Model of mobility demands for future short distance public transport systems

Short distance public transport faces huge challenges, although it is very important within a sustainable transport system to reduce traffic emissions. Revenues and subsidization are decreasing and especially in rural regions the offer is constantly diminishing. New approaches for public transport systems are strongly needed to avoid traffic infarcts in urban and rural areas to grant a basic offer of mobility services for everyone. In the proposed work a demand centered approach of dynamic public transport planning is introduced which relies on regional traffic data. The approach is based on a demand model which is represented as a dynamic undirected attributed graph. The demands are logged through traffic sensors and sustainability focused traveler information systems

Assessing Importance and Satisfaction Judgments of Intermodal Work Commuters with Electronic Survey Methodology, MTI Report WP 12-01

Recent advances in multivariate methodology provide an opportunity to further the assessment of service offerings in public transportation for work commuting. We offer methodologies that are alternative to direct rating scale and have advantages in the quality and precision of measurement. The alternative of methodology for adaptive conjoint analysis for the measurement of the importance of attributes in service offering is implemented. Rasch scaling methodology is used for the measurement of satisfaction with these attributes. Advantages that these methodologies introduce for assessment of the respective constructs and use of the assessment are discussed. In a first study, the conjoint derived weights were shown to have predictive capabilities in applications to respondent distributions of a fixed total budget to improve overall service offerings. Results with the Rasch model indicate that the attribute measures are reliable and can adequately constitute a composite measure of satisfaction. The Rasch items were also shown to provide a basis to discriminate between privately owned vehicles (POVs) and public transport commuters. Dissatisfaction with uncertainty in travel time and income level of respondents were the best predictors of POV commuting

policy and managerial implications

Thesis(Master) -- KDI School: Master of Development Policy, 2020The purpose of this study is to provide implications on policy and management in terms of public transportation by exploring the factors of user satisfaction/dissatisfaction, and the current status of demand and perception on government. Research questions applied in this study are following; i) how determinants of satisfaction/dissatisfaction vary among transportation modes, ii) how the citizens’ perception on public transportation affects satisfaction/dissatisfaction of the users and perception on government, and iii) how the improvement of public transportation service based on user’s demands will affect the level of expected satisfaction and perception on government. This study applies both qualitative and quantitative research to analyze 3 types of public transportation modes including bus, bike, and taxi. For qualitative research, civil opinions were collected from the city website to see the current status of public transportation system. Based on the result of qualitative research, an online survey was distributed randomly to users for quantitative research. A factor analysis and ANOVA test were conducted using the data from survey for the overall satisfaction/dissatisfaction level and its determinants, the existing demand, and the expected future satisfaction and perception on government for the users. The findings of this study could be applied to future strategies towards sustainable development of cities for proper provision and operation of public transportation system by using ICT technology that could increase its efficiency.1. Introduction 2. Literature Review 3. Theoretical Background 4. Hypothesis Development 5. Methodology 6. Data Analysis 7. ConclusionmasterpublishedJiin YO

Inferring transportation modes from GPS trajectories using a convolutional neural network

Identifying the distribution of users' transportation modes is an essential part of travel demand analysis and transportation planning. With the advent of ubiquitous GPS-enabled devices (e.g., a smartphone), a cost-effective approach for inferring commuters' mobility mode(s) is to leverage their GPS trajectories. A majority of studies have proposed mode inference models based on hand-crafted features and traditional machine learning algorithms. However, manual features engender some major drawbacks including vulnerability to traffic and environmental conditions as well as possessing human's bias in creating efficient features. One way to overcome these issues is by utilizing Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) schemes that are capable of automatically driving high-level features from the raw input. Accordingly, in this paper, we take advantage of CNN architectures so as to predict travel modes based on only raw GPS trajectories, where the modes are labeled as walk, bike, bus, driving, and train. Our key contribution is designing the layout of the CNN's input layer in such a way that not only is adaptable with the CNN schemes but represents fundamental motion characteristics of a moving object including speed, acceleration, jerk, and bearing rate. Furthermore, we ameliorate the quality of GPS logs through several data preprocessing steps. Using the clean input layer, a variety of CNN configurations are evaluated to achieve the best CNN architecture. The highest accuracy of 84.8% has been achieved through the ensemble of the best CNN configuration. In this research, we contrast our methodology with traditional machine learning algorithms as well as the seminal and most related studies to demonstrate the superiority of our framework.Comment: 12 pages, 3 figures, 7 tables, Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologie

Human response to aircraft noise

The human auditory system and the perception of sound are discussed. The major concentration is on the annnoyance response and methods for relating the physical characteristics of sound to those psychosociological attributes associated with human response. Results selected from the extensive laboratory and field research conducted on human response to aircraft noise over the past several decades are presented along with discussions of the methodology commonly used in conducting that research. Finally, some of the more common criteria, regulations, and recommended practices for the control or limitation of aircraft noise are examined in light of the research findings on human response

Inferring Socioeconomic Characteristics from Travel Patterns

Nowadays, crowd-based big data is widely used in transportation planning. These data sources provide valuable information for model validation; however, they cannot be used to estimate travel demand forecasting models, because these models need a linkage between travel patterns and the socioeconomic characteristics of the people making trips and such a connection is not available due to privacy issues. As such, uncovering the correlation between travel patterns and socioeconomic characteristics is crucial for travel demand modelers to be able to leverage such data in model estimation. Different age, gender, and income groups may have specific travel behavior preferences. To extract and investigate these patterns, we used two data sets: one from the National Household Travel Survey 2009 and the other from the Metropolitan Washington Council of Government Transportation Planning Board 2007-2008 household survey. After preprocessing the data, a range of machine learning algorithms were used to synthesize the socioeconomic characteristics of travelers. After comparison, we found that the CatBoost model outperformed the other models. To further improve the results, a synthetic population and Bayesian updating were used, which considerably improved the estimation of income. This study showed that the conventional inference of travel demand from socioeconomic patterns can be reversed, creating an opportunity to utilize the plethora of crowd-based mobility data

Inferring Socioeconomic Characteristics from Travel Patterns

Nowadays, crowd-based big data is widely used in transportation planning. These data sources provide valuable information for model validation; however, they cannot be used to estimate travel demand forecasting models, because these models need a linkage between travel patterns and the socioeconomic characteristics of the people making trips and such a connection is not available due to privacy issues. As such, uncovering the correlation between travel patterns and socioeconomic characteristics is crucial for travel demand modelers to be able to leverage such data in model estimation. Different age, gender, and income groups may have specific travel behavior preferences. To extract and investigate these patterns, we used two data sets: one from the National Household Travel Survey 2009 and the other from the Metropolitan Washington Council of Government Transportation Planning Board 2007-2008 household survey. After preprocessing the data, a range of machine learning algorithms were used to synthesize the socioeconomic characteristics of travelers. After comparison, we found that the CatBoost model outperformed the other models. To further improve the results, a synthetic population and Bayesian updating were used, which considerably improved the estimation of income. This study showed that the conventional inference of travel demand from socioeconomic patterns can be reversed, creating an opportunity to utilize the plethora of crowd-based mobility data

Urban Mobility Analytics: Understanding, Inference and Forecasting

Transport systems are the backbones of social and economic activities, which promote industry development and accelerate the process of urbanization. However, the contradiction between the pursuit of travel quality and unbalanced/inadequate development needs the rational construction and operation of transport systems. Owing to the evolution of a massive amount of multi-source data from transport systems, urban mobility analytics, including understanding, inference, and forecasting, support the management and control of transport, which attracts great attention in the long term and becomes more essential in smart transport research. In this thesis, we focus on inferring passenger demographics and predicting passenger demand by understanding travel patterns based on deep spatial-temporal learning algorithms. We first review the latest state-of-the-art deep learning methods for traffic understanding and attributes inference, traffic forecasting, and demand forecasting to form an overview of the current research progress. Second, we introduce the study public transport dataset collected from the Greater Sydney area and analyze the distributions and similarities of multiple transport modes. Third, we study the investigation of spatial and temporal features in order to infer traveler attributes by proposing a deep-based network with two modules (i.e., a Product-based Spatial-Temporal Module and an Auto-Encoder-based Compression Module). In addition, we study providing confidence interval-based passenger demand forecasting by proposing Probabilistic Graph Convolution Model to help relevant authorities and institutions to better accommodate demand uncertainty/variability. Then, to explore the relations in multimodal transport to boost the demand prediction performance, we propose two deep-based networks for knowledge adaptation between different transport modes by data sharing and model sharing, respectively. Finally, we provide promising directions for future works and conclude the thesis