369 research outputs found

    A multiple channel queueing model under an uncertain environment with multiclass arrivals for supplying demands in a cement industry

    Get PDF
    In recent years, cement consumption has increased in most Asian countries, including Malaysia. There are many factors which affect the supply of the increasing order demands in the cement industry, such as traffic congestion, logistics, weather and machine breakdowns. These factors hinder smooth and efficient supply, especially during periods of peak congestion at the main gate of the industry where queues occur as a result of inability to keep to the order deadlines. Basic elements, such as arrival and service rates, that cannot be predetermined must be considered under an uncertain environment. Solution approaches including conventional queueing techniques, scheduling models and simulations were unable to formulate the performance measures of the cement queueing system. Hence, a new procedure of fuzzy subset intervals is designed and embedded in a queuing model with the consideration of arrival and service rates. As a result, a multiple channel queueing model with multiclass arrivals, (M1, M2)/G/C/2Pr, under an uncertain environment is developed. The model is able to estimate the performance measures of arrival rates of bulk products for Class One and bag products for Class Two in the cement manufacturing queueing system. For the (M1, M2)/G/C/2Pr fuzzy queueing model, two defuzzification techniques, namely the Parametric Nonlinear Programming and Robust Ranking are used to convert fuzzy queues into crisp queues. This led to three proposed sub-models, which are sub-model 1, MCFQ-2Pr, sub-model 2, MCCQESR-2Pr and sub-model 3, MCCQ-GSR-2Pr. These models provide optimal crisp values for the performance measures. To estimate the performance of the whole system, an additional step is introduced through the TrMF-UF model utilizing a utility factor based on fuzzy subset intervals and the α-cut approach. Consequently, these models help decision-makers deal with order demands under an uncertain environment for the cement manufacturing industry and address the increasing quantities needed in future

    Enabling flexibility through strategic management of complex engineering systems

    Get PDF
    ”Flexibility is a highly desired attribute of many systems operating in changing or uncertain conditions. It is a common theme in complex systems to identify where flexibility is generated within a system and how to model the processes needed to maintain and sustain flexibility. The key research question that is addressed is: how do we create a new definition of workforce flexibility within a human-technology-artificial intelligence environment? Workforce flexibility is the management of organizational labor capacities and capabilities in operational environments using a broad and diffuse set of tools and approaches to mitigate system imbalances caused by uncertainties or changes. We establish a baseline reference for managers to use in choosing flexibility methods for specific applications and we determine the scope and effectiveness of these traditional flexibility methods. The unique contributions of this research are: a) a new definition of workforce flexibility for a human-technology work environment versus traditional definitions; b) using a system of systems (SoS) approach to create and sustain that flexibility; and c) applying a coordinating strategy for optimal workforce flexibility within the human- technology framework. This dissertation research fills the gap of how we can model flexibility using SoS engineering to show where flexibility emerges and what strategies a manager can use to manage flexibility within this technology construct”--Abstract, page iii

    Size-Based Routing Policies: Non-Asymptotic Analysis and Design of Decentralized Systems

    Get PDF
    Size-based routing policies are known to perform well when the variance of the distribution of the job size is very high. We consider two size-based policies in this paper: Task Assignment with Guessing Size (TAGS) and Size Interval Task Assignment (SITA). The latter assumes that the size of jobs is known, whereas the former does not. Recently, it has been shown by our previous work that when the ratio of the largest to shortest job tends to infinity and the system load is fixed and low, the average waiting time of SITA is, at most, two times less than that of TAGS. In this article, we first analyze the ratio between the mean waiting time of TAGS and the mean waiting time of SITA in a non-asymptotic regime, and we show that for two servers, and when the job size distribution is Bounded Pareto with parameter α=1, this ratio is unbounded from above. We then consider a system with an arbitrary number of servers and we compare the mean waiting time of TAGS with that of Size Interval Task Assignment with Equal load (SITA-E), which is a SITA policy where the load of all the servers are equal. We show that in the light traffic regime, the performance ratio under consideration is unbounded from above when (i) the job size distribution is Bounded Pareto with parameter α=1 and an arbitrary number of servers as well as (ii) for Bounded Pareto distributed job sizes with α∈(0,2)\{1} and the number of servers tends to infinity. Finally, we use the result of our previous work to show how to design decentralized systems with quality of service constraints.Josu Doncel has received funding from the Department of Education of the Basque Government through the Consolidated Research Group MATHMODE (IT1294-19), from the Marie Sklodowska-Curie grant agreement No 777778, and from the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation with reference PID2019-108111RB-I00 (FEDER/AEI). Eitan Bachmat’s work was supported by the German Science Foundation (DFG) through the grant, Airplane Boarding, (JA 2311/3-1)

    Operational Decision Making under Uncertainty: Inferential, Sequential, and Adversarial Approaches

    Get PDF
    Modern security threats are characterized by a stochastic, dynamic, partially observable, and ambiguous operational environment. This dissertation addresses such complex security threats using operations research techniques for decision making under uncertainty in operations planning, analysis, and assessment. First, this research develops a new method for robust queue inference with partially observable, stochastic arrival and departure times, motivated by cybersecurity and terrorism applications. In the dynamic setting, this work develops a new variant of Markov decision processes and an algorithm for robust information collection in dynamic, partially observable and ambiguous environments, with an application to a cybersecurity detection problem. In the adversarial setting, this work presents a new application of counterfactual regret minimization and robust optimization to a multi-domain cyber and air defense problem in a partially observable environment
    corecore