Equitable Provision of Long-Term Public GoodsThe role of Negotiation Mandates

We examine the international distribution of expenditures for the provision ofa global, long-term and uncertain public goods from the point of view of abenevolent planner. Even assuming a "no-redistribution" constraint, first periodexpenditures are in general progressive with income, and independent both fromtotal level of action, and from future distribution of damages. However, instatus-quo mandates-where current negotiating powers shape both present andfuture allocation-future distributions of efforts are very unequal, andagreement, if any, is at high risk of instability. An adaptative mandate provesnecessary to provide an acceptable solution.Equitable Provision; Long-Term Public Goods; Negotiation Mandates

Equitable provision of long-term public goods: the role of negotiation mandates

In a one-period model, whether or not individual weights in the welfare function are based on initial endowments dictate who provides public goods. But with long-term public goods, banning wealth redistribution still allows for several equilibriums depending on Parties'willingness to acknowledge changes in negotiating powers over time, and on whether or not they care only for their own descendants. Adaptative and universal mandates lead to far more robust equilibrium. In all cases, a simple rule of thumb for allocating expenditures at first period emerges, independent of both the optimal level of public goods and the second-period distribution of expenditures.Montreal Protocol,Economic Theory&Research,Information Technology,Environmental Economics&Policies,General Technology,Montreal Protocol,Economic Theory&Research,Environmental Economics&Policies,Energy and Environment,Transport and Environment

Equitable Provision of Long-Term Public GoodsThe role of Negotiation Mandates

First draft: January 2001 This version: June 17, 2003 The authors are grateful to Roger Guesnerie, Tarik Tazdait, and the participants of a seminar on climate change economics at College de France in April 2002 for helpful comments on an earlier version of this manuscript. Any remaining error are the authors'. The views expressed in this paper do not necessarily represent the views of the World Bank, its executive directors, or the countries they represent.We examine the international distribution of expenditures for the provision ofa global, long-term and uncertain public goods from the point of view of abenevolent planner. Even assuming a "no-redistribution" constraint, first periodexpenditures are in general progressive with income, and independent both fromtotal level of action, and from future distribution of damages. However, instatus-quo mandates-where current negotiating powers shape both present andfuture allocation-future distributions of efforts are very unequal, andagreement, if any, is at high risk of instability. An adaptative mandate provesnecessary to provide an acceptable solution

Essays on statistical economics with applications to financial market instability, limit distribution of loss aversion, and harmonic probability weighting functions

This dissertation is comprised of four essays. It develops statistical models of decision making in the presence of risk with applications to economics and finance. The methodology draws upon economics, finance, psychology, mathematics and statistics. Each essay contributes to the literature by either introducing new theories and empirical predictions or extending old ones with novel approaches .The first essay (Chapter II) includes, to the best of our knowledge, the first known limit distribution of the myopic loss aversion (MLA) index derived from micro-foundations of behavioural economics. That discovery predicts several new results. We prove that the MLA index is in the class of α-stable distributions. This striking prediction is upheld empirically with data from a published meta-study on loss aversion; published data on cross-country loss aversion indexes; and macroeconomic loss aversion index data for US and South Africa. The latter results provide contrast to Hofstede's cross-cultural uncertainty avoidance index for risk perception. We apply the theory to information based asset pricing and show how the MLA index mimics information flows in credit risk models. We embed the MLA index in the pricing kernel of a behavioural consumption based capital asset pricing model (B-CCAPM) and resolve the equity premium puzzle. Our theory predicts: (1) stochastic dominance of good states in the B-CCAPM Markov matrix induce excess volatility; and (2) a countercyclical fourfold pattern of risk attitudes. The second essay (Chapter III) introduces a probability model of "irrational exuberance "and financial market instability implied by index option prices. It is based on a behavioural empirical local Lyapunov exponent (BELLE) process we construct from micro-foundations of behavioural finance. It characterizes stochastic stability of financial markets, with risk attitude factors in fixed point neighbourhoods of the probability weighting functions implied by index option prices. It provides a robust early warning system for market crash across different credit risk sources. We show how the model would have predicted the Great Recession of 2008. The BELLE process characterizes Minskys financial instability hypothesis that financial markets transit from financial relations that make them stable to those that make them unstable

Equilibrium transport with time-inconsistent costs: An application to matching problems in the job market

Given two probability measures on sequential data, we investigate the transport problem with time-inconsistent preferences under a discrete-time setting. Motivating examples are nonlinear objectives, state-dependent costs, and regularized optimal transport with general $f$-divergence. Under the bicausal constraint, we introduce the concept of equilibrium transport. The existence is proved in the semi-discrete Markovian case and the continuous non-Markovian case with strict quasiconvexity, while the uniqueness also holds in the second case. We apply our framework to study inertia of two job markets, top-ranking executives and academia. The empirical analysis shows that a job market with stronger inertia is less efficient. The University of California (UC) postdoc job market has the strongest inertia even than that of executives, while there is no evidence of inertia in the UC faculty job market.Comment: Add the semi-discrete cas

Me, Myself and I: time-inconsistent stochastic control, contract theory and backward stochastic Volterra integral equations

This thesis studies the decision-making of agents exhibiting time-inconsistent preferences and its implications in the context of contract theory. We take a probabilistic approach to continuous-time non-Markovian time-inconsistent stochastic control problems for sophisticated agents. By introducing a refinement of the notion of equilibrium, an extended dynamic programming principle is established. In turn, this leads to consider an infinite family of BSDEs analogous to the classical Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation. This system is fundamental in the sense that its well-posedness is both necessary and sufficient to characterise equilibria and its associated value function. In addition, under modest assumptions, the existence and uniqueness of a solution is established. With the previous results in mind, we then study a new general class of multidimensional type-I backward stochastic Volterra integral equations. Towards this goal, the well-posedness of a system of an infinite family of standard backward stochastic differential equations is established. Interestingly, its well-posedness is equivalent to that of the type-I backward stochastic Volterra integral equation. This result yields a representation formula in terms of semilinear partial differential equation of Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman type. In perfect analogy to the theory of backward stochastic differential equations, the case of Lipschitz continuous generators is addressed first and subsequently the quadratic case. In particular, our results show the equivalence of the probabilistic and analytic approaches to time-inconsistent stochastic control problems. Finally, this thesis studies the contracting problem between a standard utility maximiser principal and a sophisticated time-inconsistent agent. We show that the contracting problem faced by the principal can be reformulated as a novel class of control problems exposing the complications of the agent’s preferences. This corresponds to the control of a forward Volterra equation via constrained Volterra type controls. The structure of this problem is inherently related to the representation of the agent’s value function via extended type-I backward stochastic differential equations. Despite the inherent challenges of this class of problems, our reformulation allows us to study the solution for different specifications of preferences for the principal and the agent. This allows us to discuss the qualitative and methodological implications of our results in the context of contract theory: (i) from a methodological point of view, unlike in the time-consistent case, the solution to the moral hazard problem does not reduce, in general, to a standard stochastic control problem; (ii) our analysis shows that slight deviations of seminal models in contracting theory seem to challenge the virtues attributed to linear contracts and suggests that such contracts would typically cease to be optimal in general for time-inconsistent agents; (iii) in line with some recent developments in the time-consistent literature, we find that the optimal contract in the time-inconsistent scenario is, in general, non-Markovian in the state process X

International Conference on Continuous Optimization (ICCOPT) 2019 Conference Book

The Sixth International Conference on Continuous Optimization took place on the campus of the Technical University of Berlin, August 3-8, 2019. The ICCOPT is a flagship conference of the Mathematical Optimization Society (MOS), organized every three years. ICCOPT 2019 was hosted by the Weierstrass Institute for Applied Analysis and Stochastics (WIAS) Berlin. It included a Summer School and a Conference with a series of plenary and semi-plenary talks, organized and contributed sessions, and poster sessions. This book comprises the full conference program. It contains, in particular, the scientific program in survey style as well as with all details, and information on the social program, the venue, special meetings, and more

THE IMPACT OF MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ON THE ECONOMIC PERFORMANCES

This paper aims to measure the extent to which banking systems from Central and Eastern Europe have been characterized by banking consolidation through mergers and acquisitions and the extent to which this process led to the concentration of the banking activity. Also, we measure the impact of mergers and acquisitions on the economic performance of the targeted banks. The conclusions show that the banking system from Central and Eastern Europe was subject to numerous acquisitions from Western banks that chose to enter aggressively into these markets with high growth potential. The effect of the acquisitions on the economic indicators is not obvious in the first years because of the strategy aiming larger market shares.mergers; acquisitions; consolidation; financial repression; economic performances.

Untangling hotel industry’s inefficiency: An SFA approach applied to a renowned Portuguese hotel chain

The present paper explores the technical efficiency of four hotels from Teixeira Duarte Group - a renowned Portuguese hotel chain. An efficiency ranking is established from these four hotel units located in Portugal using Stochastic Frontier Analysis. This methodology allows to discriminate between measurement error and systematic inefficiencies in the estimation process enabling to investigate the main inefficiency causes. Several suggestions concerning efficiency improvement are undertaken for each hotel studied.info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio