4 research outputs found

    Churn classification model for local telecommunication company based on rough set theory

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    Customer care plays an important role in a company especially in managing churn for Telecommunication Company. Churn is perceived as the behaviour of a customer to leave or to terminate a service. This behaviour causes the loss of profit to companies because acquiring new customer requires higher investment compared to retaining existing ones. Thus, it is necessary to consider an efficient classification model to reduce the rate of churn. Hence, the purpose of this paper is to propose a new classification model based on the Rough Set Theory to classify customer churn. The results of the study show that the proposed Rough Set classification model outperforms the existing models and contributes to significant accuracy improvement.Keywords: customer churn; classification model; telecommunication industry; data mining;rough set

    Calculation Method of Probability Integration Method Parameters Based on MIV-GP-BP Model

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    In order to guarantee the precision of the parameters of the probability integral method (PIM), starting from optimizing input and improving algorithm an algorithm integrating the genetic algorithm (GA) and particle swarm optimization (PSO) was put forward to optimize the prediction model of BP neural network and the mean impact value algorithm (MIV) was applied to optimize the input of BP neural network. The mean impact value algorithm (MIV) was applied to optimize the input of BP neural network. The measured data of 50 working faces were chosen as the training and testing sets to build the MIV-GP-BP model. The results showed that among the five parameters, the RMSE was between 0.0058 and 1.1575, the MaxRE of q, tanβ, b and θ was less than 5.42%, and the MeaRE was less than 2.81%. The RMSE of s/H did not exceed 0.0058, the MaxRE was less than 9.66% and the MeaRE was less than 4.31% (the parameters themselves were small). The optimized neural network model had higher prediction accuracy and stability

    A Neural Network-Based Predictive Decision Model for Customer Retention in the Telecommunication Sector

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    Acquiring a new customer is far more expensive than retaining a customer. Hence, customer retention is a key aspect of business for a firm to maintain and improve on its market share and profit. The paper analyses customer retention strategies by employing an artificial neural network-based decision model to a real-life dataset collected from 311 mobile service users in India. Seven linear and non-linear adaptive models are developed using features related to customer dissatisfaction (DSF), customer disloyalty (DLF) and customer churn (CF). Findings of this study suggest that non-linear models are most efficient in predicting customer churn, and both DSF and DLF variables significantly affect the retention strategy. Three groups of customers are discussed in this study in the order of least likelihood of churning to most likelihood. Finally, a priority matrix based on key performance indicators is proposed to help service providers target potential customers to retain

    Twitter Analysis to Predict the Satisfaction of Saudi Telecommunication Companies’ Customers

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    The flexibility in mobile communications allows customers to quickly switch from one service provider to another, making customer churn one of the most critical challenges for the data and voice telecommunication service industry. In 2019, the percentage of post-paid telecommunication customers in Saudi Arabia decreased; this represents a great deal of customer dissatisfaction and subsequent corporate fiscal losses. Many studies correlate customer satisfaction with customer churn. The Telecom companies have depended on historical customer data to measure customer churn. However, historical data does not reveal current customer satisfaction or future likeliness to switch between telecom companies. Current methods of analysing churn rates are inadequate and faced some issues, particularly in the Saudi market. This research was conducted to realize the relationship between customer satisfaction and customer churn and how to use social media mining to measure customer satisfaction and predict customer churn. This research conducted a systematic review to address the churn prediction models problems and their relation to Arabic Sentiment Analysis. The findings show that the current churn models lack integrating structural data frameworks with real-time analytics to target customers in real-time. In addition, the findings show that the specific issues in the existing churn prediction models in Saudi Arabia relate to the Arabic language itself, its complexity, and lack of resources. As a result, I have constructed the first gold standard corpus of Saudi tweets related to telecom companies, comprising 20,000 manually annotated tweets. It has been generated as a dialect sentiment lexicon extracted from a larger Twitter dataset collected by me to capture text characteristics in social media. I developed a new ASA prediction model for telecommunication that fills the detected gaps in the ASA literature and fits the telecommunication field. The proposed model proved its effectiveness for Arabic sentiment analysis and churn prediction. This is the first work using Twitter mining to predict potential customer loss (churn) in Saudi telecom companies, which has not been attempted before. Different fields, such as education, have different features, making applying the proposed model is interesting because it based on text-mining
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