Earthquake Arrival Association with Backprojection and Graph Theory

The association of seismic wave arrivals with causative earthquakes becomes progressively more challenging as arrival detection methods become more sensitive, and particularly when earthquake rates are high. For instance, seismic waves arriving across a monitoring network from several sources may overlap in time, false arrivals may be detected, and some arrivals may be of unknown phase (e.g., P- or S-waves). We propose an automated method to associate arrivals with earthquake sources and obtain source locations applicable to such situations. To do so we use a pattern detection metric based on the principle of backprojection to reveal candidate sources, followed by graph-theory-based clustering and an integer linear optimization routine to associate arrivals with the minimum number of sources necessary to explain the data. This method solves for all sources and phase assignments simultaneously, rather than in a sequential greedy procedure as is common in other association routines. We demonstrate our method on both synthetic and real data from the Integrated Plate Boundary Observatory Chile (IPOC) seismic network of northern Chile. For the synthetic tests we report results for cases with varying complexity, including rates of 500 earthquakes/day and 500 false arrivals/station/day, for which we measure true positive detection accuracy of > 95%. For the real data we develop a new catalog between January 1, 2010 - December 31, 2017 containing 817,548 earthquakes, with detection rates on average 279 earthquakes/day, and a magnitude-of-completion of ~M1.8. A subset of detections are identified as sources related to quarry and industrial site activity, and we also detect thousands of foreshocks and aftershocks of the April 1, 2014 Mw 8.2 Iquique earthquake. During the highest rates of aftershock activity, > 600 earthquakes/day are detected in the vicinity of the Iquique earthquake rupture zone

Multiple Instance Learning: A Survey of Problem Characteristics and Applications

Multiple instance learning (MIL) is a form of weakly supervised learning where training instances are arranged in sets, called bags, and a label is provided for the entire bag. This formulation is gaining interest because it naturally fits various problems and allows to leverage weakly labeled data. Consequently, it has been used in diverse application fields such as computer vision and document classification. However, learning from bags raises important challenges that are unique to MIL. This paper provides a comprehensive survey of the characteristics which define and differentiate the types of MIL problems. Until now, these problem characteristics have not been formally identified and described. As a result, the variations in performance of MIL algorithms from one data set to another are difficult to explain. In this paper, MIL problem characteristics are grouped into four broad categories: the composition of the bags, the types of data distribution, the ambiguity of instance labels, and the task to be performed. Methods specialized to address each category are reviewed. Then, the extent to which these characteristics manifest themselves in key MIL application areas are described. Finally, experiments are conducted to compare the performance of 16 state-of-the-art MIL methods on selected problem characteristics. This paper provides insight on how the problem characteristics affect MIL algorithms, recommendations for future benchmarking and promising avenues for research

One-Class Classification: Taxonomy of Study and Review of Techniques

One-class classification (OCC) algorithms aim to build classification models when the negative class is either absent, poorly sampled or not well defined. This unique situation constrains the learning of efficient classifiers by defining class boundary just with the knowledge of positive class. The OCC problem has been considered and applied under many research themes, such as outlier/novelty detection and concept learning. In this paper we present a unified view of the general problem of OCC by presenting a taxonomy of study for OCC problems, which is based on the availability of training data, algorithms used and the application domains applied. We further delve into each of the categories of the proposed taxonomy and present a comprehensive literature review of the OCC algorithms, techniques and methodologies with a focus on their significance, limitations and applications. We conclude our paper by discussing some open research problems in the field of OCC and present our vision for future research.Comment: 24 pages + 11 pages of references, 8 figure

User-centered visual analysis using a hybrid reasoning architecture for intensive care units

One problem pertaining to Intensive Care Unit information systems is that, in some cases, a very dense display of data can result. To ensure the overview and readability of the increasing volumes of data, some special features are required (e.g., data prioritization, clustering, and selection mechanisms) with the application of analytical methods (e.g., temporal data abstraction, principal component analysis, and detection of events). This paper addresses the problem of improving the integration of the visual and analytical methods applied to medical monitoring systems. We present a knowledge- and machine learning-based approach to support the knowledge discovery process with appropriate analytical and visual methods. Its potential benefit to the development of user interfaces for intelligent monitors that can assist with the detection and explanation of new, potentially threatening medical events. The proposed hybrid reasoning architecture provides an interactive graphical user interface to adjust the parameters of the analytical methods based on the users' task at hand. The action sequences performed on the graphical user interface by the user are consolidated in a dynamic knowledge base with specific hybrid reasoning that integrates symbolic and connectionist approaches. These sequences of expert knowledge acquisition can be very efficient for making easier knowledge emergence during a similar experience and positively impact the monitoring of critical situations. The provided graphical user interface incorporating a user-centered visual analysis is exploited to facilitate the natural and effective representation of clinical information for patient care

Artificial intelligence for digital twins in energy systems and turbomachinery: development of machine learning frameworks for design, optimization and maintenance

The expression Industry4.0 identifies a new industrial paradigm that includes the development of Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS) and Digital Twins promoting the use of Big-Data, Internet of Things (IoT) and Artificial Intelligence (AI) tools. Digital Twins aims to build a dynamic environment in which, with the help of vertical, horizontal and end-to-end integration among industrial processes, smart technologies can communicate and exchange data to analyze and solve production problems, increase productivity and provide cost, time and energy savings. Specifically in the energy systems field, the introduction of AI technologies can lead to significant improvements in both machine design and optimization and maintenance procedures. Over the past decade, data from engineering processes have grown in scale. In fact, the use of more technologically sophisticated sensors and the increase in available computing power have enabled both experimental measurements and highresolution numerical simulations, making available an enormous amount of data on the performance of energy systems. Therefore, to build a Digital Twin model capable of exploring these unorganized data pools collected from massive and heterogeneous resources, new Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning strategies need to be developed. In light of the exponential growth in the use of smart technologies in manufacturing processes, this thesis aims at enhancing traditional approaches to the design, analysis, and optimization phases of turbomachinery and energy systems, which today are still predominantly based on empirical procedures or computationally intensive CFD-based optimizations. This improvement is made possible by the implementation of Digital Twins models, which, being based primarily on the use of Machine Learning that exploits performance Big-Data collected from energy systems, are acknowledged as crucial technologies to remain competitive in the dynamic energy production landscape. The introduction of Digital Twin models changes the overall structure of design and maintenance approaches and results in modern support tools that facilitate real-time informed decision making. In addition, the introduction of supervised learning algorithms facilitates the exploration of the design space by providing easy-to-run analytical models, which can also be used as cost functions in multi-objective optimization problems, avoiding the need for time-consuming numerical simulations or experimental campaings. Unsupervised learning methods can be applied, for example, to extract new insights from turbomachinery performance data and improve designers’ understanding of blade-flow interaction. Alternatively, Artificial Intelligence frameworks can be developed for Condition-Based Maintenance, allowing the transition from preventive to predictive maintenance. This thesis can be conceptually divided into two parts. The first reviews the state of the art of Cyber-Physical Systems and Digital Twins, highlighting the crucial role of Artificial Intelligence in supporting informed decision making during the design, optimization, and maintenance phases of energy systems. The second part covers the development of Machine Learning strategies to improve the classical approach to turbomachinery design and maintenance strategies for energy systems by exploiting data from numerical simulations, experimental campaigns, and sensor datasets (SCADA). The different Machine Learning approaches adopted include clustering algorithms, regression algorithms and dimensionality reduction techniques: Autoencoder and Principal Component Analysis. A first work shows the potential of unsupervised learning approaches (clustering algorithms) in exploring a Design of Experiment of 76 numerical simulations for turbomachinery design purposes. The second work takes advantage of a nonsequential experimental dataset, measured on a rotating turbine rig characterized by 48 blades divided into 7 sectors that share the same baseline rotor geometry but have different tip designs, to infer and dissect the causal relationship among different tip geometries and unsteady aero-thermodynamic performance via a novel Machine-Learning procedure based on dimensionality reduction techniques. The last application proposes a new anomaly detection framework for gensets in DH networks, based on SCADA data that exploits and compares the performance of regression algorithms such as XGBoost and Multi-layer Perceptron

Digital Forensics AI: Evaluating, Standardizing and Optimizing Digital Evidence Mining Techniques

The impact of AI on numerous sectors of our society and its successes over the years indicate that it can assist in resolving a variety of complex digital forensics investigative problems. Forensics analysis can make use of machine learning models’ pattern detection and recognition capabilities to uncover hidden evidence in digital artifacts that would have been missed if conducted manually. Numerous works have proposed ways for applying AI to digital forensics; nevertheless, scepticism regarding the opacity of AI has impeded the domain’s adequate formalization and standardization. We present three critical instruments necessary for the development of sound machine-driven digital forensics methodologies in this paper. We cover various methods for evaluating, standardizing, and optimizing techniques applicable to artificial intelligence models used in digital forensics. Additionally, we describe several applications of these instruments in digital forensics, emphasizing their strengths and weaknesses that may be critical to the methods’ admissibility in a judicial process