Inferring transportation modes from GPS trajectories using a convolutional neural network

Identifying the distribution of users' transportation modes is an essential part of travel demand analysis and transportation planning. With the advent of ubiquitous GPS-enabled devices (e.g., a smartphone), a cost-effective approach for inferring commuters' mobility mode(s) is to leverage their GPS trajectories. A majority of studies have proposed mode inference models based on hand-crafted features and traditional machine learning algorithms. However, manual features engender some major drawbacks including vulnerability to traffic and environmental conditions as well as possessing human's bias in creating efficient features. One way to overcome these issues is by utilizing Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) schemes that are capable of automatically driving high-level features from the raw input. Accordingly, in this paper, we take advantage of CNN architectures so as to predict travel modes based on only raw GPS trajectories, where the modes are labeled as walk, bike, bus, driving, and train. Our key contribution is designing the layout of the CNN's input layer in such a way that not only is adaptable with the CNN schemes but represents fundamental motion characteristics of a moving object including speed, acceleration, jerk, and bearing rate. Furthermore, we ameliorate the quality of GPS logs through several data preprocessing steps. Using the clean input layer, a variety of CNN configurations are evaluated to achieve the best CNN architecture. The highest accuracy of 84.8% has been achieved through the ensemble of the best CNN configuration. In this research, we contrast our methodology with traditional machine learning algorithms as well as the seminal and most related studies to demonstrate the superiority of our framework.Comment: 12 pages, 3 figures, 7 tables, Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologie

Modeling Taxi Drivers' Behaviour for the Next Destination Prediction

In this paper, we study how to model taxi drivers' behaviour and geographical information for an interesting and challenging task: the next destination prediction in a taxi journey. Predicting the next location is a well studied problem in human mobility, which finds several applications in real-world scenarios, from optimizing the efficiency of electronic dispatching systems to predicting and reducing the traffic jam. This task is normally modeled as a multiclass classification problem, where the goal is to select, among a set of already known locations, the next taxi destination. We present a Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) approach that models the taxi drivers' behaviour and encodes the semantics of visited locations by using geographical information from Location-Based Social Networks (LBSNs). In particular, RNNs are trained to predict the exact coordinates of the next destination, overcoming the problem of producing, in output, a limited set of locations, seen during the training phase. The proposed approach was tested on the ECML/PKDD Discovery Challenge 2015 dataset - based on the city of Porto -, obtaining better results with respect to the competition winner, whilst using less information, and on Manhattan and San Francisco datasets.Comment: preprint version of a paper submitted to IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation System

Spatio-temporal pattern mining from global positioning systems (GPS) trajectories dataset

Dissertation submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in Geospatial TechnologiesThe increasing frequency of use location-acquisition technology like the Global Positioning System is leading to the collection of large spatio-temporal datasets. The prospect of discovering usable knowledge about movement behavior, which encourages for the discovery of interesting relationships and characteristics users that may exist implicitly in spatial databases. Therefore spatial data mining is emerging as a novel area of research. In this study, the experiments were conducted following the Knowledge Discovery in Database process model. The Knowledge Discovery in Database process model starts from selection of the datasets. The GPS trajectory dataset for this research collected from Microsoft Research Asia Geolife project. After taking the data, it has been preprocessed. The major preprocessing activities include: Fill in missed values and remove outliers; Resolve inconsistencies, integration of data that contains both labeled and unlabeled datasets, Dimensionality reduction, size reduction and data transformation activity like discretization tasks were done for this study. A total of 4,273 trajectory dataset are used for training the models. For validating the performance of the selected model a separate 1,018 records are used as a testing set. For building a spatiotemporal model of this study the K-nearest Neighbors (KNN), decision tree and Bayes algorithms have been tasted as supervised approach. The model that was created using 10-fold cross validation with K value 11 and other default parameter values showed the best classification accuracy. The model has a prediction accuracy of 98.5% on the training datasets and 93.12% on the test dataset to classify the new instances as bike, bus, car, subway, train and walk classes. The findings of this study have shown that the spatiotemporal data mining methods help to classify user mobility transportation modes. Future research directions are forwarded to come up an applicable system in the area of the study

Modeling, Predicting and Capturing Human Mobility

Realistic models of human mobility are critical for modern day applications, specifically for recommendation systems, resource planning and process optimization domains. Given the rapid proliferation of mobile devices equipped with Internet connectivity and GPS functionality today, aggregating large sums of individual geolocation data is feasible. The thesis focuses on methodologies to facilitate data-driven mobility modeling by drawing parallels between the inherent nature of mobility trajectories, statistical physics and information theory. On the applied side, the thesis contributions lie in leveraging the formulated mobility models to construct prediction workflows by adopting a privacy-by-design perspective. This enables end users to derive utility from location-based services while preserving their location privacy. Finally, the thesis presents several approaches to generate large-scale synthetic mobility datasets by applying machine learning approaches to facilitate experimental reproducibility