Spreading in Social Systems: Reflections

In this final chapter, we consider the state-of-the-art for spreading in social systems and discuss the future of the field. As part of this reflection, we identify a set of key challenges ahead. The challenges include the following questions: how can we improve the quality, quantity, extent, and accessibility of datasets? How can we extract more information from limited datasets? How can we take individual cognition and decision making processes into account? How can we incorporate other complexity of the real contagion processes? Finally, how can we translate research into positive real-world impact? In the following, we provide more context for each of these open questions.Comment: 7 pages, chapter to appear in "Spreading Dynamics in Social Systems"; Eds. Sune Lehmann and Yong-Yeol Ahn, Springer Natur

Efficacy of Vancomycin, Teicoplanin and Fusidic Acid as Prophylactic Agents in Prevention of Vascular Graft Infection: An Experimental Study in Rat

AbstractObjectivesTo compare the efficacy of a single prophylactic dose of intra-peritoneal vancomycin and teicoplanin with anti-biotic treated Dacron grafts (vancomycin, teicoplanin, 10 or 40% fusidic acid-soaked grafts) in preventing vascular graft infections in a rat model.DesignProspective, randomized, controlled animal study.Materials and methodsThe graft infections were established in the subcutaneous tissues of 80 female Sprague–Dawley rats by the implantation of Dacron prostheses followed by the topical inoculation with methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus. The study groups were as follows: (1) uncontaminated control group, (2) untreated contaminated group, (3) contaminated group with intra-peritoneal vancomycin, (4) contaminated group with intra-peritoneal teicoplanin, (5) contaminated group received vancomycin-soaked Dacron graft, (6) contaminated group received teicoplanin-soaked Dacron graft, (7) contaminated group received 40% fusidic acid-soaked Dacron graft, and (8) contaminated group received 10% fusidic acid-soaked Dacron graft prophylaxis. The grafts were removed after 7 days and evaluated by a quantitative culture analysis.ResultsNo infection was detected in controls. The untreated contaminated group had a high bacteria count (6.0×104CFU/cm2 Dacron graft). Groups that received intra-peritoneal vancomycin or teicoplanin had less bacterial growth (4.8×103 and 3.9×103CFU/cm2 Dacron graft, respectively). Similarly, the group that received 10% fusidic acid-soaked graft showed less bacterial growth (3.6×103CFU/cm2 Dacron graft). The groups with vancomycin-, teicoplanin- and 40% fusidic acid-soaked grafts showed no evidence of infection. Statistical analyses demonstrated that intra-peritoneal prophylactic antibiotic treatment was less effective in inhibiting bacterial growth than high concentration antimicrobial-soaking of grafts.ConclusionThe use of vancomycin-, teicoplanin- and 40% fusidic acid-soaked grafts was effective in preventing primary prosthetic vascular graft infection

XPS and water contact angle measurements on aged and corona-treated PP

Effects of corona treatment and aging on commercially produced corona discharged polypropylene (PP) films were followed via surface sensitive roughness analysis by atomic force microscopy (AFM), water contact angle (WCA), and X-ray photoelectron spectroscopic (XPS) measurements. Roughness analysis by AFM gave similar results for both untreated and corona-treated samples. The measured water contact angle decreased after corona treatment but increased with aging. XPS findings revealed that corona treatment caused an increase in the O-containing species on the surface of the films, but the measured O/C atomic ratio decreased with aging. The angle dependence of the observed XPS O/C atomic ratio further revealed that surface modifications by the corona treatment were buried into the polymer away from the surface as a function of aging. This is attributed to a surface rearrangement of the macromolecules in agreement with the findings of Garbassi et al. on oxygen-plasma-treated polypropylene

Fashion, Cooperation, and Social Interactions

Fashion plays such a crucial rule in the evolution of culture and society that it is regarded as a second nature to the human being. Also, its impact on economy is quite nontrivial. On what is fashionable, interestingly, there are two viewpoints that are both extremely widespread but almost opposite: conformists think that what is popular is fashionable, while rebels believe that being different is the essence. Fashion color is fashionable in the first sense, and Lady Gaga in the second. We investigate a model where the population consists of the afore-mentioned two groups of people that are located on social networks (a spatial cellular automata network and small-world networks). This model captures two fundamental kinds of social interactions (coordination and anti-coordination) simultaneously, and also has its own interest to game theory: it is a hybrid model of pure competition and pure cooperation. This is true because when a conformist meets a rebel, they play the zero sum matching pennies game, which is pure competition. When two conformists (rebels) meet, they play the (anti-) coordination game, which is pure cooperation. Simulation shows that simple social interactions greatly promote cooperation: in most cases people can reach an extraordinarily high level of cooperation, through a selfish, myopic, naive, and local interacting dynamic (the best response dynamic). We find that degree of synchronization also plays a critical role, but mostly on the negative side. Four indices, namely cooperation degree, average satisfaction degree, equilibrium ratio and complete ratio, are defined and applied to measure people's cooperation levels from various angles. Phase transition, as well as emergence of many interesting geographic patterns in the cellular automata network, is also observed.Comment: 21 pages, 12 figure

Cost-effectiveness of sorafenib for treatment of radioactive iodine (rai)-refractory locally advanced/metastatic differentiated thyroid cancer (dtc) in Turkey

WOS: 000354498503198OBJECTIVES: Sorafenib is the first product approved for treatment of RAI refractory locally advanced/metastatic DTC patients. This study was conducted in order to analyze cost-effectiveness of sorafenib for treatment of patients with RAI refractory locally advanced/metastatic DTC in Turkey. METHODS: A cohort partition model assigning patients to one of three health states according to the proportion of patients who are progression-free, progressed, or dead in each 28-days cycle was adapted to Turkish setting. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) were calculated per quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and life-years (LYs) gained. Turkish payer’s perspective was taken and time-horizon was set as patient’s lifetime (maximum 30 years). Sorafenib was compared to the best supportive care (BSC) within the model since there are no agents for treatment of patients on this stage of the disease. Essential clinical inputs were derived from DECISION trial and local resource-utilization data were based on expert opinions through an expert panel. Sensitivity of the results was evaluated in terms of key inputs by deterministic oneway and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. All costs were calculated in Turkish Liras (TL) and converted to USD using TL/USD currency rate as 2.2 (mid-2014). RESULTS: Total cost of sorafenib-treated patients is 24,384 USD higher compared to BSC. Besides, sorafenib is associated with increments of 1.29 LYs and 0.80 QALYs compared to BSC. The ICER of sorafenib per LYs and QALYs gained compared to BSC were determined as 18,851 USD and 30,485 USD respectively. One-way sensitivity analysis demonstrated that results are not sensitive to the changes in model inputs and pharmacoeconomic analysis results were validated by probabilistic sensitivity analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Sorafenib is cost-effective for treatment of patients with RAI refractory locally advanced/metastatic DTC compared to BSC with an ICER value below the willingness-to-pay threshold (3-times GDP per capita ─ 32,346 USD) for Turkey

Dynamics in online social networks

An increasing number of today's social interactions occurs using online social media as communication channels. Some online social networks have become extremely popular in the last decade. They differ among themselves in the character of the service they provide to online users. For instance, Facebook can be seen mainly as a platform for keeping in touch with close friends and relatives, Twitter is used to propagate and receive news, LinkedIn facilitates the maintenance of professional contacts, Flickr gathers amateurs and professionals of photography, etc. Albeit different, all these online platforms share an ingredient that pervades all their applications. There exists an underlying social network that allows their users to keep in touch with each other and helps to engage them in common activities or interactions leading to a better fulfillment of the service's purposes. This is the reason why these platforms share a good number of functionalities, e.g., personal communication channels, broadcasted status updates, easy one-step information sharing, news feeds exposing broadcasted content, etc. As a result, online social networks are an interesting field to study an online social behavior that seems to be generic among the different online services. Since at the bottom of these services lays a network of declared relations and the basic interactions in these platforms tend to be pairwise, a natural methodology for studying these systems is provided by network science. In this chapter we describe some of the results of research studies on the structure, dynamics and social activity in online social networks. We present them in the interdisciplinary context of network science, sociological studies and computer science.Comment: 17 pages, 4 figures, book chapte