Determining Reliable Solutions for the Team Orienteering Problem with Probabilistic Delays

[EN] In the team orienteering problem, a fixed fleet of vehicles departs from an origin depot towards a destination, and each vehicle has to visit nodes along its route in order to collect rewards. Typically, the maximum distance that each vehicle can cover is limited. Alternatively, there is a threshold for the maximum time a vehicle can employ before reaching its destination. Due to this driving range constraint, not all potential nodes offering rewards can be visited. Hence, the typical goal is to maximize the total reward collected without exceeding the vehicle's capacity. The TOP can be used to model operations related to fleets of unmanned aerial vehicles, road electric vehicles with limited driving range, or ride-sharing operations in which the vehicle has to reach its destination on or before a certain deadline. However, in some realistic scenarios, travel times are better modeled as random variables, which introduce additional challenges into the problem. This paper analyzes a stochastic version of the team orienteering problem in which random delays are considered. Being a stochastic environment, we are interested in generating solutions with a high expected reward that, at the same time, are highly reliable (i.e., offer a high probability of not suffering any route delay larger than a user-defined threshold). In order to tackle this stochastic optimization problem, which contains a probabilistic constraint on the random delays, we propose an extended simheuristic algorithm that also employs concepts from reliability analysis.This work has been partially funded by the Spanish Ministry of Science (PID2019-111100RBC21-C22/AEI/10.13039/501100011033), the Barcelona City Council and Fundacio "la Caixa" under the framework of the Barcelona Science Plan 2020-2023 (grant 21S09355-001), and the Generalitat Valenciana (PROMETEO/2021/065).Herrera, EM.; Panadero, J.; Carracedo-Garnateo, P.; Juan-Pérez, ÁA.; Pérez Bernabeu, E. (2022). Determining Reliable Solutions for the Team Orienteering Problem with Probabilistic Delays. Mathematics. 10(20). https://doi.org/10.3390/math10203788102

Determining reliable solutions for the team orienteering problem with probabilistic delays

In the team orienteering problem, a fixed fleet of vehicles departs from an origin depot towards a destination, and each vehicle has to visit nodes along its route in order to collect rewards. Typically, the maximum distance that each vehicle can cover is limited. Alternatively, there is a threshold for the maximum time a vehicle can employ before reaching its destination. Due to this driving range constraint, not all potential nodes offering rewards can be visited. Hence, the typical goal is to maximize the total reward collected without exceeding the vehicle’s capacity. The TOP can be used to model operations related to fleets of unmanned aerial vehicles, road electric vehicles with limited driving range, or ride-sharing operations in which the vehicle has to reach its destination on or before a certain deadline. However, in some realistic scenarios, travel times are better modeled as random variables, which introduce additional challenges into the problem. This paper analyzes a stochastic version of the team orienteering problem in which random delays are considered. Being a stochastic environment, we are interested in generating solutions with a high expected reward that, at the same time, are highly reliable (i.e., offer a high probability of not suffering any route delay larger than a user-defined threshold). In order to tackle this stochastic optimization problem, which contains a probabilistic constraint on the random delays, we propose an extended simheuristic algorithm that also employs concepts from reliability analysis.This work has been partially funded by the Spanish Ministry of Science (PID2019-111100RB-C21-C22/AEI/10.13039/501100011033), the Barcelona City Council and Fundació “la Caixa” under the framework of the Barcelona Science Plan 2020–2023 (grant 21S09355-001), and the Generalitat Valenciana (PROMETEO/2021/065).Peer ReviewedPostprint (published version

Combining survival analysis and simheuristics to predict the risk of delays in urban ridesharing operations with random travel times

© 2022 IEEE. Personal use of this material is permitted. Permission from IEEE must be obtained for all other uses, in any current or future media, including reprinting /republishing this material for advertising or promotional purposes, creating new collective works, for resale or redistribution to servers or lists, or reuse of any copyrighted component of this work in other worksMore sustainable transportation and mobility concepts, such as ridesharing, are gaining momentum in modern smart cities. In many real-life scenarios, travel times among potential customers' locations should be modeled as random variables. This uncertainty makes it difficult to design efficient ridesharing schedules and routing plans, since the risk of possible delays has to be considered as well. In this paper, we model ridesharing as a stochastic team orienteering problem in which the trade-off between maximizing the expected reward and the risk of incurring time delays is analyzed. In order to do so, we propose a simulation-optimization approach that combines a simheuristic algorithm with survival analysis techniques. The aforementioned methodology allows us to generate not only the probability that a given routing plan will suffer a delay, but also gives us the probability that the routing plan experiences delays of different sizes.Peer ReviewedPostprint (author's final draft

The stochastic team orienteering problem with position-dependent rewards

In this paper, we analyze both the deterministic and stochastic versions of a team orienteering problem (TOP) in which rewards from customers are dynamic. The typical goal of the TOP is to select a set of customers to visit in order to maximize the total reward gathered by a fixed fleet of vehicles. To better reflect some real-life scenarios, we consider a version in which rewards associated with each customer might depend upon the order in which the customer is visited within a route, bonusing the first clients and penalizing the last ones. In addition, travel times are modeled as random variables. Two mixed-integer programming models are proposed for the deterministic version, which is then solved using a well-known commercial solver. Furthermore, a biased-randomized iterated local search algorithm is employed to solve this deterministic version. Overall, the proposed metaheuristic algorithm shows an outstanding performance when compared with the optimal or near-optimal solutions provided by the commercial solver, both in terms of solution quality as well as in computational times. Then, the metaheuristic algorithm is extended into a full simheuristic in order to solve the stochastic version of the problem. A series of numerical experiments allows us to show that the solutions provided by the simheuristic outperform the near-optimal solutions obtained for the deterministic version of the problem when the latter are used in a scenario under conditions of uncertainty. In addition, the solutions provided by our simheuristic algorithm for the stochastic version of the problem offer a higher reliability level than the ones obtained with the commercial solver.Peer ReviewedPostprint (published version

Optimizing transportation systems and logistics network configurations : From biased-randomized algorithms to fuzzy simheuristics

242 páginasTransportation and logistics (T&L) are currently highly relevant functions in any competitive industry. Locating facilities or distributing goods to hundreds or thousands of customers are activities with a high degree of complexity, regardless of whether facilities and customers are placed all over the globe or in the same city. A countless number of alternative strategic, tactical, and operational decisions can be made in T&L systems; hence, reaching an optimal solution –e.g., a solution with the minimum cost or the maximum profit– is a really difficult challenge, even by the most powerful existing computers. Approximate methods, such as heuristics, metaheuristics, and simheuristics, are then proposed to solve T&L problems. They do not guarantee optimal results, but they yield good solutions in short computational times. These characteristics become even more important when considering uncertainty conditions, since they increase T&L problems’ complexity. Modeling uncertainty implies to introduce complex mathematical formulas and procedures, however, the model realism increases and, therefore, also its reliability to represent real world situations. Stochastic approaches, which require the use of probability distributions, are one of the most employed approaches to model uncertain parameters. Alternatively, if the real world does not provide enough information to reliably estimate a probability distribution, then fuzzy logic approaches become an alternative to model uncertainty. Hence, the main objective of this thesis is to design hybrid algorithms that combine fuzzy and stochastic simulation with approximate and exact methods to solve T&L problems considering operational, tactical, and strategic decision levels. This thesis is organized following a layered structure, in which each introduced layer enriches the previous one.El transporte y la logística (T&L) son actualmente funciones de gran relevancia en cual quier industria competitiva. La localización de instalaciones o la distribución de mercancías a cientos o miles de clientes son actividades con un alto grado de complejidad, indepen dientemente de si las instalaciones y los clientes se encuentran en todo el mundo o en la misma ciudad. En los sistemas de T&L se pueden tomar un sinnúmero de decisiones al ternativas estratégicas, tácticas y operativas; por lo tanto, llegar a una solución óptima –por ejemplo, una solución con el mínimo costo o la máxima utilidad– es un desafío realmente di fícil, incluso para las computadoras más potentes que existen hoy en día. Así pues, métodos aproximados, tales como heurísticas, metaheurísticas y simheurísticas, son propuestos para resolver problemas de T&L. Estos métodos no garantizan resultados óptimos, pero ofrecen buenas soluciones en tiempos computacionales cortos. Estas características se vuelven aún más importantes cuando se consideran condiciones de incertidumbre, ya que estas aumen tan la complejidad de los problemas de T&L. Modelar la incertidumbre implica introducir fórmulas y procedimientos matemáticos complejos, sin embargo, el realismo del modelo aumenta y, por lo tanto, también su confiabilidad para representar situaciones del mundo real. Los enfoques estocásticos, que requieren el uso de distribuciones de probabilidad, son uno de los enfoques más empleados para modelar parámetros inciertos. Alternativamente, si el mundo real no proporciona suficiente información para estimar de manera confiable una distribución de probabilidad, los enfoques que hacen uso de lógica difusa se convier ten en una alternativa para modelar la incertidumbre. Así pues, el objetivo principal de esta tesis es diseñar algoritmos híbridos que combinen simulación difusa y estocástica con métodos aproximados y exactos para resolver problemas de T&L considerando niveles de decisión operativos, tácticos y estratégicos. Esta tesis se organiza siguiendo una estructura por capas, en la que cada capa introducida enriquece a la anterior. Por lo tanto, en primer lugar se exponen heurísticas y metaheurísticas sesgadas-aleatorizadas para resolver proble mas de T&L que solo incluyen parámetros determinísticos. Posteriormente, la simulación Monte Carlo se agrega a estos enfoques para modelar parámetros estocásticos. Por último, se emplean simheurísticas difusas para abordar simultáneamente la incertidumbre difusa y estocástica. Una serie de experimentos numéricos es diseñada para probar los algoritmos propuestos, utilizando instancias de referencia, instancias nuevas e instancias del mundo real. Los resultados obtenidos demuestran la eficiencia de los algoritmos diseñados, tanto en costo como en tiempo, así como su confiabilidad para resolver problemas realistas que incluyen incertidumbre y múltiples restricciones y condiciones que enriquecen todos los problemas abordados.Doctorado en Logística y Gestión de Cadenas de SuministrosDoctor en Logística y Gestión de Cadenas de Suministro

Optimizing transport logistics under uncertainty with simheuristics: concepts, review and trends

Background: Uncertainty conditions have been increasingly considered in optimization problems arising in real-life transportation and logistics activities. Generally, the analysis of complex systems in these non-deterministic environments is approached with simulation techniques. However, simulation is not an optimization tool. Hence, it must be combined with optimization methods when our goal is to: (i) minimize operating costs while guaranteeing a given quality of service; or (ii) maximize system performance using limited resources. When solving NP-hard optimization problems, the use of metaheuristics allows us to deal with large-scale instances in reasonable computation times. By adding a simulation layer to the metaheuristics, the methodology becomes a simheuristic, which allows the optimization element to solve scenarios under uncertainty. Methods: This paper reviews the indexed documents in Elsevier Scopus database of both initial as well as recent applications of simheuristics in the logistics and transportation field. The paper also discusses open research lines in this knowledge area. Results: The simheuristics approaches to solving NP-hard and large-scale combinatorial optimization problems under uncertainty scenarios are discussed, as they frequently appear in real-life applications in logistics and transportation activities. Conclusions: The way in which the different simheuristic components interact puts a special emphasis in the different stages that can contribute to make the approach more efficient from a computational perspective. There are several lines of research that are still open in the field of simheuristics.Peer ReviewedPostprint (published version

Combining parallel computing and biased randomization for solving the team orienteering problem in real-time

In smart cities, unmanned aerial vehicles and self-driving vehicles are gaining increased concern. These vehicles might utilize ultra-reliable telecommunication systems, Internet-based technologies, and navigation satellite services to locate their customers and other team vehicles to plan their routes. Furthermore, the team of vehicles should serve their customers by specified due date efficiently. Coordination between the vehicles might be needed to be accomplished in real-time in exceptional cases, such as after a traffic accident or extreme weather conditions. This paper presents the planning of vehicle routes as a team orienteering problem. In addition, an ‘agile’ optimization algorithm is presented to plan these routes for drones and other autonomous vehicles. This algorithm combines an extremely fast biased-randomized heuristic and a parallel computing approach.Peer ReviewedPostprint (published version