200,313 research outputs found
Human diffusion and city influence
International audienceCities are characterized by concentrating population, economic activity and services. However, not all cities are equal and a natural hierarchy at local, regional or global scales spontaneously emerges. In this work, we introduce a method to quantify city influence using geolocated tweets to characterize human mobility. Rome and Paris appear consistently as the cities attracting most diverse visitors. The ratio between locals and non-local visitors turns out to be fundamental for a city to truly be global. Focusing only on urban residents' mobility flows, a city to city network can be constructed. This network allows us to analyze centrality measures at different scales. New York and London play a predominant role at the global scale, while urban rankings suffer substantial changes if the focus is set at a regional level
Causal Inference in Disease Spread across a Heterogeneous Social System
Diffusion processes are governed by external triggers and internal dynamics
in complex systems. Timely and cost-effective control of infectious disease
spread critically relies on uncovering the underlying diffusion mechanisms,
which is challenging due to invisible causality between events and their
time-evolving intensity. We infer causal relationships between infections and
quantify the reflexivity of a meta-population, the level of feedback on event
occurrences by its internal dynamics (likelihood of a regional outbreak
triggered by previous cases). These are enabled by our new proposed model, the
Latent Influence Point Process (LIPP) which models disease spread by
incorporating macro-level internal dynamics of meta-populations based on human
mobility. We analyse 15-year dengue cases in Queensland, Australia. From our
causal inference, outbreaks are more likely driven by statewide global
diffusion over time, leading to complex behavior of disease spread. In terms of
reflexivity, precursory growth and symmetric decline in populous regions is
attributed to slow but persistent feedback on preceding outbreaks via
inter-group dynamics, while abrupt growth but sharp decline in peripheral areas
is led by rapid but inconstant feedback via intra-group dynamics. Our proposed
model reveals probabilistic causal relationships between discrete events based
on intra- and inter-group dynamics and also covers direct and indirect
diffusion processes (contact-based and vector-borne disease transmissions).Comment: arXiv admin note: substantial text overlap with arXiv:1711.0635
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Human Resource Management Diffusion and Productivity Imbalances
In this study, we explore spatial variance in management practices and assess its potential contribution to regional imbalances in productivity. The research builds on a growing body of evidence which indicates that differences in management practices can account for a substantial share of cross-country differences in total factor productivity, and which identifies an important role for management practices in explaining differences in productivity between firms in the UK. We contribute to this literature by studying regional variation in HRM and related management practices using workplace-level (i.e. plant-level) data in Britain, taken from the Workplace Employment Relations Survey (WERS). We use these data to map spatial variance in HRM intensity in Britain. We then seek to account for that variance and, in doing so, establish whether regional variance in HRM can help to account for regional variance in productivity. This analysis is complemented by a comparative investigation of equivalent data for France, where levels of productivity and HRM are both higher and less dispersed
Urban characteristics attributable to density-driven tie formation
Motivated by empirical evidence on the interplay between geography,
population density and societal interaction, we propose a generative process
for the evolution of social structure in cities. Our analytical and simulation
results predict both super-linear scaling of social tie density and information
flow as a function of the population. We demonstrate that our model provides a
robust and accurate fit for the dependency of city characteristics with city
size, ranging from individual-level dyadic interactions (number of
acquaintances, volume of communication) to population-level variables
(contagious disease rates, patenting activity, economic productivity and crime)
without the need to appeal to modularity, specialization, or hierarchy.Comment: Early version of this paper was presented in NetSci 2012 as a
contributed talk in June 2012. An improved version of this paper is published
in Nature Communications in June 2013. It has 14 pages and 5 figure
Cultural Diffusion and Trends in Facebook Photographs
Online social media is a social vehicle in which people share various moments
of their lives with their friends, such as playing sports, cooking dinner or
just taking a selfie for fun, via visual means, that is, photographs. Our study
takes a closer look at the popular visual concepts illustrating various
cultural lifestyles from aggregated, de-identified photographs. We perform
analysis both at macroscopic and microscopic levels, to gain novel insights
about global and local visual trends as well as the dynamics of interpersonal
cultural exchange and diffusion among Facebook friends. We processed images by
automatically classifying the visual content by a convolutional neural network
(CNN). Through various statistical tests, we find that socially tied
individuals more likely post images showing similar cultural lifestyles. To
further identify the main cause of the observed social correlation, we use the
Shuffle test and the Preference-based Matched Estimation (PME) test to
distinguish the effects of influence and homophily. The results indicate that
the visual content of each user's photographs are temporally, although not
necessarily causally, correlated with the photographs of their friends, which
may suggest the effect of influence. Our paper demonstrates that Facebook
photographs exhibit diverse cultural lifestyles and preferences and that the
social interaction mediated through the visual channel in social media can be
an effective mechanism for cultural diffusion.Comment: 10 pages, To appear in ICWSM 2017 (Full Paper
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