1,954 research outputs found
Computing (R, S) policies with correlated demand
This paper considers the single-item single-stocking non-stationary
stochastic lot-sizing problem under correlated demand. By operating under a
nonstationary (R, S) policy, in which R denote the reorder period and S the
associated order-up-to-level, we introduce a mixed integer linear programming
(MILP) model which can be easily implemented by using off-theshelf optimisation
software. Our modelling strategy can tackle a wide range of time-seriesbased
demand processes, such as autoregressive (AR), moving average(MA),
autoregressive moving average(ARMA), and autoregressive with autoregressive
conditional heteroskedasticity process(AR-ARCH). In an extensive computational
study, we compare the performance of our model against the optimal policy
obtained via stochastic dynamic programming. Our results demonstrate that the
optimality gap of our approach averages 2.28% and that computational
performance is good
Dampening variability by using smoothing replenishment rules.
A major cause of supply chain deficiencies is the bullwhip effect which can be substantial even over a single echelon. This effect refers to the tendency of the variance of the replenishment orders to increase as it moves up a supply chain. Supply chain managers experience this variance amplification in both inventory levels and replenishment orders. As a result, companies face shortages or bloated inventories, run-away transportation and warehousing costs and major production adjustment costs. In this article we analyse a major cause of the bullwhip effect and suggest a remedy. We focus on a smoothing replenishment rule that is able to reduce the bullwhip effect across a single echelon. In general, dampening variability in orders may have a negative impact on customer service due to inventory variance increases. We therefore quantify the variance of the net stock and compute the required safety stock as a function of the smoothing required. Our analysis shows that bullwhip can be satisfactorily managed without unduly increasing stock levels to maintain target fill rates.Bullwhip effect; Companies; Cost; Costs; Impact; Inventory; Managers; Order; Replenishment rule; Rules; Safety stock; Supply chain; Supply chain management; Variability; Variance; Variance reduction;
Logistics Outsourcing and 3PL Challenges
Logistics has been an important part of every economy and every business entity. The worldwide trend in globalization has led to many companies outsourcing their logistics function to Third-Party Logistics (3PL) companies, so as to focus on their core competencies. This paper attempts to broadly identify and categorize the challenges faced by 3PL companies and discover potential gaps for future research. Some of the challenges will be related with the experience and information collected from interviews with two 3PL companies.Singapore-MIT Alliance (SMA
The impact of stochastic lead times on the bullwhip effect under correlated demand and moving average forecasts
This is the author accepted manuscript. The final version is available from the publisher via the DOI in this recordWe quantify the bullwhip effect (which measures how the variance of replenishment orders is amplified as the orders move up the supply chain) when both random demands and random lead times are estimated using the industrially popular moving average forecasting method. We assume that the lead times constitute a sequence of independent identically distributed random variables and the correlated demands are described by a first-order autoregressive process. We obtain an expression that reveals the impact of demand and lead time forecasting on the bullwhip effect. We draw a number of conclusions on the bullwhip behaviour with respect to the demand auto-correlation and the number of past lead times and demands used in the forecasts. We find maxima and minima in the bullwhip measure as a function of the demand auto-correlation.National Science Centr
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Theory and Practice of Supply Chain Synchronization
In this dissertation, we develop strategies to synchronize component procurement in assemble-to-order (ATO) production and overhaul operations. We focus on the high-tech and mass customization industries which are not only considered to be very important to create or keep U.S. manufacturing jobs, but also suffer most from component inventory burden.
In the second chapter, we address the deterministic joint replenishment inventory problem with batch size constraints (JRPB). We characterize system regeneration points, derive a closed-form expression of the average product inventory, and formulate the problem of finding the optimal joint reorder interval to minimize inventory and ordering costs per unit of time. Thereafter, we discuss exact solution approaches and the case of variable reorder intervals. Computational examples demonstrate the power of our methodology.
In the third chapter, we incorporate stochastic demand to the JRPB. We propose a joint part replenishment policy that balances inventory and ordering costs while providing a desired service level. A case study and guided computational experiments show the magnitudes of savings that are possible using our methodology.
In the fourth chapter, we show how lack of synchronization in assembly systems with long and highly variable component supply lead times can rapidly deteriorate system performance. We develop a full synchronization strategy through time buffering of component orders, which not only guarantees meeting planned production dates but also drastically reduces inventory holding costs. A case study has been carried out to prove the practical relevance, assess potential risks, and evaluate phased implementation policies.
The fifth chapter explores the use of condition information from a large number of distributed working units in the field to improve the management of the inventory of spare parts required to maintain those units. Synchronization is again paramount here since spare part inventory needs to adapt to the condition of the engine fleet. All needed parts must be available to complete the overhaul of a unit. We develop a complex simulation environment to assess the performance of different inventory policies and the value of health monitoring.
The sixth chapter concludes this dissertation and outlines future research plans as well as opportunities
Revisiting rescheduling: MRP nervousness and the bullwhip effect
We study the material requirement planning (MRP) system nervousness problem from a dynamic, stochastic and economic perspective in a two-echelon supply chain under first order auto-regressive demand. MRP nervousness is an effect where the future order forecasts, given to suppliers so that they may plan production and organize their affairs, exhibits extreme period-to-period variability. We develop a measure of nervousness that weights future forecast errors geometrically over time. Near-term forecast errors are weighted higher than distant forecast errors. Focusing on replenishment policies for high volume items, we investigate two methods of generating order call-offs and two methods of creating order forecasts. For order call-offs, we consider the traditional order-up-to (OUT) policy and the proportional OUT policy (POUT). For order forecasts, we study both minimum mean square error (MMSE) forecasts of the demand process and MMSE forecasts coupled with a procedure that accounts for the known future influence of the POUT policy. We show that when retailers use the POUT policy and account for its predictable future behavior, they can reduce the bullwhip effect, supply chain inventory costs and the manufacturer’s MRP nervousness
Revisiting rescheduling: MRP nervousness and the bullwhip effect
This is the author accepted manuscript. The final version is available from Taylor & Francis via the DOI in this recordWe study the material requirements planning (MRP) system nervousness problem from a dynamic, stochastic and economic perspective in a two-echelon supply chain under first-order auto-regressive demand. MRP nervousness is an effect where the future order forecasts, given to suppliers so that they may plan production and organise their affairs, exhibits extreme period-to-period variability. We develop a measure of nervousness that weights future forecast errors geometrically over time. Near-term forecast errors are weighted higher than distant forecast errors. Focusing on replenishment policies for high volume items, we investigate two methods of generating order call-offs and two methods of creating order forecasts. For order call-offs, we consider the traditional order-up-to (OUT) policy and the proportional OUT policy (POUT). For order forecasts, we study both minimum mean square error (MMSE) forecasts of the demand process and MMSE forecasts coupled with a procedure that accounts for the known future influence of the POUT policy. We show that when retailers use the POUT policy and account for its predictable future behaviour, they can reduce the bullwhip effect, supply chain inventory costs and the manufacturer’s MRP nervousness
Stochastic Cyclic Inventory Routing with Supply Uncertainty: A Case in Green-Hydrogen Logistics
Hydrogen can be produced from water, using electricity. The hydrogen can
subsequently be kept in inventory in large quantities, unlike the electricity
itself. This enables solar and wind energy generation to occur asynchronously
from its usage. For this reason, hydrogen is expected to be a key ingredient
for reaching a climate-neutral economy. However, the logistics for hydrogen are
complex. Inventory policies must be determined for multiple locations in the
network, and transportation of hydrogen from the production location to
customers must be scheduled. At the same time, production patterns of hydrogen
are intermittent, which affects the possibilities to realize the planned
transportation and inventory levels. To provide policies for efficient
transportation and storage of hydrogen, this paper proposes a parameterized
cost function approximation approach to the stochastic cyclic inventory routing
problem. Firstly, our approach includes a parameterized mixed integer
programming (MIP) model which yields fixed and repetitive schedules for vehicle
transportation of hydrogen. Secondly, buying and selling decisions in case of
underproduction or overproduction are optimized further via a Markov decision
process (MDP) model, taking into account the uncertainties in production and
demand quantities. To jointly optimize the parameterized MIP and the MDP model,
our approach includes an algorithm that searches the parameter space by
iteratively solving the MIP and MDP models. We conduct computational
experiments to validate our model in various problem settings and show that it
provides near-optimal solutions. Moreover, we test our approach on an
expert-reviewed case study at two hydrogen production locations in the
Netherlands. We offer insights for the stakeholders in the region and analyze
the impact of various problem elements in these case studies
From supply chains to demand networks. Agents in retailing: the electrical bazaar
A paradigm shift is taking place in logistics. The focus is changing from operational effectiveness to adaptation. Supply Chains will develop into networks that will adapt to consumer demand in almost real time. Time to market, capacity of adaptation and enrichment of customer experience seem to be the key elements of this new paradigm. In this environment emerging technologies like RFID (Radio Frequency ID), Intelligent Products and the Internet, are triggering a reconsideration of methods, procedures and goals. We present a Multiagent System framework specialized in retail that addresses these changes with the use of rational agents and takes advantages of the new market opportunities. Like in an old bazaar, agents able to learn, cooperate, take advantage of gossip and distinguish between collaborators and competitors, have the ability to adapt, learn and react to a changing environment better than any other structure. Keywords: Supply Chains, Distributed Artificial Intelligence, Multiagent System.Postprint (published version
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