AIRSPACE PLANNING FOR OPTIMAL CAPACITY, EFFICIENCY, AND SAFETY USING ANALYTICS

Air Navigation Service Providers (ANSP) worldwide have been making a considerable effort for the development of a better method for planning optimal airspace capacity, efficiency, and safety. These goals require separation and sequencing of aircraft before they depart. Prior approaches have tactically achieved these goals to some extent. However, dealing with increasingly congested airspace and new environmental factors with high levels of uncertainty still remains the challenge when deterministic approach is used. Hence due to the nature of uncertainties, we take a stochastic approach and propose a suite of analytics models for (1) Flight Time Prediction, (2) Aircraft Trajectory Clustering, (3) Aircraft Trajectory Prediction, and (4) Aircraft Conflict Detection and Resolution long before aircraft depart. The suite of data-driven models runs on a scalable Data Management System that continuously processes streaming massive flight data to achieve the strategic airspace planning for optimal capacity, efficiency, and safety. (1) Flight Time Prediction. Unlike other systems that collect and use features only for the arrival airport to build a data-driven model for predicting flight times, we use a richer set of features along the potential route, such as weather parameters and air traffic data in addition to those that are particular to the arrival airport. Our feature engineering process generates an extensive set of multidimensional time series data which goes through Time Series Clustering with Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) to generate a single set of representative features at each time instance. The features are fed into various regression and deep learning models and the best performing models with most accurate ETA predictions are selected. Evaluations on extensive set of real trajectory, weather, and airport data in Europe verify our prediction system generates more accurate ETAs with far less variance than those of European ANSP, EUROCONTROL’s. This translates to more accurately predicted flight arrival times, enabling airlines to make more cost-effective ground resource allocation and ANSPs to make more efficient flight scheduling. (2) Aircraft Trajectory Clustering. The novel divide-cluster-merge; DICLERGE system clusters aircraft trajectories by dividing them into the three standard major flight phases: climb, en-route, and descent. Trajectory segments in each phase are clustered in isolation, then merged together. Our unique approach also discovers a representative trajectory, the model for the entire trajectory set. (3) Aircraft Trajectory Prediction. Our approach considers airspace as a 3D grid network, where each grid point is a location of a weather observation. We hypothetically build cubes around these grid points, so the entire airspace can be considered as a set of cubes. Each cube is defined by its centroid, the original grid point, and associated weather parameters that remain homogeneous within the cube during a period of time. Then, we align raw trajectories to a set of cube centroids which are basically fixed 3D positions independent of trajectory data. This creates a new form of trajectories which are 4D joint cubes, where each cube is a segment that is associated with not only spatio-temporal attributes but also with weather parameters. Next, we exploit machine learning techniques to train inference models from historical data and apply a stochastic model, a Hidden Markov Model (HMM), to predict trajectories taking environmental uncertainties into account. During the process, we apply time series clustering to generate input observations from an excessive set of weather parameters to feed into the Viterbi algorithm. The experiments use a real trajectory dataset with pertaining weather observations and demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach to the trajectory prediction process for Air Traffic Management. (4) Aircraft Conflict Detection. We propose a novel data-driven system to address a long-range aircraft conflict detection and resolution (CDR) problem. Given a set of predicted trajectories, the system declares a conflict when a protected zone of an aircraft on its trajectory is infringed upon by another aircraft. The system resolves the conflict by prescribing an alternative solution that is optimized by perturbing at least one of the trajectories involved in the conflict. To achieve this, the system learns from descriptive patterns of historical trajectories and pertinent weather observations and builds a Hidden Markov Model (HMM). Using a variant of the Viterbi algorithm, the system avoids the airspace volume in which the conflict is detected and generates a new optimal trajectory that is conflict-free. The key concept upon which the system is built is the assumption that the airspace is nothing more than a horizontally and vertically concatenated set of spatio-temporal data cubes where each cube is considered as an atomic unit. We evaluate the system using real trajectory datasets with pertinent weather observations from two continents and demonstrate its effectiveness for strategic CDR. Overall, in this thesis, we develop a suite of analytics models and algorithms to accurately identify current patterns in the massive flight data and use these patterns to predict future behaviors in the airspace. Upon prediction of a non-ideal outcome, we prescribe a solution to plan airspace for optimal capacity, efficiency, and safety

Marshall Space Flight Center Research and Technology Report 2019

Today, our calling to explore is greater than ever before, and here at Marshall Space Flight Centerwe make human deep space exploration possible. A key goal for Artemis is demonstrating and perfecting capabilities on the Moon for technologies needed for humans to get to Mars. This years report features 10 of the Agencys 16 Technology Areas, and I am proud of Marshalls role in creating solutions for so many of these daunting technical challenges. Many of these projects will lead to sustainable in-space architecture for human space exploration that will allow us to travel to the Moon, on to Mars, and beyond. Others are developing new scientific instruments capable of providing an unprecedented glimpse into our universe. NASA has led the charge in space exploration for more than six decades, and through the Artemis program we will help build on our work in low Earth orbit and pave the way to the Moon and Mars. At Marshall, we leverage the skills and interest of the international community to conduct scientific research, develop and demonstrate technology, and train international crews to operate further from Earth for longer periods of time than ever before first at the lunar surface, then on to our next giant leap, human exploration of Mars. While each project in this report seeks to advance new technology and challenge conventions, it is important to recognize the diversity of activities and people supporting our mission. This report not only showcases the Centers capabilities and our partnerships, it also highlights the progress our people have achieved in the past year. These scientists, researchers and innovators are why Marshall and NASA will continue to be a leader in innovation, exploration, and discovery for years to come

Aeronautical engineering: A continuing bibliography with indexes (supplement 322)

This bibliography lists 719 reports, articles, and other documents introduced into the NASA scientific and technical information system in Oct. 1995. Subject coverage includes: design, construction and testing of aircraft and aircraft engines; aircraft components, equipment, and systems; ground support systems; and theoretical and applied aspects of aerodynamics and general fluid dynamics

Systems Engineering

The book "Systems Engineering: Practice and Theory" is a collection of articles written by developers and researches from all around the globe. Mostly they present methodologies for separate Systems Engineering processes; others consider issues of adjacent knowledge areas and sub-areas that significantly contribute to systems development, operation, and maintenance. Case studies include aircraft, spacecrafts, and space systems development, post-analysis of data collected during operation of large systems etc. Important issues related to "bottlenecks" of Systems Engineering, such as complexity, reliability, and safety of different kinds of systems, creation, operation and maintenance of services, system-human communication, and management tasks done during system projects are addressed in the collection. This book is for people who are interested in the modern state of the Systems Engineering knowledge area and for systems engineers involved in different activities of the area. Some articles may be a valuable source for university lecturers and students; most of case studies can be directly used in Systems Engineering courses as illustrative materials

Aerospace medicine and biology: A continuing bibliography with indexes (supplement 375)

This bibliography lists 212 reports, articles, and other documents recently introduced into the NASA Scientific and Technical Information System database. Subject coverage includes the following: aerospace medicine and physiology, life support systems and man/system technology, protective clothing, exobiology and extraterrestrial life, planetary biology, and flight crew behavior and performance

Explainable and Resource-Efficient Stream Processing Through Provenance and Scheduling

In our era of big data, information is captured at unprecedented volumes and velocities, with technologies such as Cyber-Physical Systems making quick decisions based on the processing of streaming, unbounded datasets. In such scenarios, it can be beneficial to process the data in an online manner, using the stream processing paradigm implemented by Stream Processing Engines (SPEs). While SPEs enable high-throughput, low-latency analysis, they are faced with challenges connected to evolving deployment scenarios, like the increasing use of heterogeneous, resource-constrained edge devices together with cloud resources and the increasing user expectations for usability, control, and resource-efficiency, on par with features provided by traditional databases.This thesis tackles open challenges regarding making stream processing more user-friendly, customizable, and resource-efficient. The first part outlines our work, providing high-level background information, descriptions of the research problems, and our contributions. The second part presents our three state-of-the-art frameworks for explainable data streaming using data provenance, which can help users of streaming queries to identify important data points, explain unexpected behaviors, and aid query understanding and debugging. (A) GeneaLog provides backward provenance allowing users to identify the inputs that contributed to the generation of each output of a streaming query. (B) Ananke is the first framework to provide a duplicate-free graph of live forward provenance, enabling easy bidirectional tracing of input-output relationships in streaming queries and identifying data points that have finished contributing to results. (C) Erebus is the first framework that allows users to define expectations about the results of a streaming query, validating whether these expectations are met or providing explanations in the form of why-not provenance otherwise. The third part presents techniques for execution efficiency through custom scheduling, introducing our state-of-the-art scheduling frameworks that control resource allocation and achieve user-defined performance goals. (D) Haren is an SPE-agnostic user-level scheduler that can efficiently enforce user-defined scheduling policies. (E) Lachesis is a standalone scheduling middleware that requires no changes to SPEs but, instead, directly guides the scheduling decisions of the underlying Operating System. Our extensive evaluations using real-world SPEs and workloads show that our work significantly improves over the state-of-the-art while introducing only small performance overheads

Aerospace medicine and biology: A continuing bibliography with indexes (supplement 368)

This bibliography lists 305 reports, articles, and other documents introduced into the NASA Scientific and Technical Information System during Sep. 1992. The subject coverage concentrates on the biological, physiological, psychological, and environmental effects to which humans are subjected during and following simulated or actual flight in the Earth's atmosphere or in interplanetary space. References describing similar effects on biological organisms of lower order are also included. Such related topics as sanitary problems, pharmacology, toxicology, safety and survival, life support systems, exobiology, and personnel factors receive appropriate attention. Applied research receives the most emphasis, but references to fundamental studies and theoretical principles related to experimental development also qualify for inclusion