Essentials for sustainable urban transport in Brazil's large metropolitan areas

Before financing major urban transport projects, decisionmakers should attempt to put in place the basic elements for long-term sustainability of the sector. Specifically, the author contends that each large metropolitan area in Brazil should incorporate into its urban transport strategy, and pursue vigorously, the following four-point agenda: 1) create a regional transport coordination commission in charge of coordinating policies among federal, state, and municipal governments, giving highest priority to major urban transport investments in the metropolitan region and promoting modal integration - all to the end of improving the sector's economic efficiency and long-term sustainability; 2) adopt an integrated land use, urban transport, and air quality strategy that provides a framework in which the community and decisionmakers can evaluate future urban transport investments and policies; 3) enact into law formal financing mechanisms that would ensure that long-run variable costs of urban transport systems are covered by operating and non-operating revenues from the systems and by appropriate user charges; and 4) promote private sector participation in the operation, maintenance, and construction of urban transport systems - through concessions or management contracts - as a way to lessen the financial burden on the government.Roads&Highways,Public Sector Economics&Finance,Banks&Banking Reform,Municipal Financial Management,Environmental Economics&Policies,Urban Transport,Banks&Banking Reform,Roads&Highways,Municipal Financial Management,Environmental Economics&Policies

LIFE3: A predictive costing tool for digital collections

Predicting the costs of long-term digital preservation is a crucial yet complex task for even the largest repositories and institutions. For smaller projects and individual researchers faced with preservation requirements, the problem is even more overwhelming, as they lack the accumulated experience of the former. Yet being able to estimate future preservation costs is vital to answering a range of important questions for each. The LIFE (Life Cycle Information for E-Literature) project, which has just completed its third phase, helps institutions and researchers address these concerns, reducing the financial and preservation risks, and allowing decision makers to assess a range of options in order to achieve effective preservation while operating within financial restraints. The project is a collaboration between University College London (UCL), The British Library and the Humanities Advanced Technology and Information Institute (HATII) at the University of Glasgow. Funding has been supplied in the UK by the Joint Information Systems Committee (JISC) and the Research Information Network (RIN)

Analyzing Streamflow Forecasts in the Context of System Performance: A Case Study of the City of Baltimore Water Supply

A major challenge confronting water suppliers is how to best incorporate emerging forecasting technologies into their drought management operations. The need for drought plans that make use of proactive drought mitigation actions is particularly pressing as climate change is expected to cause more frequent and severe droughts in the near future. This research evaluates streamflow forecast skill in the context of drought planning. The City of Baltimore’s water supply system serves as a case study. Forecasts generated by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the National Weather Service’s Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center (MARFC) are integrated into a systems model to assess the value of streamflow forecasts on operational performance during drought. This research measures forecast benefits by comparing the NOAA/MARFC generated forecasts to two alternatives: simple statistical forecasts and perfect forecasts. The systems model incorporates operating alternatives that explore the timing and rate of pumping from the Susquehanna River (an alternative water supply) and a variety of water-use restrictions. Operating policy scenarios are evaluated to identify a robust operating rule that balances three key metrics: 1) Storage Levels, 2) Economic Loss (economic impacts of droughts on the city), and 3) the Frequency of Drought Declaration Error. Using the NOAA generated forecasts carefully coupled with an operating policy that balances the three key metrics was shown to improve overall system performance. This multiobjective study demonstrates the value of near-term forecasts, and potential future long-term forecasts, in improving system performance and minimizing operational costs

Fundamentals and future applications of electrochemical energy conversion in space

Long-term space missions require power sources and energy storage possibilities, capable at storing and releasing energy efficiently and continuously or upon demand at a wide operating temperature range, an ultra-high vacuum environment and a significantly reduced buoyant force. Electrochemical energy conversion systems play already a major role e.g., during launch and on the International Space Station, and it is evident from these applications that future human space missions - particularly to Moon and Mars - will not be possible without them. Here, we will provide an overview of currently existing electrochemical conversion technologies for space applications such as battery systems and fuel cells and outline their role in materials design and fabrication as well as fuel production. The focus lies on the current operation of these energy conversion systems in space as well as the challenges posed on them by this special environment. Future experiment designs which could help elucidating and optimizing their key operating parameters for an efficient and long-term operation are discussed

Production costs for synthetic methane in 2030 and 2050 of an optimized Power-to-Gas plant with intermediate hydrogen storage

The publication gives an overview of the production costs of synthetic methane in a Power-to-Gas process. The production costs depend in particularly on the electricity price and the full load hours of the plant sub-systems electrolysis and methanation. The full-load hours of electrolysis are given by the electricity supply concept. In order to increase the full-load hours of methanation, the size of the intermediate hydrogen storage tank and the size of the methanation are optimised on the basis of the availability of hydrogen. The calculation of the production costs for synthetic methane are done with economics for 2030 and 2050 and the expenditures are calculated for one year of operation. The sources of volume of purchased electricity are the short-term market, long-term contracts, direct-coupled renewable energy sources or seasonal use of surpluses. Gas sales are either traded on the short-term market or guaranteed by long-term contracts. The calculations show, that an intermediate storage tank for hydrogen, adjustment of the methanation size and operating electrolysis and methanation separately, increase the workload of the sub-system methanation. The gas production costs can be significantly reduced. With the future expected development of capital expenditures, operational expenditure, electricity prices, gas costs and efficiencies, an economic production of synthetic natural gas for the years 2030, especially for 2050, is feasible. The results show that Power-to-Gas is an option for long-term, large-scale seasonal storage of renewable energy. Especially the cases with high operating hours for the sub-system methanation and low electricity prices show gas production costs below the expected market prices for synthetic gas and biogas

Stochastic performance assessment on long-term behavior of multilateral closed deep geothermal systems

Increasing the contribution of geothermal systems to green energy generation requires designing new innovative systems producing a significant amount of thermal power in a sustainable manner. The focus of this study is the performance evaluation of multilateral closed deep geothermal (MCDG) systems as a novel environmentally friendly approach for energy extraction from earth. The investigations on these synthetic systems assume a probabilistic number of borehole sections with several vertical and horizontal wellbores connected through some manifolds and doglegs. To reduce possible thermal losses, the circulated fluid is extracted through only one production wellbore. The findings of this study demonstrated that the heat absorption per meter of MCDG systems is much higher than for simple closed geothermal systems (CDG). Operating with these systems will not necessarily yield better performance. It is also found that the long-term performance of MCDG systems can be predicted as a function of their short-term behavior through stochastic analysis. This correlation is interestingly independent of the number of wellbores and flow rate. By defining specific criteria, the high-performance MCDG systems can be filtered to demonstrate common features as a specific relation between flow rates per vertical and horizontal wellbores. This characterization of MCDG systems should support the design of future high-performance systems

Optimisation of phosphorus and potassium management within organic farming systems (OF0114)

This is the final report from Defra project OF0114. The scientific objectives of the project were to 1 - Assess the balance between inputs and offtakes of P and K within a range of UK organic farming systems 2 - Evaluate chemical and bioavailability indices used to assess P and K status of soils 3 - Assess the availability of a range of P and K fertilisers to grass-clover leys and tillage crops 4 – Develop a process-based simulation model and integrate with whole farm nutrient budgeting to allow P and K management decisions to be made for the whole farm. 5 - Provide guidelines for farmers on the use of phosphorus and potassium fertilisers for organic systems. Farm gate budgets for P and K were collated using farm records, measurements and standard tables of nutrient contents for a number of organic farms and rotations on organic farms. An integrated series of incubation, greenhouse and field experiments was carried out with a range of fertilising materials selected to give a range of likely availabilities for plant uptake and to give a mix of mineral and organic sources of P and K on soils representing the range of soil types under organic management. Organic farming systems can show both P and K surpluses and deficits depending on management. In mixed systems, manures represent a significant resource of both P and K, which are supplemented through imports of feed and bedding. However, manure handling also therefore gives significant opportunity for losses, particularly of K from the system. K deficits are common in organic rotations, but not necessarily at the whole farm level. These deficits are close to the level which can be sustained from the weathering of mineral reserves in many UK soils. However, more consideration needs to be taken of the potential of soils to supply K when rotations and management plans are designed. There is no reason why organic farming systems, operating within the current UKROFS standards, cannot achieve a nutrient budget in line with long-term sustainability of soil P and K. However, continued monitoring of soil P and K levels in long-term organic trials is necessary to demonstrate these conclusions. Results of the simulation modelling are further summarised in the executive summary at the start of the main report. The complex interactions between nutrient cycles in organic farming systems means that the process based simulation model of P and K turnover was necessarily very simplified and the data collected in this project was not long-term enough to allow a full evaluation of all the factors, which influence P and K offtake, particularly the impact of crop establishment and management practices influencing spatial and temporal P nd K management. However, practical guidelines were drawn up for farmers and their advisors. The project has produced 4 scientific papers and contributed to others. 10 presentations were made at scientific conferences and 5 presentations to farmers’ meetings. The project has also been responsible for simulating debate and encouraging the use of good scientific data in the development of future UK organic farming systems

Progress in the development of a S RETGEM-based detector for an early forest fire warning system

In this paper we present a prototype of a Strip Resistive Thick GEM photosensitive gaseous detector filled with Ne and ethylferrocene vapours at a total pressure of 1 atm for an early forest fire detection system. Tests show that it is one hundred times more sensitive than the best commercial ultraviolet flame detectors and therefore, it is able to reliably detect a flame of 1.5x1.5x1.5 m3 at a distance of about 1km. An additional and unique feature of this detector is its imaging capability, which in combination with other techniques, may significantly reduce false fire alarms when operating in an automatic mode. Preliminary results conducted with air filled photosensitive gaseous detectors are also presented. The approach main advantages include both the simplicity of manufacturing and affordability of construction materials such as plastics and glues specifically reducing detector production cost. The sensitivity of these air filled detectors at certain conditions may be as high as those filled with Ne and EF. Long term test results of such sealed detectors indicate a significant progress in this direction. We believe that our detectors utilized in addition to other flame and smoke sensors will exceptionally increase the sensitivity of forest fire detection systems. Our future efforts will be focused on attempts to commercialize such detectors utilizing our aforementioned findings.Comment: Presented at the International Conference on Micropattern gaseous detectors, Crete, Greece, June 200

Modeling Creep-Induced Stress Relaxation at the Leading Edge of SiC/SiC Airfoils

Anticipating the implementation of advanced SiC/SiC composites into internally cooled airfoil components within the turbine section of future aero-propulsion engines, the primary objective of this study was to develop physics-based analytical and finite-element modeling tools to predict the effects of composite creep and stress relaxation at the airfoil leading edges, which will generally experience large thermal gradients at high temperatures. A second objective was to examine how some advanced NASA-developed SiC/SiC systems coated with typical EBC materials would behave as leading edge materials in terms of long-term steady-state operating temperatures. Because of the complexities introduced by mechanical stresses inherent in internally cooled airfoils, a simple cylindrical thin-walled tube model subjected to thermal stresses only is employed for the leading edge, thereby obtaining a best-case scenario for the material behavior. In addition, the SiC/SiC composite materials are assumed to behave as isotropic materials with temperature-dependent viscoelastic creep behavior as measured in-plane on thin-walled panels. Key findings include: (1) without mechanical stresses and for typical airfoil geometries, as heat flux is increased through the leading edge, life-limiting tensile crack formation will occur first in the hoop direction on the inside wall of the leading edge; (2) thermal gradients through all current SiC/SiC systems should be kept below approx.300 F at high temperatures to avoid this cracking; (3) at temperatures near the maximum operating temperatures of advanced SiC/SiC systems, thermal stresses induced by the thermal gradients will beneficially relax with time due to creep; (4) although stress relaxation occurs, the maximum gradient should still not exceed 300oF because of residual tensile stress buildup on the airfoil outer wall during cool-down; and (5) without film cooling and mechanical stresses, the NASA-developed N26 SiC/SiC system with thru-thickness Sylramic-iBN fiber reinforcement and a typical EBC coating has the potential of offering a maximum long-term steady-state operating temperature of approx.3100 F at the surface of the EBC

Teleoperator Maneuvering System (TMS) Mission Applications and Benefits

The Teleoperator Maneuvering System (TMS) is a Shuttlelaunched, free-flying, remotely controlled, reusable orbital support vehicle capable of providing a wide range of placement, maneuvering, retrieval, and maintenance/repair user services for future satellites and for large space systems being planned for the late 80\u27s and beyond. The TMS will greatly extend the operating range and altitudes provided by the basic Space Transportation System (STS) in low Earth orbit; similar capabilities are also provided at geosynchronous altitudes when the TMS is delivered to that location with the Centaur or alternative upper stages. Basic TMS capabilities for both long duration and short term orbital missions, including Space Station support operations, will be described. The combined utilitarian, performance, and economic benefits offered to the user community by the TMS program will also be presented