858 research outputs found
Deepr: A Convolutional Net for Medical Records
Feature engineering remains a major bottleneck when creating predictive
systems from electronic medical records. At present, an important missing
element is detecting predictive regular clinical motifs from irregular episodic
records. We present Deepr (short for Deep record), a new end-to-end deep
learning system that learns to extract features from medical records and
predicts future risk automatically. Deepr transforms a record into a sequence
of discrete elements separated by coded time gaps and hospital transfers. On
top of the sequence is a convolutional neural net that detects and combines
predictive local clinical motifs to stratify the risk. Deepr permits
transparent inspection and visualization of its inner working. We validate
Deepr on hospital data to predict unplanned readmission after discharge. Deepr
achieves superior accuracy compared to traditional techniques, detects
meaningful clinical motifs, and uncovers the underlying structure of the
disease and intervention space
Computational intelligence contributions to readmisision risk prediction in Healthcare systems
136 p.The Thesis tackles the problem of readmission risk prediction in healthcare systems from a machine learning and computational intelligence point of view. Readmission has been recognized as an indicator of healthcare quality with primary economic importance. We examine two specific instances of the problem, the emergency department (ED) admission and heart failure (HF) patient care using anonymized datasets from three institutions to carry real-life computational experiments validating the proposed approaches. The main difficulties posed by this kind of datasets is their high class imbalance ratio, and the lack of informative value of the recorded variables. This thesis reports the results of innovative class balancing approaches and new classification architectures
Scalable and accurate deep learning for electronic health records
Predictive modeling with electronic health record (EHR) data is anticipated
to drive personalized medicine and improve healthcare quality. Constructing
predictive statistical models typically requires extraction of curated
predictor variables from normalized EHR data, a labor-intensive process that
discards the vast majority of information in each patient's record. We propose
a representation of patients' entire, raw EHR records based on the Fast
Healthcare Interoperability Resources (FHIR) format. We demonstrate that deep
learning methods using this representation are capable of accurately predicting
multiple medical events from multiple centers without site-specific data
harmonization. We validated our approach using de-identified EHR data from two
U.S. academic medical centers with 216,221 adult patients hospitalized for at
least 24 hours. In the sequential format we propose, this volume of EHR data
unrolled into a total of 46,864,534,945 data points, including clinical notes.
Deep learning models achieved high accuracy for tasks such as predicting
in-hospital mortality (AUROC across sites 0.93-0.94), 30-day unplanned
readmission (AUROC 0.75-0.76), prolonged length of stay (AUROC 0.85-0.86), and
all of a patient's final discharge diagnoses (frequency-weighted AUROC 0.90).
These models outperformed state-of-the-art traditional predictive models in all
cases. We also present a case-study of a neural-network attribution system,
which illustrates how clinicians can gain some transparency into the
predictions. We believe that this approach can be used to create accurate and
scalable predictions for a variety of clinical scenarios, complete with
explanations that directly highlight evidence in the patient's chart.Comment: Published version from
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41746-018-0029-
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