Cramer-Rao bounds in the estimation of time of arrival in fading channels

This paper computes the Cramer-Rao bounds for the time of arrival estimation in a multipath Rice and Rayleigh fading scenario, conditioned to the previous estimation of a set of propagation channels, since these channel estimates (correlation between received signal and the pilot sequence) are sufficient statistics in the estimation of delays. Furthermore, channel estimation is a constitutive block in receivers, so we can take advantage of this information to improve timing estimation by using time and space diversity. The received signal is modeled as coming from a scattering environment that disperses the signal both in space and time. Spatial scattering is modeled with a Gaussian distribution and temporal dispersion as an exponential random variable. The impact of the sampling rate, the roll-off factor, the spatial and temporal correlation among channel estimates, the number of channel estimates, and the use of multiple sensors in the antenna at the receiver is studied and related to the mobile subscriber positioning issue. To our knowledge, this model is the only one of its kind as a result of the relationship between the space-time diversity and the accuracy of the timing estimation.Peer ReviewedPostprint (published version

Determining the number of breaks in a piecewise linear regression model

In this paper we propose a sequential method for determining the number of breaks in piecewise linear structural break models. An advantage of the method is that it is based on standard statistical inference. Tests available for testing linearity against switching regression type nonlinearity are applied sequentially to determine the number of regimes in the structural break model. A simulation study is performed in order to investigate the finite-sample behaviour of the procedure and to compare it with other alternatives. We find that our method works well in comparison for both single and multiple break cases.Model specification; multiple structural breaks.

Parameter Estimation from Time-Series Data with Correlated Errors: A Wavelet-Based Method and its Application to Transit Light Curves

We consider the problem of fitting a parametric model to time-series data that are afflicted by correlated noise. The noise is represented by a sum of two stationary Gaussian processes: one that is uncorrelated in time, and another that has a power spectral density varying as $1/f^\gamma$. We present an accurate and fast [O(N)] algorithm for parameter estimation based on computing the likelihood in a wavelet basis. The method is illustrated and tested using simulated time-series photometry of exoplanetary transits, with particular attention to estimating the midtransit time. We compare our method to two other methods that have been used in the literature, the time-averaging method and the residual-permutation method. For noise processes that obey our assumptions, the algorithm presented here gives more accurate results for midtransit times and truer estimates of their uncertainties.Comment: Accepted in ApJ. Illustrative code may be found at http://www.mit.edu/~carterja/code/ . 17 page

Random Access in Massive MIMO by Exploiting Timing Offsets and Excess Antennas

Massive MIMO systems, where base stations are equipped with hundreds of antennas, are an attractive way to handle the rapid growth of data traffic. As the number of user equipments (UEs) increases, the initial access and handover in contemporary networks will be flooded by user collisions. In this paper, a random access protocol is proposed that resolves collisions and performs timing estimation by simply utilizing the large number of antennas envisioned in Massive MIMO networks. UEs entering the network perform spreading in both time and frequency domains, and their timing offsets are estimated at the base station in closed-form using a subspace decomposition approach. This information is used to compute channel estimates that are subsequently employed by the base station to communicate with the detected UEs. The favorable propagation conditions of Massive MIMO suppress interference among UEs whereas the inherent timing misalignments improve the detection capabilities of the protocol. Numerical results are used to validate the performance of the proposed procedure in cellular networks under uncorrelated and correlated fading channels. With $2.5\times10^3$ UEs that may simultaneously become active with probability 1\% and a total of $16$ frequency-time codes (in a given random access block), it turns out that, with $100$ antennas, the proposed procedure successfully detects a given UE with probability 75\% while providing reliable timing estimates.Comment: 30 pages, 6 figures, 1 table, submitted to Transactions on Communication

A kepstrum approach to filtering, smoothing and prediction

The kepstrum (or complex cepstrum) method is revisited and applied to the problem of spectral factorization where the spectrum is directly estimated from observations. The solution to this problem in turn leads to a new approach to optimal filtering, smoothing and prediction using the Wiener theory. Unlike previous approaches to adaptive and self-tuning filtering, the technique, when implemented, does not require a priori information on the type or order of the signal generating model. And unlike other approaches - with the exception of spectral subtraction - no state-space or polynomial model is necessary. In this first paper results are restricted to stationary signal and additive white noise