The value of hydrological information in multireservoir systems operation

La gestion optimale d’un système hydroélectrique composé de plusieurs réservoirs est un problème multi-étapes complexe de prise de décision impliquant, entre autres, (i) un compromis entre les conséquences immédiates et futures d’une décision, (ii) des risques et des incertitudes importantes, et (iii) de multiple objectifs et contraintes opérationnelles. Elle est souvent formulée comme un problème d’optimisation, mais il n’existe pas, à ce jour, de technique de référence même si la programmation dynamique (DP) a été souvent utilisée. La formulation stochastique de DP (SDP) permet la prise en compte explicite de l’incertitude entourant les apports hydrologiques futurs. Différentes approches ont été développées pour incorporer des informations hydrologiques et climatiques autres que les apports. Ces études ont révélé un potentiel d’amélioration des politiques de gestion proposées par les formulations SDP. Cependant, ces formulations sont applicables aux systèmes de petites tailles en raison de la célèbre « malédiction de la dimensionnalité ». La programmation dynamique stochastique duale (SDDP) est une extension de SDP développée dans les années 90. Elle est l’une des rares solutions algorithmiques utilisées pour déterminer les politiques de gestion des systèmes hydroélectriques de grande taille. Dans SDDP, l’incertitude hydrologique est capturée à l’aide d’un modèle autorégressif avec corrélation spatiale des résidus. Ce modèle analytique permet d’obtenir certains des paramètres nécessaires à l’implémentation de la technique d’optimisation. En pratique, les apports hydrologiques peuvent être influencés par d’autres variables observables, telles que l’équivalent de neige en eau et / ou la température de la surface des océans. La prise en compte de ces variables, appelées variables exogènes, permet de mieux décrire les processus hydrologiques et donc d’améliorer les politiques de gestion des réservoirs. L’objectif principal de ce doctorat est d’évaluer la valeur économique des politiques de gestion proposées par SDDP et ce pour diverses informations hydro-climatiques. En partant d’un modèle SDDP dans lequel la modélisation hydrologique est limitée aux processus Makoviens, la première activité de recherche a consisté à augmenter l’ordre du modèle autorégressif et à adapter la formulation SDDP. La seconde activité fut dédiée à l’incorporation de différentes variables hydrologiques exogènes dans l’algorithme SDDP. Le système hydroélectrique de Rio Tinto (RT) situé dans le bassin du fleuve Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean fut utilisé comme cas d’étude. Étant donné que ce système n’est pas capable de produire la totalité de l’énergie demandée par les fonderies pour assurer pleinement la production d’aluminium, le modèle SDDP a été modifié de manière à considérer les décisions de gestion des contrats avec Hydro Québec. Le résultat final est un système d’aide à la décision pour la gestion d’un large portefeuille d’actifs physiques et financiers en utilisant diverses informations hydro-climatiques. Les résultats globaux révèlent les gains de production d’énergie auxquels les opérateurs peuvent s’attendre lorsque d’autres variables hydrologiques sont incluses dans le vecteur des variables d’état de SDDP.The optimal operation of a multireservoir hydroelectric system is a complex, multistage, stochastic decision-making problem involving, among others, (i) a trade-off between immediate and future consequences of a decision, (ii) considerable risks and uncertainties, and (iii) multiple objectives and operational constraints. The reservoir operation problem is often formulated as an optimization problem but not a single optimization approach/algorithm exists. Dynamic programming (DP) has been the most popular optimization technique applied to solve the optimization problem. The stochastic formulation of DP (SDP) can be performed by explicitly considering streamflow uncertainty in the DP recursive equation. Different approaches to incorporate more hydrologic and climatic information have been developed and have revealed the potential to enhance SDP- derived policies. However, all these techniques are limited to small-scale systems due to the so-called curse of dimensionality. Stochastic Dual Dynamic Programming (SDDP), an extension of the traditional SDP developed in the 90ies, is one of the few algorithmic solutions used to determine the operating policies of large-scale hydropower systems. In SDDP the hydrologic uncertainty is captured through a multi-site periodic autoregressive model. This analytical linear model is required to derive some of the parameters needed to implement the optimization technique. In practice, reservoir inflows can be affected by other observable variables, such snow water equivalent and/or sea surface temperature. These variables, called exogenous variables, can better describe the hydrologic processes, and therefore enhance reservoir operating policies. The main objective of this PhD is to assess the economic value of SDDP-derived operating policies in large-scale water systems using various hydro-climatic information. The first task focuses on the incorporation of the multi-lag autocorrelation of the hydrologic variables in the SDDP algorithm. Afterwards, the second task is devoted to the incorporation of different exogenous hydrologic variables. The hydroelectric system of Rio Tinto (RT) located in the Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean River Basin is used as case study. Since, RT’s hydropower system is not able to produce the entire amount of energy demanded at the smelters to fully assure the aluminum production, a portfolio of energy contacts with Hydro-Québec is available. Eventually, we end up with a decision support system for the management of a large portfolio of physical and financial assets using various hydro-climatic information. The overall results reveal the extent of the gains in energy production that the operators can expect as more hydrologic variables are included in the state-space vector

Um modelo de otimização estocástica com representação individualizada das usinas hidrelétricas no planejamento de médio prazo da operação hidrotérmica

Tese (doutorado) - Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina, Centro Tecnológico, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Engenharia Elétrica, Florianópolis, 2016.O problema do Planejamento de Médio Prazo da Operação hidrotérmica (PMPO) possui papel fundamental na coordenação dos sistemas elétricos que dependem fortemente de eletricidade proveniente de fontes hídricas. O objetivo do PMPO é definir uma política de operação ótima que minimiza o custo de operação para o atendimento da demanda por energia em um horizonte de médio prazo. Nesse contexto, o método da Programação Dinâmica Dual Estocástica (PDDE) é amplamente utilizado para o cálculo de políticas de operação na solução do problema do PMPO. Além disso, destaca-se que para a incorporação das incertezas associadas às afluências, um modelo linear multiestágio estocástico é atribuído ao PMPO. No caso brasileiro, algumas simplificações são adotadas na representação das decisões hidrelétricas com o objetivo de se reduzir o esforço computacional. A principal simplificação adotada é a modelagem de Reservatórios Equivalentes de Energia (REE) na representação de um conjunto de decisões hidrelétricas mensais. Neste trabalho, as decisões de cada hidrelétrica do sistema são modeladas individualmente, de modo que a abordagem por REEs é completamente sobrepujada. Assim, o desempenho do cálculo da política de operação na PDDE é diretamente afetado pela elevada dimensão do modelo individualizado do PMPO. Logo, o principal objetivo deste trabalho consiste em calcular políticas de operação de boa qualidade para o modelo individualizado estocástico do PMPO, em um tempo razoável de execução da PDDE. Para que esse objetivo seja alcançado, algumas melhorias em termos da modelagem do PMPO e do algoritmo da PDDE são propostas. Os resultados acerca das melhorias propostas são apresentados, de modo que o sistema hidrotérmico brasileiro é considerado nos experimentos computacionais. A partir dos resultados obtidos, podem-se observar vantagens consideráveis na modelagem individual das decisões hidrelétricas no PMPO, em relação à utilização de REEs, para um tempo razoável de execução da PDDE.Abstract : The Long-Term Hydrothermal Scheduling (LTHS) problem plays an important role in power systems that rely heavily on hydroelectricity. The purpose of the LTHS problem is to define an optimal operation policy that minimizes the operation costs to meet demand over a long horizon. A popular solution approach to this problem is called Stochastic Dual Dynamic Programming (SDDP). To incorporate the inflow uncertainties, the LTHS problem is modeled as a multi-stage linear stochastic problem. In the Brazilian LTHS problem, some simplifications are made in the hydro power plants representation in order to reduce the computational burden. The main simplification is the Equivalent Energy Reservoir (EER) modeling that replaces set of hydro plants monthly decisions. In this work, the EERs approach is overcame and individual decisions for each hydro plant in the hydrothermal system are modeled. As a result, the operation policy computation in SDDP is directly affected by the dimension of the LTHS stochastic framework with individual hydro plant decisions. Consequently, the goal of this work is to achieve reasonable operation polices for the individualized LTHS stochastic modeling in an acceptable and practicable computational time. To accomplish this objective, improvements in the LTHS modeling and SDDP algorithm design are proposed. The results regarding theses aspects are presented, which the Brazilian hydrothermal power system are considered. The results show advantages in individual hydro plant decisions modeling, in relation to EERs, for practical computational time assumptions in SDDP execution

Pathways to Water Sector Decarbonization, Carbon Capture and Utilization

The water sector is in the middle of a paradigm shift from focusing on treatment and meeting discharge permit limits to integrated operation that also enables a circular water economy via water reuse, resource recovery, and system level planning and operation. While the sector has gone through different stages of such revolution, from improving energy efficiency to recovering renewable energy and resources, when it comes to the next step of achieving carbon neutrality or negative emission, it falls behind other infrastructure sectors such as energy and transportation. The water sector carries tremendous potential to decarbonize, from technological advancements, to operational optimization, to policy and behavioural changes. This book aims to fill an important gap for different stakeholders to gain knowledge and skills in this area and equip the water community to further decarbonize the industry and build a carbon-free society and economy. The book goes beyond technology overviews, rather it aims to provide a system level blueprint for decarbonization. It can be a reference book and textbook for graduate students, researchers, practitioners, consultants and policy makers, and it will provide practical guidance for stakeholders to analyse and implement decarbonization measures in their professions

Pathways to Water Sector Decarbonization, Carbon Capture and Utilization

The water sector is in the middle of a paradigm shift from focusing on treatment and meeting discharge permit limits to integrated operation that also enables a circular water economy via water reuse, resource recovery, and system level planning and operation. While the sector has gone through different stages of such revolution, from improving energy efficiency to recovering renewable energy and resources, when it comes to the next step of achieving carbon neutrality or negative emission, it falls behind other infrastructure sectors such as energy and transportation. The water sector carries tremendous potential to decarbonize, from technological advancements, to operational optimization, to policy and behavioural changes. This book aims to fill an important gap for different stakeholders to gain knowledge and skills in this area and equip the water community to further decarbonize the industry and build a carbon-free society and economy. The book goes beyond technology overviews, rather it aims to provide a system level blueprint for decarbonization. It can be a reference book and textbook for graduate students, researchers, practitioners, consultants and policy makers, and it will provide practical guidance for stakeholders to analyse and implement decarbonization measures in their professions

Integration of Renewables in Power Systems by Multi-Energy System Interaction

This book focuses on the interaction between different energy vectors, that is, between electrical, thermal, gas, and transportation systems, with the purpose of optimizing the planning and operation of future energy systems. More and more renewable energy is integrated into the electrical system, and to optimize its usage and ensure that its full production can be hosted and utilized, the power system has to be controlled in a more flexible manner. In order not to overload the electrical distribution grids, the new large loads have to be controlled using demand response, perchance through a hierarchical control set-up where some controls are dependent on price signals from the spot and balancing markets. In addition, by performing local real-time control and coordination based on local voltage or system frequency measurements, the grid hosting limits are not violated

Pathways to Water Sector Decarbonization, Carbon Capture and Utilization

The water sector is in the middle of a paradigm shift from focusing on treatment and meeting discharge permit limits to integrated operation that also enables a circular water economy via water reuse, resource recovery, and system level planning and operation. While the sector has gone through different stages of such revolution, from improving energy efficiency to recovering renewable energy and resources, when it comes to the next step of achieving carbon neutrality or negative emission, it falls behind other infrastructure sectors such as energy and transportation. The water sector carries tremendous potential to decarbonize, from technological advancements, to operational optimization, to policy and behavioural changes. This book aims to fill an important gap for different stakeholders to gain knowledge and skills in this area and equip the water community to further decarbonize the industry and build a carbon-free society and economy. The book goes beyond technology overviews, rather it aims to provide a system level blueprint for decarbonization. It can be a reference book and textbook for graduate students, researchers, practitioners, consultants and policy makers, and it will provide practical guidance for stakeholders to analyse and implement decarbonization measures in their professions

Pathways to Water Sector Decarbonization, Carbon Capture and Utilization

The water sector is in the middle of a paradigm shift from focusing on treatment and meeting discharge permit limits to integrated operation that also enables a circular water economy via water reuse, resource recovery, and system level planning and operation. While the sector has gone through different stages of such revolution, from improving energy efficiency to recovering renewable energy and resources, when it comes to the next step of achieving carbon neutrality or negative emission, it falls behind other infrastructure sectors such as energy and transportation. The water sector carries tremendous potential to decarbonize, from technological advancements, to operational optimization, to policy and behavioural changes. This book aims to fill an important gap for different stakeholders to gain knowledge and skills in this area and equip the water community to further decarbonize the industry and build a carbon-free society and economy. The book goes beyond technology overviews, rather it aims to provide a system level blueprint for decarbonization. It can be a reference book and textbook for graduate students, researchers, practitioners, consultants and policy makers, and it will provide practical guidance for stakeholders to analyse and implement decarbonization measures in their professions

Green Technologies for Production Processes

This book focuses on original research works about Green Technologies for Production Processes, including discrete production processes and process production processes, from various aspects that tackle product, process, and system issues in production. The aim is to report the state-of-the-art on relevant research topics and highlight the barriers, challenges, and opportunities we are facing. This book includes 22 research papers and involves energy-saving and waste reduction in production processes, design and manufacturing of green products, low carbon manufacturing and remanufacturing, management and policy for sustainable production, technologies of mitigating CO2 emissions, and other green technologies

Volume variation in a thermochemical material- An experimental study

The research focuses on swelling and shrinkage during cycling of a thermochemical material. Potassium carbonate has been cycled and the change in size has been monitored over subsequent cycles with the help of in-situ measurement in the micro-climate chamber. The experiments have been performed for different operating conditions and the resultant images were processed to calculate the equivalent diameter of the salt grains. Micro -CT scans were performed for both the samples to compare the two-dimensional results from in-situ experiments to a complete three-dimensional analysis