Perturbation Expansion for Option Pricing with Stochastic Volatility

We fit the volatility fluctuations of the S&P 500 index well by a Chi distribution, and the distribution of log-returns by a corresponding superposition of Gaussian distributions. The Fourier transform of this is, remarkably, of the Tsallis type. An option pricing formula is derived from the same superposition of Black-Scholes expressions. An explicit analytic formula is deduced from a perturbation expansion around a Black-Scholes formula with the mean volatility. The expansion has two parts. The first takes into account the non-Gaussian character of the stock-fluctuations and is organized by powers of the excess kurtosis, the second is contract based, and is organized by the moments of moneyness of the option. With this expansion we show that for the Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 50 option data, a Delta-hedging strategy is close to being optimal.Comment: 33 pages, 13 figures, LaTeX

On the probability density function of baskets

The state price density of a basket, even under uncorrelated Black-Scholes dynamics, does not allow for a closed from density. (This may be rephrased as statement on the sum of lognormals and is especially annoying for such are used most frequently in Financial and Actuarial Mathematics.) In this note we discuss short time and small volatility expansions, respectively. The method works for general multi-factor models with correlations and leads to the analysis of a system of ordinary (Hamiltonian) differential equations. Surprisingly perhaps, even in two asset Black-Scholes situation (with its flat geometry), the expansion can degenerate at a critical (basket) strike level; a phenomena which seems to have gone unnoticed in the literature to date. Explicit computations relate this to a phase transition from a unique to more than one "most-likely" paths (along which the diffusion, if suitably conditioned, concentrates in the afore-mentioned regimes). This also provides a (quantifiable) understanding of how precisely a presently out-of-money basket option may still end up in-the-money.Comment: Appeared in: Large Deviations and Asymptotic Methods in Finance, Springer proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics, Editors: Friz, P.K., Gatheral, J., Gulisashvili, A., Jacquier, A., Teichmann, J., 2015, with minor typos remove

Approximate solution to a hybrid model with stochastic volatility: a singular-perturbation strategy

We study a hybrid model of Schobel-Zhu-Hull-White-type from a singular-perturbation-analysis perspective. The merit of the paper is twofold: On one hand, we find boundary conditions for the deterministic non-linear degenerate parabolic partial differential equation for the evolution of the stock price. On the other hand, we combine two-scales regular- and singular-perturbation techniques to find an approximate solution to the pricing PDE. The aim is to produce an expression that can be evaluated numerically very fast

On a free boundary problem for an American put option under the CEV process

We consider an American put option under the CEV process. This corresponds to a free boundary problem for a PDE. We show that this free bondary satisfies a nonlinear integral equation, and analyze it in the limit of small $\rho$ = $2r/ \sigma^2$, where $r$ is the interest rate and $\sigma$ is the volatility. We use perturbation methods to find that the free boundary behaves differently for five ranges of time to expiry.Comment: 14 pages, 0 figure

"Effects of Stochastic Interest Rates and Volatility on Contingent Claims (Revised Version)"

We investigate the effects of the stochastic interest rates and the volatility f the underlying asset price on the contingent claim prices including futures and options prices. The futures price can be decomposed into the forward price and the additional terms and the options price can be decomposed into the Black-Scholes formula and several additional terms via the asymptotic expansion approach in the small disturbance asymptotics developed by Kunitomo and Takahashi(1995,1998,2001), which is based on Malliavin-Watanabe Calculus in stochastic analysis. We illustrate our new formulae and their numerical accuracy by using some modi ed CIR type processes for the short term interest rates and stochastic volatility.

The Exact Value for European Options on a Stock Paying a Discrete Dividend

In the context of a Black-Scholes economy and with a no-arbitrage argument, we derive arbitrarily accurate lower and upper bounds for the value of European options on a stock paying a discrete dividend. Setting the option price error below the smallest monetary unity, both bounds coincide, and we obtain the exact value of the option.Comment: 14 pages,3 figure