25 research outputs found

    The effect of Shengmai injection in patients with coronary heart disease in real world and its personalized medicine research using machine learning techniques

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    Objective: Shengmai injection is a common treatment for coronary heart disease. The accurate dose regimen is important to maximize effectiveness and minimize adverse reactions. We aim to explore the effect of Shengmai injection in patients with coronary heart disease based on real-world data and establish a personalized medicine model using machine learning and deep learning techniques.Methods: 211 patients were enrolled. The length of hospital stay was used to explore the effect of Shengmai injection in a case-control study. We applied propensity score matching to reduce bias and Wilcoxon rank sum test to compare results between the experimental group and the control group. Important variables influencing the dose regimen of Shengmai injection were screened by XGBoost. A personalized medicine model of Shengmai injection was established by XGBoost selected from nine algorithm models. SHapley Additive exPlanations and confusion matrix were used to interpret the results clinically.Results: Patients using Shengmai injection had shorter length of hospital stay than those not using Shengmai injection (median 10.00 days vs. 11.00 days, p = 0.006). The personalized medicine model established via XGBoost shows accuracy = 0.81 and AUC = 0.87 in test cohort and accuracy = 0.84 and AUC = 0.84 in external verification. The important variables influencing the dose regimen of Shengmai injection include lipid-lowering drugs, platelet-lowering drugs, levels of GGT, hemoglobin, prealbumin, and cholesterol at admission. Finally, the personalized model shows precision = 75%, recall rate = 83% and F1-score = 79% for predicting 40 mg of Shengmai injection; and precision = 86%, recall rate = 79% and F1-score = 83% for predicting 60 mg of Shengmai injection.Conclusion: This study provides evidence supporting the clinical effectiveness of Shengmai injection, and established its personalized medicine model, which may help clinicians make better decisions

    Cultivating historical heritage area vitality using urban morphology approach based on big data and machine learning

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    The conservation of historical heritage can bring social benefits to cities by promoting community economic development and societal creativity. In the early stages of historical heritage conservation, the focus was on the museum-style concept for individual structures. At present, heritage area vitality is often adopted as a general conservation method to increase the vibrancy of such areas. However, it remains unclear whether urban morphological elements suitable for urban areas can be applied to heritage areas. This study uses ridge regression and LightGBM with multi-source big geospatial data to explore whether urban morphological elements that affect the vitality of heritage and urban areas are consistent or have different spatial distributions and daily variations. From a sample of 12 Chinese cities, our analysis shows the following results. First, factors affecting urban vitality differ from those influencing heritage areas. Second, factors influencing urban and heritage areas' vitality have diurnal variations and differ across cities. The overarching contribution of this study is to propose a quantitative and replicable framework for heritage adaptation, combining urban morphology and vitality measures derived from big geospatial data. This study also extends the understanding of forms of heritage areas and provides theoretical support for heritage conservation, urban construction, and economic development

    Aplicaciones en Economía del Aprendizaje Automático

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    Tesis inédita de la Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, leída el 06-05-2022This Thesis examines problems in economics from a Machine Learning perspective. Emphasisis given on the interpretability of Machine Learning algorithms as opposed to blackbox predictions models. Chapter 1 provides an overview of the terminology and Machine Learning methods used throughout this Thesis. This chapter aims to build a roadmap from simple decision tree models to more advanced ensemble boosted algorithms. Other Machine Learning models are also explained. A discussion of the advances in Machine Learning in economics is also provided along with some of the pitfalls that Machine Learning faces. Moreover, an example of how Shapley values from coalition game theory are used to help infer inference from the Machine Learning models' predictions. Chapter 2 analyses the problem of bankruptcy prediction in the Spanish economy and how Machine Learning, not only provides more predictive accuracy, but can also provide adierent interpretation of the results that traditional econometric models cannot. Several financial ratios are constructed and passed to a series of Machine Learning algorithms. Case studies are provided which may aid in better decision-making from financial institutions. A section containing supplementary material based on further analysis is also provided...Este Tesis examina problemas en economía desde la perspectiva de Aprendizaje Mecánico. Se hace hincapié en la interpretabilidad de los algoritmos de Aprendizaje Mecánico en lugar de modelos de predicción de black-box. Capítulo 1 Proporciona el resumen de la terminología y los métodos de Aprendizaje Mecánico utilizados a lo largo de esta tesis. El objetivo de este capítulo es construir la trayectoria desde un simple árbol de decisión hasta algoritmos impulsados por conjuntos más avanzados. También se explican otros modelos de Machine Learning. Asimismo, se proporciona una discusión de los avances en el Aprendizaje Mecánico en economía junto con algunos de los escollos que enfrenta el aprendizaje automático. Además, un ejemplo sobre cómo se utilizan los valores de Shapley de coalición de teoría de juegos y muestran cómo se puede tomar inferencia de los modelos de predicción. Capítulo 2 Analiza el problema de la predicción de quiebra en la economía española y cómo Aprendizaje Mecánico, no sólo proporciona una mayor precisión predictiva, sino que también puede proporcionar una interpretación diferente de los resultados en la que los modelos econométricos tradicionales no pueden. Se construyen una serie de ratios financieros y se pasan a una serie de algoritmos de Aprendizaje Mecánico. Se proporcionan estudios de casos que pueden ayudar a mejorar la toma de decisiones por parte de las instituciones financieras. También se proporciona una sección que contiene material complementario basado en un análisis más detallado...Fac. de Ciencias Económicas y EmpresarialesTRUEunpu

    Prevention and Management of Frailty

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    It is important to prevent and manage the frailty of the elderly because their muscle strength and physical activity decrease in old age, making them prone to falling, depression, and social isolation. In the end, they need to be admitted to a hospital or a nursing home. When successful aging fails and motor ability declines due to illness, malnutrition, or reduced activity, frailty eventually occurs. Once frailty occurs, people with frailty do not have the power to exercise or the power to move. The functions of the heart and muscles are deteriorated more rapidly when they are not used. Consequently, frailty goes through a vicious cycle. As one’s physical fitness is deteriorated, the person has less power to exercise, poorer cognitive functions, and inferior nutrition intake. Consequently, the whole body of the person deteriorates. Therefore, in addition to observational studies to identify risk factors for preventing aging, various intervention studies have been conducted to develop exercise programs and apply them to communities, hospitals, and nursing homes for helping the elderly maintain healthy lives. Until now, most aging studies have focused on physical frailty. However, social frailty and cognitive frailty affect senile health negatively just as much as physical frailty. Nevertheless, little is known about social frailty and cognitive frailty. This special issue includes original experimental studies, reviews, systematic reviews, and meta-analysis studies on the prevention of senescence (physical senescence, cognitive senescence, social senescence), high-risk group detection, differentiation, and intervention

    Clinical microbiology with multi-view deep probabilistic models

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    Clinical microbiology is one of the critical topics of this century. Identification and discrimination of microorganisms is considered a global public health threat by the main international health organisations, such as World Health Organisation (WHO) or the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC). Rapid spread, high morbidity and mortality, as well as the economic burden associated with their treatment and control are the main causes of their impact. Discrimination of microorganisms is crucial for clinical applications, for instance, Clostridium difficile (C. diff ) increases the mortality and morbidity of healthcare-related infections. Furthermore, in the past two decades, other bacteria, including Klebsiella pneumoniae (K. pneumonia), have demonstrated a significant propensity to acquire antibiotic resistance mechanisms. Consequently, the use of an ineffective antibiotic may result in mortality. Machine Learning (ML) has the potential to be applied in the clinical microbiology field to automatise current methodologies and provide more efficient guided personalised treatments. However, microbiological data are challenging to exploit owing to the presence of a heterogeneous mix of data types, such as real-valued high-dimensional data, categorical indicators, multilabel epidemiological data, binary targets, or even time-series data representations. This problem, which in the field of ML is known as multi-view or multi-modal representation learning, has been studied in other application fields such as mental health monitoring or haematology. Multi-view learning combines different modalities or views representing the same data to extract richer insights and improve understanding. Each modality or view corresponds to a distinct encoding mechanism for the data, and this dissertation specifically addresses the issue of heterogeneity across multiple views. In the probabilistic ML field, the exploitation of multi-view learning is also known as Bayesian Factor Analysis (FA). Current solutions face limitations when handling high-dimensional data and non-linear associations. Recent research proposes deep probabilistic methods to learn hierarchical representations of the data, which can capture intricate non-linear relationships between features. However, some Deep Learning (DL) techniques rely on complicated representations, which can hinder the interpretation of the outcomes. In addition, some inference methods used in DL approaches can be computationally burdensome, which can hinder their practical application in real-world situations. Therefore, there is a demand for more interpretable, explainable, and computationally efficient techniques for highdimensional data. By combining multiple views representing the same information, such as genomic, proteomic, and epidemiologic data, multi-modal representation learning could provide a better understanding of the microbial world. Hence, in this dissertation, the development of two deep probabilistic models, that can handle current limitations in state-of-the-art of clinical microbiology, are proposed. Moreover, both models are also tested in two real scenarios regarding antibiotic resistance prediction in K. pneumoniae and automatic ribotyping of C. diff in collaboration with the Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria Gregorio Marañón (IISGM) and the Instituto Ramón y Cajal de Investigación Sanitaria (IRyCIS). The first presented algorithm is the Kernelised Sparse Semi-supervised Heterogeneous Interbattery Bayesian Analysis (SSHIBA). This algorithm uses a kernelised formulation to handle non-linear data relationships while providing compact representations through the automatic selection of relevant vectors. Additionally, it uses an Automatic Relevance Determination (ARD) over the kernel to determine the input feature relevance functionality. Then, it is tailored and applied to the microbiological laboratories of the IISGM and IRyCIS to predict antibiotic resistance in K. pneumoniae. To do so, specific kernels that handle Matrix-Assisted Laser Desorption Ionization (MALDI)-Time-Of-Flight (TOF) mass spectrometry of bacteria are used. Moreover, by exploiting the multi-modal learning between the spectra and epidemiological information, it outperforms other state-of-the-art algorithms. Presented results demonstrate the importance of heterogeneous models that can analyse epidemiological information and can automatically be adjusted for different data distributions. The implementation of this method in microbiological laboratories could significantly reduce the time required to obtain resistance results in 24-72 hours and, moreover, improve patient outcomes. The second algorithm is a hierarchical Variational AutoEncoder (VAE) for heterogeneous data using an explainable FA latent space, called FA-VAE. The FA-VAE model is built on the foundation of the successful KSSHIBA approach for dealing with semi-supervised heterogeneous multi-view problems. This approach further expands the range of data domains it can handle. With the ability to work with a wide range of data types, including multilabel, continuous, binary, categorical, and even image data, the FA-VAE model offers a versatile and powerful solution for real-world data sets, depending on the VAE architecture. Additionally, this model is adapted and used in the microbiological laboratory of IISGM, resulting in an innovative technique for automatic ribotyping of C. diff, using MALDI-TOF data. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first demonstration of using any kind of ML for C. diff ribotyping. Experiments have been conducted on strains of Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañón (HGUGM) to evaluate the viability of the proposed approach. The results have demonstrated high accuracy rates where KSSHIBA even achieved perfect accuracy in the first data collection. These models have also been tested in a real-life outbreak scenario at the HGUGM, where successful classification of all outbreak samples has been achieved by FAVAE. The presented results have not only shown high accuracy in predicting each strain’s ribotype but also revealed an explainable latent space. Furthermore, traditional ribotyping methods, which rely on PCR, required 7 days while FA-VAE has predicted equal results on the same day. This improvement has significantly reduced the time response by helping in the decision-making of isolating patients with hyper-virulent ribotypes of C. diff on the same day of infection. The promising results, obtained in a real outbreak, have provided a solid foundation for further advancements in the field. This study has been a crucial stepping stone towards realising the full potential of MALDI-TOF for bacterial ribotyping and advancing our ability to tackle bacterial outbreaks. In conclusion, this doctoral thesis has significantly contributed to the field of Bayesian FA by addressing its drawbacks in handling various data types through the creation of novel models, namely KSSHIBA and FA-VAE. Additionally, a comprehensive analysis of the limitations of automating laboratory procedures in the microbiology field has been carried out. The shown effectiveness of the newly developed models has been demonstrated through their successful implementation in critical problems, such as predicting antibiotic resistance and automating ribotyping. As a result, KSSHIBA and FA-VAE, both in terms of their technical and practical contributions, signify noteworthy progress both in the clinical and the Bayesian statistics fields. This dissertation opens up possibilities for future advancements in automating microbiological laboratories.La microbiología clínica es uno de los temas críticos de este siglo. La identificación y discriminación de microorganismos se considera una amenaza mundial para la salud pública por parte de las principales organizaciones internacionales de salud, como la Organización Mundial de la Salud (OMS) o el Centro Europeo para la Prevención y Control de Enfermedades (ECDC). La rápida propagación, alta morbilidad y mortalidad, así como la carga económica asociada con su tratamiento y control, son las principales causas de su impacto. La discriminación de microorganismos es crucial para aplicaciones clínicas, como el caso de Clostridium difficile (C. diff ), el cual aumenta la mortalidad y morbilidad de las infecciones relacionadas con la atención médica. Además, en las últimas dos décadas, otros tipos de bacterias, incluyendo Klebsiella pneumoniae (K. pneumonia), han demostrado una propensión significativa a adquirir mecanismos de resistencia a los antibióticos. En consecuencia, el uso de un antibiótico ineficaz puede resultar en un aumento de la mortalidad. El aprendizaje automático (ML) tiene el potencial de ser aplicado en el campo de la microbiología clínica para automatizar las metodologías actuales y proporcionar tratamientos personalizados más eficientes y guiados. Sin embargo, los datos microbiológicos son difíciles de explotar debido a la presencia de una mezcla heterogénea de tipos de datos, tales como datos reales de alta dimensionalidad, indicadores categóricos, datos epidemiológicos multietiqueta, objetivos binarios o incluso series temporales. Este problema, conocido en el campo del aprendizaje automático (ML) como aprendizaje multimodal o multivista, ha sido estudiado en otras áreas de aplicación, como en el monitoreo de la salud mental o la hematología. El aprendizaje multivista combina diferentes modalidades o vistas que representan los mismos datos para extraer conocimientos más ricos y mejorar la comprensión. Cada vista corresponde a un mecanismo de codificación distinto para los datos, y esta tesis aborda particularmente el problema de la heterogeneidad multivista. En el campo del aprendizaje automático probabilístico, la explotación del aprendizaje multivista también se conoce como Análisis de Factores (FA) Bayesianos. Las soluciones actuales enfrentan limitaciones al manejar datos de alta dimensionalidad y correlaciones no lineales. Investigaciones recientes proponen métodos probabilísticos profundos para aprender representaciones jerárquicas de los datos, que pueden capturar relaciones no lineales intrincadas entre características. Sin embargo, algunas técnicas de aprendizaje profundo (DL) se basan en representaciones complejas, dificultando así la interpretación de los resultados. Además, algunos métodos de inferencia utilizados en DL pueden ser computacionalmente costosos, obstaculizando su aplicación práctica. Por lo tanto, existe una demanda de técnicas más interpretables, explicables y computacionalmente eficientes para datos de alta dimensionalidad. Al combinar múltiples vistas que representan la misma información, como datos genómicos, proteómicos y epidemiológicos, el aprendizaje multimodal podría proporcionar una mejor comprensión del mundo microbiano. Dicho lo cual, en esta tesis se proponen el desarrollo de dos modelos probabilísticos profundos que pueden manejar las limitaciones actuales en el estado del arte de la microbiología clínica. Además, ambos modelos también se someten a prueba en dos escenarios reales relacionados con la predicción de resistencia a los antibióticos en K. pneumoniae y el ribotipado automático de C. diff en colaboración con el IISGM y el IRyCIS. El primer algoritmo presentado es Kernelised Sparse Semi-supervised Heterogeneous Interbattery Bayesian Analysis (SSHIBA). Este algoritmo utiliza una formulación kernelizada para manejar correlaciones no lineales proporcionando representaciones compactas a través de la selección automática de vectores relevantes. Además, utiliza un Automatic Relevance Determination (ARD) sobre el kernel para determinar la relevancia de las características de entrada. Luego, se adapta y aplica a los laboratorios microbiológicos del IISGM y IRyCIS para predecir la resistencia a antibióticos en K. pneumoniae. Para ello, se utilizan kernels específicos que manejan la espectrometría de masas Matrix-Assisted Laser Desorption Ionization (MALDI)-Time-Of-Flight (TOF) de bacterias. Además, al aprovechar el aprendizaje multimodal entre los espectros y la información epidemiológica, supera a otros algoritmos de última generación. Los resultados presentados demuestran la importancia de los modelos heterogéneos ya que pueden analizar la información epidemiológica y ajustarse automáticamente para diferentes distribuciones de datos. La implementación de este método en laboratorios microbiológicos podría reducir significativamente el tiempo requerido para obtener resultados de resistencia en 24-72 horas y, además, mejorar los resultados para los pacientes. El segundo algoritmo es un modelo jerárquico de Variational AutoEncoder (VAE) para datos heterogéneos que utiliza un espacio latente con un FA explicativo, llamado FA-VAE. El modelo FA-VAE se construye sobre la base del enfoque de KSSHIBA para tratar problemas semi-supervisados multivista. Esta propuesta amplía aún más el rango de dominios que puede manejar incluyendo multietiqueta, continuos, binarios, categóricos e incluso imágenes. De esta forma, el modelo FA-VAE ofrece una solución versátil y potente para conjuntos de datos realistas, dependiendo de la arquitectura del VAE. Además, este modelo es adaptado y utilizado en el laboratorio microbiológico del IISGM, lo que resulta en una técnica innovadora para el ribotipado automático de C. diff utilizando datos MALDI-TOF. Hasta donde sabemos, esta es la primera demostración del uso de cualquier tipo de ML para el ribotipado de C. diff. Se han realizado experimentos en cepas del Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañón (HGUGM) para evaluar la viabilidad de la técnica propuesta. Los resultados han demostrado altas tasas de precisión donde KSSHIBA incluso logró una clasificación perfecta en la primera colección de datos. Estos modelos también se han probado en un brote real en el HGUGM, donde FA-VAE logró clasificar con éxito todas las muestras del mismo. Los resultados presentados no solo han demostrado una alta precisión en la predicción del ribotipo de cada cepa, sino que también han revelado un espacio latente explicativo. Además, los métodos tradicionales de ribotipado, que dependen de PCR, requieren 7 días para obtener resultados mientras que FA-VAE ha predicho resultados correctos el mismo día del brote. Esta mejora ha reducido significativamente el tiempo de respuesta ayudando así en la toma de decisiones para aislar a los pacientes con ribotipos hipervirulentos de C. diff el mismo día de la infección. Los resultados prometedores, obtenidos en un brote real, han sentado las bases para nuevos avances en el campo. Este estudio ha sido un paso crucial hacia el despliegue del pleno potencial de MALDI-TOF para el ribotipado bacteriana avanzado así nuestra capacidad para abordar brotes bacterianos. En conclusión, esta tesis doctoral ha contribuido significativamente al campo del FA Bayesiano al abordar sus limitaciones en el manejo de tipos de datos heterogéneos a través de la creación de modelos noveles, concretamente, KSSHIBA y FA-VAE. Además, se ha llevado a cabo un análisis exhaustivo de las limitaciones de la automatización de procedimientos de laboratorio en el campo de la microbiología. La efectividad de los nuevos modelos, en este campo, se ha demostrado a través de su implementación exitosa en problemas críticos, como la predicción de resistencia a los antibióticos y la automatización del ribotipado. Como resultado, KSSHIBA y FAVAE, tanto en términos de sus contribuciones técnicas como prácticas, representan un progreso notable tanto en los campos clínicos como en la estadística Bayesiana. Esta disertación abre posibilidades para futuros avances en la automatización de laboratorios microbiológicos.Programa de Doctorado en Multimedia y Comunicaciones por la Universidad Carlos III de Madrid y la Universidad Rey Juan CarlosPresidente: Juan José Murillo Fuentes.- Secretario: Jerónimo Arenas García.- Vocal: María de las Mercedes Marín Arriaz

    Vincristine-Induced Peripheral Neuropathy: Assessing Preventable Strategies in Paediatric Acute Lymphoblastic Leukaemia

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    Background: Acute Lymphoblastic Leukaemia is the most common cancer experienced by children with overall survival rates now exceeding 90%. However, most children will experience vincristine-induced peripheral neuropathy (VIPN) during treatment resulting in sensory-motor abnormalities. To date, there are no approved preventative therapeutics or mitigation strategies for VIPN. This body of work set out to: (1) establish a high-throughput and high-content assay with the capacity to identify neuroprotective compounds, (2) test the feasibility of repurposing olesoxime as a neuroprotectant, and (3) compare traditional statistical methods with machine learning models to identify patients at risk of VIPN. Methods: (1) In vitro neuronal cultures were exposed to vincristine to recapitulate the VIPN phenotype and olesoxime assessed as a positive control. The neurotoxicity assay was miniaturised in 384-well microplates with automation steps to reduce manual handling. (2) Olesoxime and vincristine were applied to proliferating malignant cell lines to ensure the efficacy of vincristine was maintained. (3) Machine learning algorithms were developed using data from a local retrospective cohort to predict VIPN. Results: (1) Neurite length was reduced in a dose-responsive manner with vincristine. Assay miniaturisation and automation steps helped facilitate a high-throughput workflow. An optimised multiplexed dye solution enabled image acquisition and neurite quantification. Further, olesoxime was found to protect neurites and deemed suitable as a positive control (2) Cell viability assays confirmed olesoxime did not interfere with vincristine efficacy in leukemia cells. (3) Machine learning algorithms showed equivalency to traditional univariate analysis. The observation of severe class imbalance meant that patients who were least susceptible to VIPN could be identified. Conclusions: This body of work demonstrates the successful development of a neurotoxicity assay suitable for neuroprotectant drug discovery. Olesoxime was found suitable as a positive control in the assay. Further, viability studies indicated that vincristine retains it efficacy with olesoxime, opening the possibility of its use as an adjunctive therapy. Finally, this work developed machine learning models with the capacity to identify patients with VIPN-free survival. The utility of this model may mean that it can be used to stratify patients prospectively in the clinic based on favourable clinical features

    Vision-based estimation of volume status in ultrasound

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    This thesis provides a proof-of-concept approach to the analysis of ultrasound imagery using machine learning and computer vision for the purposes of tracking relative changes in apparent circulating blood volume. Data for the models was collected from a simulation which involved having healthy subjects recline at angles between 0 and 90 degrees to induce changes in the size of the internal jugular vein (IJV) resulting from gravity. Ultrasound video clips were then captured of the IJV. The clips were segmented, followed by feature generation, feature selection and training of predictive models to determine the angle of inclination. This research provides insight into the feasibility of using automated analysis techniques to enhance portable ultrasound as a monitoring tool. In a dataset of 34 subjects the angle was predicted within 11 degrees. An accuracy of 89% was achieved for high/low classification
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