Measuring voting power in convex policy spaces

Classical power index analysis considers the individual's ability to influence the aggregated group decision by changing its own vote, where all decisions and votes are assumed to be binary. In many practical applications we have more options than either "yes" or "no". Here we generalize three important power indices to continuous convex policy spaces. This allows the analysis of a collection of economic problems like e.g. tax rates or spending that otherwise would not be covered in binary models.Comment: 31 pages, 9 table

BARGAINING, VOTING, AND VALUE

This paper addresses the following issue: If a set of agents bargain on a set of feasible alternatives 'in the shadow' of a voting rule, that is, any agreement can be enforced if a 'winning coalition' supports it, what general agreements are likely to arise? In other words: What influence can the voting rule used to settle (possibly non-unanimous) agreements have on the outcome of negotiations? To give an answer we model the situation as an extension of the Nash bargaining problem in which an arbitrary voting rule replaces unanimity to settle agreements by n players. This provides a setting in which a natural extension of Nash's solution is obtained axiomatically. Two extensions admitting randomization on voting rules based on two informational scenarios are considered.Bargaining, voting, value, bargaining in committees.

POTENTIAL, VALUE AND PROBABILITY

This paper focuses on the probabilistic point of view and proposes a extremely simple probabilistic model that provides a single and simple story to account for several extensions of the Shapley value, as weighted Shapley values, semivalues, and weak (weighted or not) semivalues, and the Shapley value itself. Moreover, some of the most interesting conditions or notions that have been introduced in the search of alternatives to Shapley's seminal characterization, as 'balanced contributions' and the 'potential', are reinterpreted from this same point of view. In this new light these notions and some results lose their 'mystery' and acquire a clear and simple meaning. These illuminating reinterpretations strongly vindicate the complementariness of the probabilistic and the axiomatic approaches, and shed serious doubts about the achievements of the axiomatic approach since Nash's and Shapley's seminal papers in connection with the genuine notion of value.Coalition games, value, potential

- SHAPLEY-SHUBIK AND BANZHAF INDICES REVISITED.

We provide a new axiomatization of the Shapley-Shubik and the Banzhaf power indices in thedomain of simple superadditive games by means of transparent axioms. Only anonymity isshared with the former characterizations in the literature. The rest of the axioms are substitutedby more transparent ones in terms of power in collective decision-making procedures. Inparticular, a clear restatement and a compelling alternative for the transfer axiom are proposed.Only one axiom differentiates the characterization of either index, and these differentiatingaxioms provide a new point of comparison. In a first step both indices are characterized up to azero and a unit of scale. Then both indices are singled out by simple normalizing axioms.Power indices, voting power, collective decision-making, simple games

A model of influence with an ordered set of possible actions

In the paper, a yes-no model of influence is generalized to a multi-choice framework. We introduce and study weighted influence indices of a coalition on a player in a social network, where players have an ordered set of possible actions. Each player has an inclination to choose one of the actions. Due to mutual influence among players, the final decision of each player may be different from his original inclination. In a particular case, the decision of the player is closer to the inclination of the influencing coalition than his inclination was, i.e., the distance between the inclinations of the player and of the coalition is greater than the distance between the decision of the player and the inclination of the coalition in question. The weighted influence index which captures such a case is called the weighted positive influence index. We also consider the weighted negative influence index, where the final decision of the player goes farther away from the inclination of the coalition. We consider several influence functions defined in the generalized model of influence and study their properties. The concept of a follower of a given coalition, and its particular case, a perfect follower, are defined. The properties of the set of followers are analyzed.weighted positive influence index; weighted negative influence index; influence function; follower of a coalition; perfect follower; kernel

- POWER INDICES AND THE VEIL OF IGNORANCE

We provide an axiomatic foundation of the expected utility preferences over lotteries on roles in simple superadditive games represented by the two main power indices, the Shapley-Shubik index and the Banzhaf index, when they are interpreted as von Neumann-Morgenstern utility functions. Our axioms admit meaningful interpretations in the setting proposed by Roth in terms of different attitudes toward risk involving roles in collective decision procedures under the veil of ignorance. In particular, an illuminating interpretation of ''efficiency'', up to now missing in this set up, as well as of the corresponding axiom for the Banzhaf index, is provided.Power indices, voting power, collective decision-making, lotteries

A value for j-cooperative games: some theoretical aspects and applications

This is an Accepted Manuscript of a book chapter published by Routledge/CRC Press in Handbook of the Shapley value on December 6, 2019, available online: https://www.crcpress.com/Handbook-of-the-Shapley-Value/Algaba-Fragnelli-Sanchez-Soriano/p/book/9780815374688A value that has all the ingredients to be a generalization of the Shapley value is proposed for a large class of games called j-cooperative games which are closely related to multi-choice games. When it is restricted to cooperative games, i.e. when j equals 2, it coincides with the Shapley value. An explicit formula in terms of some marginal contributions of the characteristic function is provided for the proposed value. Different arguments support it: (1) The value can be inferred from a natural probabilistic model. (2) An axiomatic characterization uniquely determines it. (3) The value is consistent in its particularization from j-cooperative games to j-simple games. This chapter also proposes various ways of calculating the value by giving an alternative expression that does not depend on the marginal contributions. This chapter shows how the technique of generating functions can be applied to determine such a value when the game is a weighted j-simple game. The chapter concludes by presenting several applications, among them the computation of the value for a proposed reform of the UNSC voting system.Peer ReviewedPostprint (author's final draft

Measuring Power and Satisfaction in Societies with Opinion Leaders: Dictator and Opinion Leader Properties

A well known and established model in communication policy in sociology and marketing is that of opinion leadership. Opinion leaders are actors in a society who are able to affect the behavior of other members of the society called followers. Hence, opinion leaders might have a considerable impact on the behavior of markets and other social agglomerations being made up of individual actors choosing among a number of alternatives. For marketing or policy purposes it appears to be interesting to investigate the effect of different opinion leader-follower structures in markets or any other collective decision-making situations in a society. We study a two-action model in which the members of a society are to choose one action, for instance, to buy or not to buy a certain joint product, or to vote yes or no on a specific proposal. Each of the actors has an inclination to choose one of the actions. By definition opinion leaders have some power over their followers, and they exercise this power by influencing the behavior of their followers, i.e. their choice of action. After all actors have chosen their actions, a decision-making mechanism determines the collective choice resulting out of the individual choices. Making use of bipartite digraphs we introduce novel satisfaction and power scores which allow us to analyze the actors' satisfaction and power with respect to the collective choice for societies with different opinion leader-follower structures. Moreover, we study common dictator and opinion leader properties of the above scores and illustrate our findings for a society with five members.Bipartite digraph ; influence ; inclination ; collective choice ; opinion leader ; follower ; satisfaction ; power ; dictator properties ; opinion leader properties

A model of influence with a continuum of actions

In the paper, we generalize a two-action (yes-no) model of influence to a framework in which every player has a continuum of actions and he has to choose one of them. We assume the set of actions to be an interval. Each player has an inclination to choose one of the actions. Due to influence among players, the final decision of a player, i.e., his choice of one action, may be different from his original inclination. In particular, a coalition of players with the same inclination may influence another player with different inclination, and as a result of this influence, the decision of the player is closer to the inclination of the influencing coalition than his inclination was. We introduce and study a measure of such a positive influence of a coalition on a player. Several unanimous influence functions in this generalized framework are considered. Moreover, we investigate other tools for analyzing influence, like the concept of a follower of a given coalition, its particular case - a perfect follower, and the kernel of an influence function. We study properties of these concepts. Also the set of fixed points under a given influence function is analyzed. Furthermore, we study linear influence functions. We also introduce a measure of a negative influence of a coalition on a player.action, decision ; influence index ; unanimous influence function ; follower of a coalition ; kernel ; fixed point ; linear influence function