A Kernel Independence Test for Random Processes

A new non parametric approach to the problem of testing the independence of two random process is developed. The test statistic is the Hilbert Schmidt Independence Criterion (HSIC), which was used previously in testing independence for i.i.d pairs of variables. The asymptotic behaviour of HSIC is established when computed from samples drawn from random processes. It is shown that earlier bootstrap procedures which worked in the i.i.d. case will fail for random processes, and an alternative consistent estimate of the p-values is proposed. Tests on artificial data and real-world Forex data indicate that the new test procedure discovers dependence which is missed by linear approaches, while the earlier bootstrap procedure returns an elevated number of false positives. The code is available online: https://github.com/kacperChwialkowski/HSIC .Comment: In Proceedings of The 31st International Conference on Machine Learnin

Independence Test for High Dimensional Random Vectors

This paper proposes a new mutual independence test for a large number of high dimensional random vectors. The test statistic is based on the characteristic function of the empirical spectral distribution of the sample covariance matrix. The asymptotic distributions of the test statistic under the null and local alternative hypotheses are established as dimensionality and the sample size of the data are comparable. We apply this test to examine multiple MA(1) and AR(1) models, panel data models with some spatial cross-sectional structures. In addition, in a flexible applied fashion, the proposed test can capture some dependent but uncorrelated structures, for example, nonlinear MA(1) models, multiple ARCH(1) models and vandermonde matrices. Simulation results are provided for detecting these dependent structures. An empirical study of dependence between closed stock prices of several companies from New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) demonstrates that the feature of cross-sectional dependence is popular in stock marketsIndependence test, cross-sectional dependence, empirical spectral distribution, characteristic function, Marcenko-Pastur Law

Entropy-Based Independence Test

This paper presents a new test of independence (linear and non-linear) among distributions based on the entropy of Shannon. The main advantages of the presented approach are the fact that this measure does not need to assume any type of theoretical probability distribution and has the ability to capture the linear and non-linear dependencies, without requiring the specification of any kind of dependence model

Kernel-based Conditional Independence Test and Application in Causal Discovery

Conditional independence testing is an important problem, especially in Bayesian network learning and causal discovery. Due to the curse of dimensionality, testing for conditional independence of continuous variables is particularly challenging. We propose a Kernel-based Conditional Independence test (KCI-test), by constructing an appropriate test statistic and deriving its asymptotic distribution under the null hypothesis of conditional independence. The proposed method is computationally efficient and easy to implement. Experimental results show that it outperforms other methods, especially when the conditioning set is large or the sample size is not very large, in which case other methods encounter difficulties

Entropy-based independence test

WOS:000238021700039 (Nº de Acesso Web of Science)This paper presents a new test of independence (linear and non-linear) among distributions based on the entropy of Shannon. The main advantages of the presented approach are the fact that this measure does not need to assume any type of theoretical probability distribution and has the ability to capture the linear and non-linear dependencies, without requiring the specification of any kind of dependence model.info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersio