54,168 research outputs found
Dynamical Patterns of Cattle Trade Movements
Despite their importance for the spread of zoonotic diseases, our
understanding of the dynamical aspects characterizing the movements of farmed
animal populations remains limited as these systems are traditionally studied
as static objects and through simplified approximations. By leveraging on the
network science approach, here we are able for the first time to fully analyze
the longitudinal dataset of Italian cattle movements that reports the mobility
of individual animals among farms on a daily basis. The complexity and
inter-relations between topology, function and dynamical nature of the system
are characterized at different spatial and time resolutions, in order to
uncover patterns and vulnerabilities fundamental for the definition of targeted
prevention and control measures for zoonotic diseases. Results show how the
stationarity of statistical distributions coexists with a strong and
non-trivial evolutionary dynamics at the node and link levels, on all
timescales. Traditional static views of the displacement network hide important
patterns of structural changes affecting nodes' centrality and farms' spreading
potential, thus limiting the efficiency of interventions based on partial
longitudinal information. By fully taking into account the longitudinal
dimension, we propose a novel definition of dynamical motifs that is able to
uncover the presence of a temporal arrow describing the evolution of the system
and the causality patterns of its displacements, shedding light on mechanisms
that may play a crucial role in the definition of preventive actions
Dynamic Resource Management in Clouds: A Probabilistic Approach
Dynamic resource management has become an active area of research in the
Cloud Computing paradigm. Cost of resources varies significantly depending on
configuration for using them. Hence efficient management of resources is of
prime interest to both Cloud Providers and Cloud Users. In this work we suggest
a probabilistic resource provisioning approach that can be exploited as the
input of a dynamic resource management scheme. Using a Video on Demand use case
to justify our claims, we propose an analytical model inspired from standard
models developed for epidemiology spreading, to represent sudden and intense
workload variations. We show that the resulting model verifies a Large
Deviation Principle that statistically characterizes extreme rare events, such
as the ones produced by "buzz/flash crowd effects" that may cause workload
overflow in the VoD context. This analysis provides valuable insight on
expectable abnormal behaviors of systems. We exploit the information obtained
using the Large Deviation Principle for the proposed Video on Demand use-case
for defining policies (Service Level Agreements). We believe these policies for
elastic resource provisioning and usage may be of some interest to all
stakeholders in the emerging context of cloud networkingComment: IEICE Transactions on Communications (2012). arXiv admin note:
substantial text overlap with arXiv:1209.515
Dynamical Patterns of Cattle Trade Movements
Despite their importance for the spread of zoonotic diseases, our
understanding of the dynamical aspects characterizing the movements of farmed
animal populations remains limited as these systems are traditionally studied
as static objects and through simplified approximations. By leveraging on the
network science approach, here we are able for the first time to fully analyze
the longitudinal dataset of Italian cattle movements that reports the mobility
of individual animals among farms on a daily basis. The complexity and
inter-relations between topology, function and dynamical nature of the system
are characterized at different spatial and time resolutions, in order to
uncover patterns and vulnerabilities fundamental for the definition of targeted
prevention and control measures for zoonotic diseases. Results show how the
stationarity of statistical distributions coexists with a strong and
non-trivial evolutionary dynamics at the node and link levels, on all
timescales. Traditional static views of the displacement network hide important
patterns of structural changes affecting nodes' centrality and farms' spreading
potential, thus limiting the efficiency of interventions based on partial
longitudinal information. By fully taking into account the longitudinal
dimension, we propose a novel definition of dynamical motifs that is able to
uncover the presence of a temporal arrow describing the evolution of the system
and the causality patterns of its displacements, shedding light on mechanisms
that may play a crucial role in the definition of preventive actions
Scaling laws for the movement of people between locations in a large city
Large scale simulations of the movements of people in a ``virtual'' city and
their analyses are used to generate new insights into understanding the dynamic
processes that depend on the interactions between people. Models, based on
these interactions, can be used in optimizing traffic flow, slowing the spread
of infectious diseases or predicting the change in cell phone usage in a
disaster. We analyzed cumulative and aggregated data generated from the
simulated movements of 1.6 million individuals in a computer (pseudo
agent-based) model during a typical day in Portland, Oregon. This city is
mapped into a graph with nodes representing physical locations such
as buildings. Connecting edges model individual's flow between nodes. Edge
weights are constructed from the daily traffic of individuals moving between
locations. The number of edges leaving a node (out-degree), the edge weights
(out-traffic), and the edge-weights per location (total out-traffic) are fitted
well by power law distributions. The power law distributions also fit subgraphs
based on work, school, and social/recreational activities. The resulting
weighted graph is a ``small world'' and has scaling laws consistent with an
underlying hierarchical structure. We also explore the time evolution of the
largest connected component and the distribution of the component sizes. We
observe a strong linear correlation between the out-degree and total
out-traffic distributions and significant levels of clustering. We discuss how
these network features can be used to characterize social networks and their
relationship to dynamic processes.Comment: 18 pages, 10 figure
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