Asymptotic behaviour of estimators of the parameters of nearly unstable INAR(1) models

A sequence of first-order integer-valued autoregressive type (INAR(1)) processes is investigated, where the autoregressive type coefficients converge to 1. It is shown that the limiting distribution of the joint conditional least squares estimators for this coefficient and for the mean of the innovation is normal. Consequences for sequences of Galton{Watson branching processes with unobservable immigration, where the mean of the offspring distribution converges to 1 (which is the critical value), are discussed

Extinction in lower Hessenberg branching processes with countably many types

We consider a class of branching processes with countably many types which we refer to as Lower Hessenberg branching processes. These are multitype Galton-Watson processes with typeset $\mathcal{X}=\{0,1,2,\dots\}$, in which individuals of type $i$ may give birth to offspring of type $j\leq i+1$ only. For this class of processes, we study the set $S$ of fixed points of the progeny generating function. In particular, we highlight the existence of a continuum of fixed points whose minimum is the global extinction probability vector $\boldsymbol{q}$ and whose maximum is the partial extinction probability vector $\boldsymbol{\tilde{q}}$. In the case where $\boldsymbol{\tilde{q}}=\boldsymbol{1}$, we derive a global extinction criterion which holds under second moment conditions, and when $\boldsymbol{\tilde{q}}<\boldsymbol{1}$ we develop necessary and sufficient conditions for $\boldsymbol{q}=\boldsymbol{\tilde{q}}$

Boundary Harnack inequality for Markov processes with jumps

We prove a boundary Harnack inequality for jump-type Markov processes on metric measure state spaces, under comparability estimates of the jump kernel and Urysohn-type property of the domain of the generator of the process. The result holds for positive harmonic functions in arbitrary open sets. It applies, e.g., to many subordinate Brownian motions, L\'evy processes with and without continuous part, stable-like and censored stable processes, jump processes on fractals, and rather general Schr\"odinger, drift and jump perturbations of such processes.Comment: 37 pages, 1 figure, minor editorial changes, paper accepted in Transactions of AM

A Malliavin-Skorohod calculus in L0L^0 and L1L^1 for additive and Volterra-type processes

In this paper we develop a Malliavin-Skorohod type calculus for additive processes in the $L^0$ and $L^1$ settings, extending the probabilistic interpretation of the Malliavin-Skorohod operators to this context. We prove calculus rules and obtain a generalization of the Clark-Hausmann-Ocone formula for random variables in $L^1$. Our theory is then applied to extend the stochastic integration with respect to volatility modulated L\'evy-driven Volterra processes recently introduced in the literature. Our work yields to substantially weaker conditions that permit to cover integration with respect, e.g. to Volterra processes driven by $\alpha$-stable processes with $\alpha < 2$. The presentation focuses on jump type processes.Comment: 27 page

Baxter's inequality for fractional Brownian motion-type processes with Hurst index less than 1/2

The aim of this paper is to prove an analogue of Baxter's inequality for fractional Brownian motion-type processes with Hurst index less than 1/2. This inequality is concerned with the norm estimate of the difference between finite- and infinite-past predictor coefficients.Comment: 7 page

Sixteen-fermion and related terms in M-theory on T**2

Certain one-loop processes in eleven-dimensional supergravity compactified on T**2 determine exact, non-perturbative, terms in the effective action of type II string theories compactified on a circle. One example is the modular invariant U(1)-violating interaction of sixteen complex spin-1/2 fermions of ten-dimensional type IIB theory. This term, together with the (curvature)**4 term, and many other terms of the same dimension are all explicitly related by supersymmetry.Comment: 14 Pages, Latex, no figures, Minor changes, version to appear in PL