Human Vulnerability Mapping Facing Critical Service Disruptions for Crisis Managers

11th International Conference on Critical Information Infrastructures Security (CRITIS), Paris, FRANCE, OCT 10-12, 2016International audienceSocieties rely on the exchange of essential goods and services produced by Critical Infrastructures (CI). The failure of one CI following an event could cause ``cascading effects'' on other CI that amplifies the crisis. Existing tools incorporate modelling and simulation techniques to analyze these effects. The CIPRNet tools go a step further by assessing the consequences on population in a static manner: people are located at their census home; their sensibility to a resource lack varies during the day. This paper improves human impacts assessment by mapping people mobility thanks to the DEMOCRITE project methodology. It focuses on location of people with regards to their activities and the time period (night/day, holidays), and discuss their sensibility to the lack of key infrastructure services. Human vulnerability maps of Paris area during periods of a working day time show the importance to take into account people mobility when assessing crisis impacts

Recommendations for National Risk Assessment for Disaster Risk Management in EU

Decision No 1313/2013/EU on a Union Civil Protection Mechanism (UCPM) calls Participating States to develop risk assessments periodically and make the summary of their National Risk Assessment (NRA) available to the European Commission as a way to prevent disaster risk in Europe. In order to facilitate countries on this task, the European Commission developed the Guidelines on risk assessment and mapping. In spite of these, the summaries received have revealed several challenges related to the process and the content of the assessments. The current report aims to provide scientific support to the UCPM participant countries in their development of NRA, explaining why and how a risk assessment could be carried out, how the results of this could be used for Disaster Risk Management planning and in general, how science can help civil protection authorities and staff from ministries and agencies engaged in NRA activities. The report is the result of the collaborative effort of the Disaster Risk Management Knowledge Centre team and nine Joint Research Centre expert groups which provided their insight on tools and methods for specific risk assessment related to certain hazards and assets: drought, earthquakes, floods, terrorist attacks, biological disasters, critical infrastructures, chemical accidents, nuclear accidents and Natech accidents. The current document would be improved by a next version that would include scientific guidance on other risks and the collaboration of potential users.JRC.E.1-Disaster Risk Managemen