Widely Linear State Space Filtering of Improper Complex Signals

Complex signals are the backbone of many modern applications, such as power systems, communication systems, biomedical sciences and military technologies. However, standard complex valued signal processing approaches are suited to only a subset of complex signals known as proper, and are inadequate of the generality of complex signals, as they do not fully exploit the available information. This is mainly due to the inherent blindness of the algorithms to the complete second order statistics of the signals, or due to under-modelling of the underlying system. The aim of this thesis is to provide enhanced complex valued, state space based, signal processing solutions for the generality of complex signals and systems. This is achieved based on the recent advances in the so called augmented complex statistics and widely linear modelling, which have brought to light the limitations of conventional statistical complex signal processing approaches. Exploiting these developments, we propose a class of widely linear adaptive state space estimation techniques, which provide a unified framework and enhanced performance for the generality of complex signals, compared with conventional approaches. These include the linear and nonlinear Kalman and particle filters, whereby it is shown that catering for the complete second order information and system models leads to significant performance gains. The proposed techniques are also extended to the case of cooperative distributed estimation, where nodes in a network collaborate locally to estimate signals, under a framework that caters for general complex signals, as well as the cross-correlations between observation noises, unlike earlier solutions. The analysis of the algorithms are supported by numerous case studies, including frequency estimation in three phase power systems, DIFAR sonobuoy underwater target tracking, and real-world wind modeling and prediction.Open Acces

Detection of time reversibility in time series by ordinal patterns analysis

Time irreversibility is a common signature of nonlinear processes, and a fundamental property of non-equilibrium systems driven by non-conservative forces. A time series is said to be reversible if its statistical properties are invariant regardless of the direction of time. Here we propose the Time Reversibility from Ordinal Patterns method (TiROP) to assess time-reversibility from an observed finite time series. TiROP captures the information of scalar observations in time forward, as well as its time-reversed counterpart by means of ordinal patterns. The method compares both underlying information contents by quantifying its (dis)-similarity via Jensen-Shannon divergence. The statistic is contrasted with a population of divergences coming from a set of surrogates to unveil the temporal nature and its involved time scales. We tested TiROP in different synthetic and real, linear and non linear time series, juxtaposed with results from the classical Ramsey's time reversibility test. Our results depict a novel, fast-computation, and fully data-driven methodology to assess time-reversibility at different time scales with no further assumptions over data. This approach adds new insights about the current non-linear analysis techniques, and also could shed light on determining new physiological biomarkers of high reliability and computational efficiency.Comment: 8 pages, 5 figures, 1 tabl

Forecasting high waters at Venice Lagoon using chaotic time series analisys and nonlinear neural netwoks

Time series analysis using nonlinear dynamics systems theory and multilayer neural networks models have been applied to the time sequence of water level data recorded every hour at 'Punta della Salute' from Venice Lagoon during the years 1980-1994. The first method is based on the reconstruction of the state space attractor using time delay embedding vectors and on the characterisation of invariant properties which define its dynamics. The results suggest the existence of a low dimensional chaotic attractor with a Lyapunov dimension, DL, of around 6.6 and a predictability between 8 and 13 hours ahead. Furthermore, once the attractor has been reconstructed it is possible to make predictions by mapping local-neighbourhood to local-neighbourhood in the reconstructed phase space. To compare the prediction results with another nonlinear method, two nonlinear autoregressive models (NAR) based on multilayer feedforward neural networks have been developed. From the study, it can be observed that nonlinear forecasting produces adequate results for the 'normal' dynamic behaviour of the water level of Venice Lagoon, outperforming linear algorithms, however, both methods fail to forecast the 'high water' phenomenon more than 2-3 hours ahead.Publicad

Power Spectra of X-ray Binaries

The interpretation of Fourier spectra in the time domain is critically examined. Power density spectra defined and calculated in the time domain are compared with Fourier spectra in the frequency domain for three different types of variability: periodic signals, Markov processes and random shots. The power density spectra for a sample of neutron stars and black hole binaries are analyzed in both the time and the frequency domains. For broadband noise, the two kinds of power spectrum in accreting neutron stars are usually consistent with each other, but the time domain power spectra for black hole candidates are significantly higher than corresponding Fourier spectra in the high frequency range (10--1000 Hz). Comparing the two kinds of power density spectra may help to probe the intrinsic nature of timing phenomena in compact objects.Comment: 21 pages, 10 figures, to appear in Astrophysical Journa