CoViD-19, learning from the past: A wavelet and cross-correlation analysis of the epidemic dynamics looking to emergency calls and Twitter trends in Italian Lombardy region

The first case of Coronavirus Disease 2019 in Italy was detected on February the 20th in Lombardy region. Since that date, Lombardy has been the most affected Italian region by the epidemic, and its healthcare system underwent a severe overload during the outbreak. From a public health point of view, therefore, it is fundamental to provide healthcare services with tools that can reveal possible new health system stress periods with a certain time anticipation, which is the main aim of the present study. Moreover, the sequence of law decrees to face the epidemic and the large amount of news generated in the population feelings of anxiety and suspicion. Considering this whole complex context, it is easily understandable how people "overcrowded"social media with messages dealing with the pandemic, and emergency numbers were overwhelmed by the calls. Thus, in order to find potential predictors of possible new health system overloads, we analysed data both from Twitter and emergency services comparing them to the daily infected time series at a regional level. Particularly, we performed a wavelet analysis in the time-frequency plane, to finely discriminate over time the anticipation capability of the considered potential predictors. In addition, a cross-correlation analysis has been performed to find a synthetic indicator of the time delay between the predictor and the infected time series. Our results show that Twitter data are more related to social and political dynamics, while the emergency calls trends can be further evaluated as a powerful tool to potentially forecast new stress periods. Since we analysed aggregated regional data, and taking into account also the huge geographical heterogeneity of the epidemic spread, a future perspective would be to conduct the same analysis on a more local basis. Copyright

Localisation in wireless sensor networks for disaster recovery and rescuing in built environments

A thesis submitted to the University of Bedfordshire in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of PhilosophyProgress in micro-electromechanical systems (MEMS) and radio frequency (RF) technology has fostered the development of wireless sensor networks (WSNs). Different from traditional networks, WSNs are data-centric, self-configuring and self-healing. Although WSNs have been successfully applied in built environments (e.g. security and services in smart homes), their applications and benefits have not been fully explored in areas such as disaster recovery and rescuing. There are issues related to self-localisation as well as practical constraints to be taken into account. The current state-of-the art communication technologies used in disaster scenarios are challenged by various limitations (e.g. the uncertainty of RSS). Localisation in WSNs (location sensing) is a challenging problem, especially in disaster environments and there is a need for technological developments in order to cater to disaster conditions. This research seeks to design and develop novel localisation algorithms using WSNs to overcome the limitations in existing techniques. A novel probabilistic fuzzy logic based range-free localisation algorithm (PFRL) is devised to solve localisation problems for WSNs. Simulation results show that the proposed algorithm performs better than other range free localisation algorithms (namely DVhop localisation, Centroid localisation and Amorphous localisation) in terms of localisation accuracy by 15-30% with various numbers of anchors and degrees of radio propagation irregularity. In disaster scenarios, for example, if WSNs are applied to sense fire hazards in building, wireless sensor nodes will be equipped on different floors. To this end, PFRL has been extended to solve sensor localisation problems in 3D space. Computational results show that the 3D localisation algorithm provides better localisation accuracy when varying the system parameters with different communication/deployment models. PFRL is further developed by applying dynamic distance measurement updates among the moving sensors in a disaster environment. Simulation results indicate that the new method scales very well

12 Chapters on Nuclear Medicine

The development of nuclear medicine as a medical specialty has resulted in the large-scale application of its effective imaging methods in everyday practice as a primary method of diagnosis. The introduction of positron-emitting tracers (PET) has represented another fundamental leap forward in the ability of nuclear medicine to exert a profound impact on patient management, while the ability to produce radioisotopes of different elements initiated a variety of tracer studies in biology and medicine, facilitating enhanced interactions of nuclear medicine specialists and specialists in other disciplines. At present, nuclear medicine is an essential part of diagnosis of many diseases, particularly in cardiologic, nephrologic and oncologic applications and it is well-established in its therapeutic approaches, notably in the treatment of thyroid cancers. Data from official sources of different countries confirm that more than 10-15 percent of expenditures on clinical imaging studies are spent on nuclear medicine procedures

Indoor And Outdoor Real Time Information Collection in Disaster Scenario

A disaster usually severely harms human health and property. After a disaster, great amount of information of a disaster area is needed urgently. The information not only indicates the severity of the disaster, but also is crucial for an efficient search and rescue process. In order to quickly and accurately collect real time information in a disaster scenario, a mobile platform is developed for an outdoor scenario and a localization and navigation system for responders is introduced for an indoor scenario. The mobile platform has been integrated to the DIORAMA system. It is built with a 6-wheel robot chassis along with an Arduino microcontroller. Controlled by a mounted Android smartphone, the mobile platform can receive commands from incident commanders and quickly respond to the commands. While patrolling in a disaster area, a constant RFID signal is collected to improve the localization accuracy of victims. Pictures and videos are also captured in order to enhance the situational awareness of rescuers. The design of the indoor information collection is focused on the responder side. During a disaster scenario, it is hard to track responders’ locations in an indoor environment. In this thesis, an indoor localization and navigation system based on Bluetooth low energy and Android is developed for helping responders report current location and quickly find the right path in the environment. Different localization algorithms are investigated and implemented. A navigation system based on A­* is also proposed

Risk Management for the Future

A large part of academic literature, business literature as well as practices in real life are resting on the assumption that uncertainty and risk does not exist. We all know that this is not true, yet, a whole variety of methods, tools and practices are not attuned to the fact that the future is uncertain and that risks are all around us. However, despite risk management entering the agenda some decades ago, it has introduced risks on its own as illustrated by the financial crisis. Here is a book that goes beyond risk management as it is today and tries to discuss what needs to be improved further. The book also offers some cases

Stadiums x covid-19: a new way to twist

Amid the global pandemic, football stadiums have been recruited to fight COVID-19 and others have been used behind closed doors. Thus, this research aims to examine how football stadiums have been utilized in the face of COVID19. The results indicate use as field hospitals, shelters, testing sites, storage for donations and materials, or isolation centers in single cheer for life

RANK-BASED TEMPO-SPATIAL CLUSTERING: A FRAMEWORK FOR RAPID OUTBREAK DETECTION USING SINGLE OR MULTIPLE DATA STREAMS

In the recent decades, algorithms for disease outbreak detection have become one of the main interests of public health practitioners to identify and localize an outbreak as early as possible in order to warrant further public health response before a pandemic develops. Today’s increased threat of biological warfare and terrorism provide an even stronger impetus to develop methods for outbreak detection based on symptoms as well as definitive laboratory diagnoses. In this dissertation work, I explore the problems of rapid disease outbreak detection using both spatial and temporal information. I develop a framework of non-parameterized algorithms which search for patterns of disease outbreak in spatial sub-regions of the monitored region within a certain period. Compared to the current existing spatial or tempo-spatial algorithm, the algorithms in this framework provide a methodology for fast searching of either univariate data set or multivariate data set. It first measures which study area is more likely to have an outbreak occurring given the baseline data and currently observed data. Then it applies a greedy searching mechanism to look for clusters with high posterior probabilities given the risk measurement for each unit area as heuristic. I also explore the performance of the proposed algorithms. From the perspective of predictive modeling, I adopt a Gamma-Poisson (GP) model to compute the probability of having an outbreak in each cluster when analyzing univariate data. I build a multinomial generalized Dirichlet (MGD) model to identify outbreak clusters from multivariate data which include the OTC data streams collected by the national retail data monitor (NRDM) and the ED data streams collected by the RODS system. Key contributions of this dissertation include 1) it introduces a rank-based tempo-spatial clustering algorithm, RSC, by utilizing greedy searching and Bayesian GP model for disease outbreak detection with comparable detection timeliness, cluster positive prediction value (PPV) and improved running time; 2) it proposes a multivariate extension of RSC (MRSC) which applies MGD model. The evaluation demonstrated the advantage that MGD model can effectively suppress the false alarms caused by elevated signals that are non-disease relevant and occur in all the monitored data streams