1°C rise in thermal optimum (Topt.), the maximum intrinsic rate of increase (rmax) will increase by an average of 8.5%. The effects of climate change on the further range of H. hampei distribution and possible adaption strategies are discussed. Abstracts in Spanish and French are provided as supplementary material Abstract S1 and Abstract S2

Formation à la statistique. FPSTAT2. Analyse multidimensionnelle des données

* INRA Département de biométrie, Domaine de Vilvert, 78350 Jouy en Josas cedex Diffusion du document : INRA Département de biométrie, Domaine de Vilvert, 78350 Jouy en Josas cedexNational audienc

Variação sazonal do potencial da água nas folhas de cafeeiro em Mococa, SP Seasonal changes in coffee leaf water potential in Mococa, São Paulo State, Brazil

Para avaliar o potencial da água nas plantas de Coffea arabica L., foi desenvolvido um experimento em Mococa (SP), de agosto de 2005 a julho de 2006, com as cultivares Mundo Novo (MN), Obatã (OB) e Ouro-Verde (OV). As cultivares OB e OV tinham oito anos de idade, e as plantas do MN haviam sido recepadas há cinco anos. Os espaçamentos entre as plantas de MN, OB e OV foram de 3,6 x 1,0 m; 2,5 x 1,0 m e 3,5 x 0,74 m respectivamente. As avaliações dos potenciais da água das plantas na antemanhã (&#968;am) foram realizadas a cada duas semanas. O potencial da água na folha durante o período diurno (&#968;a) foi medido no final de abril. Os dados de &#968;am na folha variaram em função da quantidade de água no solo, com as oscilações decorrentes da precipitação pluvial sazonal. Os valores de &#968;am foram de -1,29; -1,60 e -1,68 MPa nos meses de estiagem e -0,06; -0,07 e -0,07 MPa nos meses de maiores precipitações para MN, OB e OV respectivamente. Esses valores são importantes para caracterizar o estado hídrico das folhas do cafeeiro ao longo do ano agrícola, visto que o período de estresse hídrico coincidiu com a fase de indução (fevereiro a junho) e maturação das gemas florais, bem como o período de maiores volumes de precipitação pluvial com a granação e maturação dos frutos.<br>In order to assess the xylem water potential in Coffea arabica L. plants, a field experiment was carried out in Mococa, São Paulo State, Brazil, from August 2005 to July 2006 with the following cultivars: Mundo Novo (MN), Obatã (OB) and Ouro-Verde (OV). The OB and OV cultivars were eight years old, and MN plants had been topped five years ago. Spacing among the plants were 3.6 x 1.0 m, 2.5 x 1.0 m and 3.5 x 0.75 m, respectively. Predawn leaf water potential (&#968;am) was measured each 15 days. Xylem water potential along the day (&#968;a) was measured at the end of April. Data concerning leaf &#968;am varied according to the soil water profile as affect by seasonal rainfall. &#968;am values were -1.29, -1.60 and -1.68 MPa during dry months and -0.06, -0.07 and -0.07 MPa during months of greater precipitations for MN, OB and OV, respectively. These values were important and relevant to Arabic coffee cultivars in order to characterize plant water status along the year, because the period of water stress was coincident with the phase of induction (February at June) and maturation of flowering buds; and the period of greater rainfall with the phase of grain filling and fruit maturation

Crescimento vegetativo sazonal do cafeeiro e sua relação com fotoperíodo, frutificação, resistência estomática e fotossíntese Seasonal vegetative growth of the coffee plant and its relationship with the photoperiod, fructification, stomatic resistance and photosynthesis

O objetivo deste trabalho foi avaliar as flutuações sazonais do crescimento vegetativo do cafeeiro (Coffea arabica L.) e suas relações com o fotoperíodo, a remoção dos frutos, a fotossíntese e a resistência estomática. Os tratamentos foram constituídos por dois regimes fotoperiódicos - natural e estendido para 14 horas - em plantas com frutos e sem frutos. O crescimento de ramos e da área foliar decresceu a partir de meados de março, atingindo taxas mínimas nos meses de maio e junho, quando foram registradas as menores temperaturas. Esse modelo de crescimento não foi modificado pela extensão do fotoperíodo para 14 horas, nem pela remoção dos frutos, ainda que os cafeeiros sem frutos exibissem maiores taxas de crescimento dessas variáveis (ramo e área foliar). Não foi observada diferença significativa na fotossíntese potencial decorrente da presença de frutos, nem a extensão do fotoperíodo afetou taxas fotossintéticas. As taxas fotossintéticas potenciais não explicam os declínios do crescimento vegetativo, mas a temperatura mínima do ar correlacionou-se com as quedas do crescimento. A resistência estomática às 14h apresentou valores relativamente elevados, de meados de março a início de maio, coincidindo com elevadas quedas no crescimento de ramos e da área foliar. O declínio inicial no crescimento vegetativo pode estar associado a temperaturas em torno de 14ºC.<br>The objective of this work was to evaluate seasonal variations in vegetative growth in the coffee plant (Coffea arabica L.), as well as their relationships with photoperiod, fruits removal, photosynthesis and stomatic resistance. The growth of the branches and leaf area decreased from the middle of March on, reaching the lowest rates in May and June, when lowest air temperatures were registered. This growth model was not modified neither by extending the photoperiod up to 14 hours, nor by the removal of the fruits, even though fruitless coffee plants exhibited higher growth rates for branches and leaf areas. No significant difference was observed in the potential photosynthesis depending on the presence of fruits, and the extension of the photoperiod did not affect photosynthetic rates. Potential photosynthetic rates do not explain the decreases in growth. The minimum air temperature was associated to declines in the growth. At 14h, the stomatic resistance assumed relatively high values during the period from the middle of March to the beginning of May, so coinciding with drastic fall in the branch growth and leaf area gain. The initial decline in the vegetative growth can be associated to temperatures around 14ºC