26 research outputs found
Impact of Forecast Errors on Expansion Planning of Power Systems with a Renewables Target
This paper analyzes the impact of production forecast errors on the expansion
planning of a power system and investigates the influence of market design to
facilitate the integration of renewable generation. For this purpose, we
propose a stochastic programming modeling framework to determine the expansion
plan that minimizes system-wide investment and operating costs, while ensuring
a given share of renewable generation in the electricity supply. Unlike
existing ones, this framework includes both a day-ahead and a balancing market
so as to capture the impact of both production forecasts and the associated
prediction errors. Within this framework, we consider two paradigmatic market
designs that essentially differ in whether the day-ahead generation schedule
and the subsequent balancing re-dispatch are co-optimized or not. The main
features and results of the model set-ups are discussed using an illustrative
four-node example and a more realistic 24-node case study
A robust optimisation approach using CVaR for unit commitment in a market with probabilistic offers
The large scale integration of renewable energy sources (RES) challenges power system planners and operators alike as it can potentially introduce the need for costly investments in infrastructure. Furthermore, traditional market clearing mechanisms are no longer optimal due to the stochastic nature of RES. This paper presents a risk-aware market clearing strategy for a network with significant shares of RES.We propose an electricity market that embeds the uncertainty brought by wind power and other stochastic renewable sources by accepting probabilistic offers and use a risk measure defined by conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) to evaluate the risk of high re-dispatching cost due to the mis-estimation of renewable energy. The proposed model is simulated on a 39-bus network, whereby it is shown that significant reductions can be achieved by properly managing the risks of mis-estimation of stochastic generation