Application of Machine Learning Methods for Asset Management on Power Distribution Networks

This study aims to study the different kinds of Machine Learning (ML) models and their working principles for asset management in power networks. Also, it investigates the challenges behind asset management and its maintenance activities. In this review article, Machine Learning (ML) models are analyzed to improve the lifespan of the electrical components based on the maintenance management and assessment planning policies. The articles are categorized according to their purpose: 1) classification, 2) machine learning, and 3) artificial intelligence mechanisms. Moreover, the importance of using ML models for proper decision making based on the asset management plan is illustrated in a detailed manner. In addition to this, a comparative analysis between the ML models is performed, identifying the advantages and disadvantages of these techniques. Then, the challenges and managing operations of the asset management strategies are discussed based on the technical and economic factors. The proper functioning, maintenance and controlling operations of the electric components are key challenging and demanding tasks in the power distribution systems. Typically, asset management plays an essential role in determining the quality and profitability of the elements in the power network. Based on this investigation, the most suitable and optimal machine learning technique can be identified and used for future work. Doi: 10.28991/ESJ-2022-06-04-017 Full Text: PD

Performance Analysis Of Data-Driven Algorithms In Detecting Intrusions On Smart Grid

The traditional power grid is no longer a practical solution for power delivery due to several shortcomings, including chronic blackouts, energy storage issues, high cost of assets, and high carbon emissions. Therefore, there is a serious need for better, cheaper, and cleaner power grid technology that addresses the limitations of traditional power grids. A smart grid is a holistic solution to these issues that consists of a variety of operations and energy measures. This technology can deliver energy to end-users through a two-way flow of communication. It is expected to generate reliable, efficient, and clean power by integrating multiple technologies. It promises reliability, improved functionality, and economical means of power transmission and distribution. This technology also decreases greenhouse emissions by transferring clean, affordable, and efficient energy to users. Smart grid provides several benefits, such as increasing grid resilience, self-healing, and improving system performance. Despite these benefits, this network has been the target of a number of cyber-attacks that violate the availability, integrity, confidentiality, and accountability of the network. For instance, in 2021, a cyber-attack targeted a U.S. power system that shut down the power grid, leaving approximately 100,000 people without power. Another threat on U.S. Smart Grids happened in March 2018 which targeted multiple nuclear power plants and water equipment. These instances represent the obvious reasons why a high level of security approaches is needed in Smart Grids to detect and mitigate sophisticated cyber-attacks. For this purpose, the US National Electric Sector Cybersecurity Organization and the Department of Energy have joined their efforts with other federal agencies, including the Cybersecurity for Energy Delivery Systems and the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, to investigate the security risks of smart grid networks. Their investigation shows that smart grid requires reliable solutions to defend and prevent cyber-attacks and vulnerability issues. This investigation also shows that with the emerging technologies, including 5G and 6G, smart grid may become more vulnerable to multistage cyber-attacks. A number of studies have been done to identify, detect, and investigate the vulnerabilities of smart grid networks. However, the existing techniques have fundamental limitations, such as low detection rates, high rates of false positives, high rates of misdetection, data poisoning, data quality and processing, lack of scalability, and issues regarding handling huge volumes of data. Therefore, these techniques cannot ensure safe, efficient, and dependable communication for smart grid networks. Therefore, the goal of this dissertation is to investigate the efficiency of machine learning in detecting cyber-attacks on smart grids. The proposed methods are based on supervised, unsupervised machine and deep learning, reinforcement learning, and online learning models. These models have to be trained, tested, and validated, using a reliable dataset. In this dissertation, CICDDoS 2019 was used to train, test, and validate the efficiency of the proposed models. The results show that, for supervised machine learning models, the ensemble models outperform other traditional models. Among the deep learning models, densely neural network family provides satisfactory results for detecting and classifying intrusions on smart grid. Among unsupervised models, variational auto-encoder, provides the highest performance compared to the other unsupervised models. In reinforcement learning, the proposed Capsule Q-learning provides higher detection and lower misdetection rates, compared to the other model in literature. In online learning, the Online Sequential Euclidean Distance Routing Capsule Network model provides significantly better results in detecting intrusion attacks on smart grid, compared to the other deep online models

CFLCA: High Performance based Heart disease Prediction System using Fuzzy Learning with Neural Networks

Human Diseases are increasing rapidly in today’s generation mainly due to the life style of people like poor diet, lack of exercises, drugs and alcohol consumption etc. But the most spreading disease that is commonly around 80% of people death direct and indirectly heart disease basis. In future (approximately after 10 years) maximum number of people may expire cause of heart diseases. Due to these reasons, many of researchers providing enormous remedy, data analysis in various proposed technologies for diagnosing heart diseases with plenty of medical data which is related to heart disease. In field of Medicine regularly receives very wide range of medical data in the form of text, image, audio, video, signal pockets, etc. This database contains raw dataset which consist of inconsistent and redundant data. The health care system is no doubt very rich in aspect of storing data but at the same time very poor in fetching knowledge. Data mining (DM) methods can help in extracting a valuable knowledge by applying DM terminologies like clustering, regression, segmentation, classification etc. After the collection of data when the dataset becomes larger and more complex than data mining algorithms and clustering algorithms (D-Tree, Neural Networks, K-means, etc.) are used. To get accuracy and precision values improved with proposed method of Cognitive Fuzzy Learning based Clustering Algorithm (CFLCA) method. CFLCA methodology creates advanced meta indexing for n-dimensional unstructured data. The heart disease dataset used after data enrichment and feature engineering with UCI machine learning algorithm, attain high level accurate and prediction rate. Through this proposed CFLCA algorithm is having high accuracy, precision and recall values of data analysis for heart diseases detection

Power System Stability Analysis using Neural Network

This work focuses on the design of modern power system controllers for automatic voltage regulators (AVR) and the applications of machine learning (ML) algorithms to correctly classify the stability of the IEEE 14 bus system. The LQG controller performs the best time domain characteristics compared to PID and LQG, while the sensor and amplifier gain is changed in a dynamic passion. After that, the IEEE 14 bus system is modeled, and contingency scenarios are simulated in the System Modelica Dymola environment. Application of the Monte Carlo principle with modified Poissons probability distribution principle is reviewed from the literature that reduces the total contingency from 1000k to 20k. The damping ratio of the contingency is then extracted, pre-processed, and fed to ML algorithms, such as logistic regression, support vector machine, decision trees, random forests, Naive Bayes, and k-nearest neighbor. A neural network (NN) of one, two, three, five, seven, and ten hidden layers with 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% data size is considered to observe and compare the prediction time, accuracy, precision, and recall value. At lower data size, 25%, in the neural network with two-hidden layers and a single hidden layer, the accuracy becomes 95.70% and 97.38%, respectively. Increasing the hidden layer of NN beyond a second does not increase the overall score and takes a much longer prediction time; thus could be discarded for similar analysis. Moreover, when five, seven, and ten hidden layers are used, the F1 score reduces. However, in practical scenarios, where the data set contains more features and a variety of classes, higher data size is required for NN for proper training. This research will provide more insight into the damping ratio-based system stability prediction with traditional ML algorithms and neural networks.Comment: Masters Thesis Dissertatio

Data Mining in Smart Grids

Effective smart grid operation requires rapid decisions in a data-rich, but information-limited, environment. In this context, grid sensor data-streaming cannot provide the system operators with the necessary information to act on in the time frames necessary to minimize the impact of the disturbances. Even if there are fast models that can convert the data into information, the smart grid operator must deal with the challenge of not having a full understanding of the context of the information, and, therefore, the information content cannot be used with any high degree of confidence. To address this issue, data mining has been recognized as the most promising enabling technology for improving decision-making processes, providing the right information at the right moment to the right decision-maker. This Special Issue is focused on emerging methodologies for data mining in smart grids. In this area, it addresses many relevant topics, ranging from methods for uncertainty management, to advanced dispatching. This Special Issue not only focuses on methodological breakthroughs and roadmaps in implementing the methodology, but also presents the much-needed sharing of the best practices. Topics include, but are not limited to, the following: Fuzziness in smart grids computing Emerging techniques for renewable energy forecasting Robust and proactive solution of optimal smart grids operation Fuzzy-based smart grids monitoring and control frameworks Granular computing for uncertainty management in smart grids Self-organizing and decentralized paradigms for information processin

An Informed Long-term Forecasting Method for Electrical Distribution Network Operators

Northern Powergrid (NPG) is an electrical distribution network operator in the UK servicing Yorkshire and the Northeast of England. Currently they produce long-term eight year forecasts for each substation on the network with an emphasis on an annual maximum demand (MD) figure. The current method used by NPG is thought to oversimplify the problem and does not give enough insight into changes in substation demand. In order to inform their current forecast, the novel CL-ANFIS method uses a combination of machine learning techniques for both forecasting and general insight to the drivers of demand. Also introduced here are novel techniques for determination of MD at NPG and methods for handling load transfer periods. In order to address a problem of this size, a twofold approach is taken. One is to address the drivers of demand such as weather, economic or demographic data sets through the use of statistics and machine learning techniques. The other is to address the long-term forecasting problem with a transparent technique that can aid in explaining the drivers of demand on any given substation. Techniques used include cluster analysis on demographic data sets in addition to ANFIS as a forecasting method. The results of the novel CL-ANFIS method are compared against the current NPG forecast and show how more insight into substation demand profiles can drive the decision-making process. This is done through a combination of using a tailored customer database for NPG and leveraging the information provided by the membership functions of ANFIS