195,844 research outputs found
Consistent tests of conditional moment restrictions
We propose two classes of consistent tests in parametric econometric models defined through multiple conditional moment restrictions. The first type of tests relies on nonparametric estimation, while the second relies on a functional of a marked empirical process. For both tests, a simulation procedure for obtaining critical values is shown to be asymptotically valid. Finite sample performances of the tests are investigated by means of several Monte-Carlo experiments.Publicad
Generalized empirical likelihood-based model selection criteria for moment condition models
This paper proposes model selection criteria (MSC) for unconditional moment models using generalized empirical likelihood (GEL) statistics. The use of GEL-statistics in lieu of J-statistics (in the spirit of Andrews, 1999, Econometrica 67, 543-564; and Andrews and Lu, 2001, Journal of Econometrics 101, 123-164) leads to an alternative interpretation of the MSCs that emphasizes the common information-theoretic rationale underlying model selection procedures for both parametric and semiparametric models. The result of this paper also provides a GEL-based model selection alternative to the information criteria-based nonnested tests for generalized method of moments models considered in Kitamura (2000, University of Wisconsin). The results of a Monte Carlo experiment are reported to illustrate the finite-sample performance of the selection criteria and their impact on parameter estimation
Breaking the curse of dimensionality in regression
Models with many signals, high-dimensional models, often impose structures on
the signal strengths. The common assumption is that only a few signals are
strong and most of the signals are zero or close (collectively) to zero.
However, such a requirement might not be valid in many real-life applications.
In this article, we are interested in conducting large-scale inference in
models that might have signals of mixed strengths. The key challenge is that
the signals that are not under testing might be collectively non-negligible
(although individually small) and cannot be accurately learned. This article
develops a new class of tests that arise from a moment matching formulation. A
virtue of these moment-matching statistics is their ability to borrow strength
across features, adapt to the sparsity size and exert adjustment for testing
growing number of hypothesis. GRoup-level Inference of Parameter, GRIP, test
harvests effective sparsity structures with hypothesis formulation for an
efficient multiple testing procedure. Simulated data showcase that GRIPs error
control is far better than the alternative methods. We develop a minimax
theory, demonstrating optimality of GRIP for a broad range of models, including
those where the model is a mixture of a sparse and high-dimensional dense
signals.Comment: 51 page
Asset Pricing Theories, Models, and Tests
An important but still partially unanswered question in the investment field is why different assets earn substantially different returns on average. Financial economists have typically addressed this question in the context of theoretically or empirically motivated asset pricing models. Since many of the proposed âriskâ theories are plausible, a common practice in the literature is to take the models to the data and perform âhorse racesâ among competing asset pricing specifications. A âgoodâ asset pricing model should produce small pricing (expected return) errors on a set of test assets and should deliver reasonable estimates of the underlying market and economic risk premia. This chapter provides an up-to-date review of the statistical methods that are typically used to estimate, evaluate, and compare competing asset pricing models. The analysis also highlights several pitfalls in the current econometric practice and offers suggestions for improving empirical tests
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