Timeliness of Materials on Reading Recommendation System

An improved fuzzy logic recommendation method named TFLRS is presented in this paper. The timeliness of reading materials is focused. The upload time of reading materials is attached as an important input parameter, and the numeric weights of input factors are further revised. The experiment result demonstrates that the recommendation ranking order of the latest and the out-of-date reading materials has obviously improved in comparison to the previous FLRS method. It solves the problem that the new reading materials cannot be timely discovered but the out-of-date reading materials always in the front of the recommendation ranking. The timeliness of reading materials effectively guarantees the user preferred newer materials are always at the higher level than the older materials in the recommendation ranking result and the accuracy of reading recommendation system has significantly improved

Computational intelligence approaches for energy load forecasting in smart energy management grids: state of the art, future challenges, and research directions and Research Directions

Energy management systems are designed to monitor, optimize, and control the smart grid energy market. Demand-side management, considered as an essential part of the energy management system, can enable utility market operators to make better management decisions for energy trading between consumers and the operator. In this system, a priori knowledge about the energy load pattern can help reshape the load and cut the energy demand curve, thus allowing a better management and distribution of the energy in smart grid energy systems. Designing a computationally intelligent load forecasting (ILF) system is often a primary goal of energy demand management. This study explores the state of the art of computationally intelligent (i.e., machine learning) methods that are applied in load forecasting in terms of their classification and evaluation for sustainable operation of the overall energy management system. More than 50 research papers related to the subject identified in existing literature are classified into two categories: namely the single and the hybrid computational intelligence (CI)-based load forecasting technique. The advantages and disadvantages of each individual techniques also discussed to encapsulate them into the perspective into the energy management research. The identified methods have been further investigated by a qualitative analysis based on the accuracy of the prediction, which confirms the dominance of hybrid forecasting methods, which are often applied as metaheurstic algorithms considering the different optimization techniques over single model approaches. Based on extensive surveys, the review paper predicts a continuous future expansion of such literature on different CI approaches and their optimizations with both heuristic and metaheuristic methods used for energy load forecasting and their potential utilization in real-time smart energy management grids to address future challenges in energy demand managemen

New Structural Evolving Algorithms For Fuzzy Systems

Recently, the issue of accuracy and interpretability trade-off has been getting more attention when designing new fuzzy systems. In this thesis, three evolving fuzzy models, namely enhancement of fuzzy term identification (EFTI), structure identification method (SIM) and structural evolving approach (SEA) are proposed to spot the best trade-off between accuracy and interpretability. EFTI, SIM and SEA are designed based on error reducing methods. EFTI is developed to fit with single input single output (SISO) problems (i.e. one dimension), while SIM and SEA are developed to fit with multi input single output (MISO) (medium and high dimension). EFTI begins with a simple fuzzy structure that is composed of two fuzzy terms in the input space. Then EFTI continues evolving by identifying splitting points of the input space that are compatible with the consequent parameters. On the other hand, SIM and SEA start with one fuzzy rule that has no fuzzy term in the input space regardless of the degree level of input dimension. Then they evolve on the basis of either closure or split processes for the selected input attribute of the selected subregion. If the selected attribute has no fuzzy terms, closure is performed, otherwise split is done. The evolving continues until a satisfactory accuracy is fulfilled or maximum number of subregion is reached. A partitioning technique based on the similarity feature and a static partition-selection technique are developed for SIM. While, a partitioning technique based on splitting the selected subregion into two subregions with maximum and minimum average error and a dynamic partition-selection technique are developed for SEA. Furthermore, a pruning technique based on the importance level of the fuzzy rules is proposed to shrink the rule-base of SEA. Compared with SISO models and using three datasets, EFTI produces the lowest RMSE with lowest number of rules. For MISO models and using nine benchmark datasets, SIM achieves the lowest RMSE with the smallest size of rule-base systems. Similarly, for MISO state-of-the-art models and using six benchmark datasets, SEA also produces the lowest RMSE with the smallest size of rule-base systems. In conclusion, the results proved that EFTI, SIM and SEA are able to produce a significant trade-off between accuracy and interpretabilit

Autonomous Data Density pruning fuzzy neural network for Optical Interconnection Network

Traditionally, fuzzy neural networks have parametric clustering methods based on equally spaced membership functions to fuzzify inputs of the model. In this sense, it produces an excessive number calculations for the parameters’ definition of the network architecture, which may be a problem especially for real-time large-scale tasks. Therefore, this paper proposes a new model that uses a non-parametric technique for the fuzzification process. The proposed model uses an autonomous data density approach in a pruned fuzzy neural network, wich favours the compactness of the model. The performance of the proposed approach is evaluated through the usage of databases related to the Optical Interconnection Network. Finally, binary patterns classification tests for the identification of temporal distribution (asynchronous or client–server) were performed and compared with state-of-the-art fuzzy neural-based and traditional machine learning approaches. Results demonstrated that the proposed model is an efficient tool for these challenging classification tasks

A comparison of performance of several artificial intelligence methods for forecasting monthly discharge time series

Author name used in this publication: Chun-Tian Cheng2009-2010 > Academic research: refereed > Publication in refereed journalAccepted ManuscriptPublishe

Learning from Polar Representation: An Extreme-Adaptive Model for Long-Term Time Series Forecasting

In the hydrology field, time series forecasting is crucial for efficient water resource management, improving flood and drought control and increasing the safety and quality of life for the general population. However, predicting long-term streamflow is a complex task due to the presence of extreme events. It requires the capture of long-range dependencies and the modeling of rare but important extreme values. Existing approaches often struggle to tackle these dual challenges simultaneously. In this paper, we specifically delve into these issues and propose Distance-weighted Auto-regularized Neural network (DAN), a novel extreme-adaptive model for long-range forecasting of stremflow enhanced by polar representation learning. DAN utilizes a distance-weighted multi-loss mechanism and stackable blocks to dynamically refine indicator sequences from exogenous data, while also being able to handle uni-variate time-series by employing Gaussian Mixture probability modeling to improve robustness to severe events. We also introduce Kruskal-Wallis sampling and gate control vectors to handle imbalanced extreme data. On four real-life hydrologic streamflow datasets, we demonstrate that DAN significantly outperforms both state-of-the-art hydrologic time series prediction methods and general methods designed for long-term time series prediction